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Why High-Speed Rail is a Profitable Business Case for Scandinavia

Explore the benefits and economic viability of implementing high-speed rail in Scandinavia. Discover why 66 countries worldwide invest in HSR and how it promotes international traffic. Learn about the cost comparisons between HSR and traditional rail, and why Scandinavia can benefit from embracing this efficient transportation system.

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Why High-Speed Rail is a Profitable Business Case for Scandinavia

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  1. WHY HSR IS A PROFITABLE BUSINESS CASE FOR SCANDINAVIA • HSR in a global perspective • Higherperformance and reducedcost • Revenues • National financeboost the GDP with HSR

  2. High speed lines in a global perspective

  3. Europe Helsingfors St Petersburg Moskva Minsk Amsterdam Hamburg London Bryssel Berlin Warszawa Kijev Paris München Budapest Milano Lissabon Bukarest Madrid Sofia Istanbul Rom Ankara Aten

  4. Questions Why: • do 66 countries in the worldbuild HSR • do theybuild 1000 km in 5 years • do theyafford the investment for HSR • do the HSR system promote international traffic • are the Scandinavian countriesthe last toknowwhat the rest of the worldknowstoday

  5. Scandinavians reads SPAINFRANCEGERMANYGREECEITALYPORTUGALTHENEDERLANDSBELGIUMPOLANDUKRAINERUMANIASOUTHAFRICACHINAJAPANTAIWANINDIATHEILANDLAOSMALAYSIABRASILARGENTINACHILEVENESUELAUSACANADAMAROCOALGERTUNISEGYPTSAUDIARABIAKUWEITBAHARINQATARRUSSIAKAZAKSTANUZBEKISTANISRAELMEXICOFINLANDGREATBRITANSWITZERLANDAUSTRIAHUNGARYRUMANIABULGARIATURKEYRUSSIAIRANIRAQUNITEDARABEMIRATESOMANSOUTHKOREAMYANMARAUSTRALIALIBYA

  6. The worldreads SPAINFRANCEGERMANYGREECEITALYPORTUGALTHENEDERLANDSBELGIUMPOLANDUKRAINERUMANIASOUTHAFRICACHINAJAPANTAIWANINDIATHAILANDLAOSMALAYSIABRASILARGENTINACHILEVENESUELAUSACANADAMAROCOALGERTUNISEGYPTSAUDIARABIAKUWEITBAHARINQATARRUSSIAKAZAKSTANUZBEKISTANISRAELMEXICOFINLANDGREATBRITANSWITZERLANDAUSTRIAHUNGARYRUMANIABULGARIATURKEYRUSSIAIRANIRAQUNITEDARABEMIRATESOMANSOUTHKOREAMYANMARAUSTRALIALIBYA

  7. Conclusions • Reportsover valuethe useofcar and air transport and under valuerail transport • Buildingphase for HSR is 1000 km in 5 years • Scandinavian buildingphase for CR is 200 km in 10 years • Price level is about 150 000 SEK/meter double track • 65 000 SEK/meter for HSR for 400 km/h • 75 000 SEK/meter for CR with 200 – 250 km/h • 66 countries has HSR • Travellingwith HSR increases market 4 times! • Scandinavia is the latest part of the worldto understand HSR! • Ourcompetitiveness is jeopardised!

  8. Europe Helsingfors St Petersburg Moskva Minsk Amsterdam Hamburg London Bryssel Berlin Warszawa Kijev Paris München Budapest Milano Lissabon Bukarest Madrid Sofia Istanbul Rom Ankara Aten

  9. Europe Helsingfors Oslo St Petersburg Stockholm Köpenhamn Moskva Minsk Amsterdam Hamburg London Bryssel Berlin Warszawa Kijev Paris München Budapest Milano Lissabon Bukarest Madrid Sofia Istanbul Rom Ankara Aten

  10. TRONDHEIM BERGEN OSLO STOCKHOLM 1:15 STAVANGER FROM OSLO TO: GÖTEBORG 1:15 KÖPENHAMN 2:30 STOCKHOLM 3:15 FROM GÖTEBORG TO: OSLO 1:15 STOCKHOLM 2:00KÖPENHAMN 1:15 2:00 KRISTIANSAND NORRKÖPING GÖTEBORG JÖNKÖPING ÅLBORG 1:15 ÅRHUS KÖPENHAMN ODENSE HAMBURG

  11. High speed lines in a global perspective

  12. Whydoes the worldinvest in HSR? • It is commersially profitable • It is cheapertobuild HSR thanCR • Safe long term investment for retirementfunds • Reduce crazy stock market values and trading • Most environmental friendlymeanof transport • Competitivewith air transport upto 3 hours

  13. Environment 200 100 Subsideries 0 Cost for society -100 Car Train Air Boat -200 - 750 bn -100 bn - 125 bn -10 bn -300 Total extern cost -400 -500 -600 -700 Billion Euro / Year in EU15 Source: EEA 2007

  14. Environment Car 700 650 SEK 600 Air 500 455 SEK Bus 400 326 SEK Real environment ost 300 Train 197 SEK 200 100 0 SEK / 1000 pkm Source: INFRAS 2004

  15. Noice dB(A) 130 120 110 Totalt noice 100 90 Rails 80 Motor 70 Aerodynamic 60 50 0 50 100 200 300 400 500 Km/h Källa: EC 2003

  16. Market share % 100 90 80 Car & Bus 70 Bil & Buss 60 Svenska tåg 50 40 CR Train 30 Air 20 10 0 Source: JR 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Km/h

  17. Market share % 100 90 80 70 Car & Bus 60 High speed train 50 40 30 20 Air 10 0 Source: JR 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Km/h

  18. Environment profit % 100 90 80 High Speed Train Car& Bus 70 Bil & Buss 60 Svenska tåg 50 40 CR train 30 Air 20 10 Source: JR 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Km/h

  19. Swedish Rail Market • 105 million trips per year 1999 = 11,8 trips/pp

  20. Swedish Rail Market • 105 million trips per year 1999 = 11,8 trips/pp • 187 million trips per year 2011 = 19,7 trips/pp + 82 million trips !! Peopleridetrainsmore ! TRACK CAPACITY IS SOON FULL WE HAVE CAPACITY PROBLEMS

  21. Swedish Rail Market • 105 million trips per year1999 = 11,8 trips/pp • 187 million trips per year 2011 = 19,7 trips/pp • 275 million trips per year 2023 = 27,0 trips/pp + 88 million trips !! People rides the trainmoreoften ! TRACK IS OVER LOADED WE HAVE A TRAFFIC COLLAPSE HIGH SPEED LINES GIVES INCREASED CAPACITY AND MORE TRAVLLERS TRAFFIC COLLAPSE IS VOIDED

  22. Infrastructurecost per meter? SEK 100 000 90 000 Botnia line > 250 km/h 80 000 Conventional Rail in Sweden 70 000 Global HSR < 250 km/h Express Way 60 000 Asphalt 50 000 Ballast 40 000 Rail 30 000 High Way 20 000 Road Sub- structure Sub- structure 10 000 0

  23. Infrastructure per meter? SEK 100 000 90 000 Botnia line < 250 km/h 80 000 Conventional Rail in Sweden Electrification 70 000 Global HSR > 250 km/h Express Way 60 000 Signalling Asphalt 50 000 Ballast 40 000 Rail 30 000 High Way 20 000 Road Sub- structure Sub- structure 10 000 0

  24. Electrification 0 SEK/m Conventional rail High speed rail

  25. Signalling system 20 000 SEK/m Conventional rail High speed rail

  26. Superstructure 5000 SEK/m Conventional rail High speed rail

  27. Substructure 45 000 SEK/m 13 m 3 m 34 000 SEK/m 26 m 6 m Conventional rail High speed rail

  28. Land use 13 m 3 m 26 m 6 m 4 000 SEK/m 100 SEK/m Conventional rail High speed rail

  29. Land use CR and HSR

  30. Land prices and agriculture

  31. Less tunnels more bridges 10,6 meter 10,6 meter Hallandsåstunneln cost 12 bn SEK

  32. Less tunnels more bridges 10,6 meter 10,8 meter 4.5 m Hallandsåstunneln two pipes Cost 12 bn SEK High speed rail tunnels onepipe Cost 6 bn SEK

  33. Construction cost • Gasolineprice has beendoubled in 12 years • Car use has beenunchanged per person in 12 years • Superstructurecost 2002 was 1775 SEK/m • Superstructurecost 2012 was 2635 SEK/m • Grödingelinecost 2,7 bn or 43 548 SEK/m 1994 • Botnia linecost15 bn or 78 947 SEK/m 2010

  34. Useofmoney

  35. Cost

  36. Investment profits Stand-by cost 2,7 bn SEK per yeartowait for the High speed line Oslo – Copenhagen ! 7,4 million/day

  37. HSR is a GDP Driver • The stateguarantees225 bn SEK for HSR • The stategets repaid in 30 years • This triggers domesticinvestmentsof 350 bn SEK in 5 years • No unemployment • Creates 4000 commuterstoNorway • Thisequalstoboost the GDP with3% in 5 years

  38. Funding STATE NORWAY 60 bn STATE SWEDEN 60 bn EU 20 bn CONSTRUCTION TIME 12 YEAR COST 140 bn SEK TRAFIKVERKET & JERNBANEVERKET TRAFFIC FEE 500 SEK/PP

  39. Funding STATE NORWAY 2bn/year RENT STATE SWEDEN 2bn/year RENT EU 0 bn CONSTRUCTION TIME 4 YEAR COST 87 bn SEK SCANDINAVIAN HIGH SPEED CONTRACTORS TRAFFIC FEE 500 SEK/PP

  40. Funding EU 20 bn CONSTRUCTION TIME 4 YEAR COST 87 bn SEK COINCO ORDER THE CONSTRUCTION SCANDINAVIAN HIGH SPEED CONTRACTORS TRAFFIC FEE 500 SEK/PP

  41. WHAT DO YOU WANT TO PAY? High speed train TRACK FEE = 10 SEK/mile OPERATION = 2,5 SEK/mile Profit = 2,5 SEK/mile TOTALT = 15 SEK/mile ENVIRON. = 0,5 SEK/mile CR-TRAIN TRACK FEE = 5 SEK/mile OPERATION = 3,5 SEK/mile Profit = 3,5 SEK/mile TOTALT = 12 SEL/mile ENVIRON. = 1,0 SEK/mile CAR ROAD FEE = 0 SEK/mile GASOLINE = 8 SEK/mile OPERATION = 30 SEK/mile TOTALT = 38 SEK/mile ENVIRON. = 28 SEK/mile AIR AIR FEE = 4,00 SEK/mile OPERATION = 12,50 SEK/mile Profit = 0,25 SEK/mile TOTALT = 16,75 SEK/mile ENVIRON. = 20,00 SEK/mile APPROXIMATELY TOTAL COST 1 mile = 10 km

  42. DECISION • It is freeof charge tosayYEStohigh speed rail • Youwillgive public fast transport • Youact in a environmental issue • You save moneyto public and givethemwellfare • Stand-by cost is 7,4 million/daytosayNO for high speed rail • Youprevent public tocheap and fast transports • Youenjoy environmental degradation • Youprevent public to save money and be hapier

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