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Failed States & Regional Conflicts Failed States in World Politics Failed States and Regional Instability Somalia (early 1990s) Warlordism & Humanitarian Crisis Refugee Crisis Tensions with Neighboring Nations Ethiopia Failed States and Democratic Setbacks Haiti (early to mid-1990s)
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Failed States in World Politics Failed States and Regional Instability • Somalia (early 1990s) • Warlordism & Humanitarian Crisis • Refugee Crisis • Tensions with Neighboring Nations • Ethiopia Failed States and Democratic Setbacks • Haiti (early to mid-1990s) • Political Instability, Economic Crisis • Refugee Crisis • Implications for the US
Failed States in World Politics Failed States and Global Instability • Taliban’s Afghanistan • Safe heaven for non-state terrorist groups • A base for international terrorist operations Failed States and Global Economic Instability • International Debt Crisis (1980s) • Impact on the Bretton Woods System
Failed States in US Foreign Policy Precluding Failed States • Marshall Plan: A Success Story • Britain • France, Italy, West Germany • Truman Doctrine • Greece and TurkeySignificance: • Stabilizing post-WWII W Europe • Building confidence in US leadership • Consolidate pro-West regimes in S Europe
Failed States in US Foreign Policy Precluding Failed States • China (1949) • Chiang Kaishek’s stepping down as ROC President • South Vietnam (1963) • Ngo Dinh Diem, Coup and Assassination • The Philippines (1986) • Ferdinand Marcos Fleeing the Country Policy Implications: • Preventing Communist take-over • Preventing Communist revolution
Failed States in US Foreign Policy Possible Failed States in the 21st Century • Iraq? • Will Iraqi democracy stand after US withdrawal? • What implications of a failed Iraqi state? • Afghanistan? • Will Taliban remnants submit? • North Korea? • What implications for US position in E Asia? • Myanmar • What implications for US if the military regime fails to hold the country together?
Failed States & US Superpower Position Questions: • What should be US policy with regard to failed states in general? • Is failed states US challenge or global challenge? • Unilateral US response ? • Multilateral global response? • Is US capable of unilateral response?