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The Impact of Iowa’s Changing Demographic on Workforce and Economic Development

The Impact of Iowa’s Changing Demographic on Workforce and Economic Development. Drew Conrad, CEcD The Institute for Decision Making The University of Northern Iowa. The Institute for Decision Making The University of Northern Iowa. Created in 1987 680+ clients

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The Impact of Iowa’s Changing Demographic on Workforce and Economic Development

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  1. The Impact of Iowa’s Changing Demographic on Workforce and Economic Development Drew Conrad, CEcD The Institute for Decision Making The University of Northern Iowa

  2. The Institute for Decision MakingThe University of Northern Iowa • Created in 1987 • 680+ clients • Economic Development Corporations • Chambers of Commerce • CVB/Tourism • Community Planning Groups • State Agencies • Utilities • Other Non-Profits • All 99 counties & beyond • Areas of Assistance: • Organizational Planning • Community Planning • Business Retention & Expansion • Community Marketing & Business Attraction • Organizational Development • Workforce Planning & Research

  3. Outline • Population • Characteristics of Iowans • Characteristics of Households & Families • Employment & Workforce • Things to Ponder • Useful Resources

  4. Iowa in 2010 • 3,046,355 population • Increase of 120,031 • 4.1% growth rate • Iowa’s 99 counties • 33 grew since 2000 • 23 < 10,000 • 6 > 100,000 • Iowa’s 947 cities • 337 grew since 2000 • 664 < 1,000 • 38 > 10,000 • Iowa’s 359 public school districts • 473,493 students • 20,798 fewer than 2000 • Projected + 11,412 by 2015 • 15 fewer districts than 2000 Sources: Census Bureau & Iowa Department of Education

  5. Population

  6. Iowa’s Population 3,046,355; 30th rank Sources: Census Bureau

  7. Percentage Change 2000-2010 IA grew 4.1%; 40th rank U.S. grew by 9.7% Sources: Census Bureau

  8. Percentage Change 1900-2010 Sources: Census Bureau

  9. Components of Iowa’s Population Change GOOD! BAD!! Sources: Census Bureau: Population Estimates Program

  10. 2010 Population by County Type Sources: Census Bureau

  11. Population History by County Type 56.5% of Pop. 34.8% of Pop. 20.8% of Pop. Sources: Census Bureau

  12. Components of Population Change by County Type (2000-2009) Sources: Census Bureau: Population Estimates Program

  13. Population Change by County Type (2010-2011) Iowa – 3,062,309 in 2011 (+0.5%) Sources: Census Bureau: Population Estimates Program

  14. Components of Population Change by County Type (2010-2011) Sources: Census Bureau: Population Estimates Program

  15. Characteristics of Iowans

  16. Population by Sex and Age U.S 120,000 60,000 0 60,000 120,000 12.0 mil 6.0 mil 0 6.0 mil 12.0 mil Sources: Census Bureau

  17. 2010 Median Age 38.1 yrs for Iowa; 33rd rank 37.2 yrs for U.S. Sources: Census Bureau

  18. 2010 Median Age Sources: Census Bureau

  19. 2010 Median Age • Only 2 counties with a median age under 30 years: • Story (28.2) • Johnson (29.8) • 72 counties with a median age 40 years or older • Dickinson (46.3) • 7 metro counties Sources: Census Bureau

  20. 2010 Educational Attainment Sources: Census Bureau: 2005-2009 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates

  21. Iowa’s Educational Attainment Sources: Census Bureau

  22. Intentions of 2010 Public High School Graduates Sources: Iowa Department of Education

  23. Characteristics of Households & Families

  24. Households • 2.46 average size in 2000 • 2.59 for U.S. • 2.41 average size in 2010 • 2.58 for U.S. • In 2000, 27.5% were persons living alone • 11.4% are 65+ • In 2010, 28.4% were persons living alone • 11.0% are 65+ Sources: Census Bureau

  25. Average Household Size Sources: Census Bureau

  26. Families • Family Household Size • 3.00 in 2000 & 2.97 in 2010 • U.S.: 3.14 in 2000 & 2010 • Households with Kids • 33.3% in 2000 • 30.6% in 2010 • U.S.: 36.0% in 2000 & 33.4% in 2010 • 5.6% female householder in 2000 & 5.9% in 2010 • U.S.: 7.2% in 2000 & 2010 Sources: Census Bureau

  27. Income (2010) • Median Household Income • $48,031 in Iowa • $50,046 for U.S. • Per Capita Income • $25,335 in Iowa • $27,334 for U.S. Sources: Census Bureau: 2006-2010 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates & Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates

  28. Median Household Income Sources: Census Bureau: Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates

  29. Median Household Income Sources: Census Bureau: 2006-2010 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates

  30. Poverty (2010) • 12.5% of all Iowans • 15.3% of U.S. • 16.2% of Iowans under 18 years • 21.6% of U.S. • 7.7% of Iowans 65 and over • 9.5% of U.S. Sources: Census Bureau: Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates & 2006-2010 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates

  31. Percent of Iowans in Poverty Sources: Census Bureau: 2006-2010 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates

  32. Employment & Workforce

  33. Employment by County Type Sources: Iowa Workforce Development

  34. Change in Employment by County Type Sources: Iowa Workforce Development

  35. Where Workers Live Sources: Census Bureau: Local Employment Dynamics Program

  36. Where Jobs are Located Sources: Census Bureau: Local Employment Dynamics Program

  37. Iowa & Industry Worker Characteristics Sources: Census Bureau: Local Employment Dynamics Program

  38. Age of Workforce Sources: Census Bureau: Local Employment Dynamics Program

  39. Percentage of Industry Workers By Age

  40. Occupational Employment by Minimum Education/Training Required Sources: Iowa Workforce Development & EMSI

  41. Occupational Employment by Minimum Education/Training Required Sources: Iowa Workforce Development & EMSI

  42. Things to Ponder • Impacts of demographic shifts? • K-12 Education? • QOL and Social Issues? • Government, Public Policy & Politics? • How to address the “mismatches?” • Location of jobs v. Location of people • Location of our customers • Type of Occupations v. Skills of labor pool

  43. Things to Ponder • What happens when the economy turns around? • Over 20% of workers age 55+ • Geography of growth & development?

  44. Useful Resources • U.S. Census Bureau • Decennial Census • American Community Survey • Local Employment Dynamics • www.census.gov • Iowa Workforce Development • Labor Market Information • http://iwin.iwd.state.ia.us/iowa/OlmisZine

  45. Useful Resources • State Data Center of Iowa • ww.iowadatacenter.org • Regional Economics & Community Analysis Program (RECAP) at Iowa State • 2010 Census Profiles: county & cities • Retail Trade Analysis Reports: county & cities • www.recap.iastate.edu/

  46. Questions? Drew Conrad, CEcD The Institute for Decision Making The University of Northern Iowa andrew.conrad@uni.edu 319-273-6977 www.bcs.uni.edu/idm

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