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Amanda Graning Meteorologist/Forecaster

Matt Taraldsen Saint Cloud State University Meteorology-Communications Student. Amanda Graning Meteorologist/Forecaster. Dr. Suzanne Stangl-Erkens Communication Studies, SCSU. Dr. Anthony Hansen Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, SCSU. Pete Boulay MN State Climatologist. Background.

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Amanda Graning Meteorologist/Forecaster

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  1. Matt TaraldsenSaint Cloud State UniversityMeteorology-Communications Student Amanda GraningMeteorologist/Forecaster • Dr. Suzanne Stangl-ErkensCommunication Studies, SCSU • Dr. Anthony HansenEarth and Atmospheric Sciences, SCSU Pete BoulayMN State Climatologist

  2. Background “Need a process by which WFO [Weather Forecast Offices] can systematically gather local customer input and local research results … and turn that information into improved products and services” Ray Wolf – Science and Operations Officer (SOO) WFO Davenport, IA • 2007 March 1st Blizzard • Survey created through SCSU (.edu) • Utilizes Online Survey Methods • Became operational March 1st 2008, will continue through winter 2010

  3. Goals • Improve communication of winter weather hazards/warnings. • Gain insight into decision making related to hazardous weather • Not a critique of the forecast accuracy • Available through variety of outlets • Survey Results Available to all partners • Goal for next season: Expand Availability. More Partners!

  4. Creating the Survey • Utilized Range of Departments at SCSU • Statistics, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Communication Studies, Technology • Created to follow Online Surveying Methods • Questions were formulated similar to previous surveys on parallel topics • Developed Post Storm Survey Homepage through SCSU where survey will be available • Surveys Conducted Following Winter Storms that require a Warning to be issued by the local NWS

  5. Putting the Survey online View Post Storm Survey Home Page

  6. Posting the Online Survey • After a Storm Warning Expires • Short event specific survey available to take on the PSS site for 3 days • Multiple survey links in case of multiple/overlapping events • Continuous Updates to the PSS Web Site • Multiple Locations • NWS “News of the Day” Section of Participating Offices • MN State Climatologist Web Page • Survey Link Distributed through MN Hidden Program • SCSU Meteorology Dept. Web Page • MORE PARTNERS!

  7. Test Season March-April 2008 • Proposed for Winter Events Requiring a “Warning.” • Didn’t quite work that way… • Not all Warning Events • Late Season, but winter did arrive • 3 good cases, over 500 responses • Wide Array of Events (All Affected NE Minnesota & NW Wisconsin) • Blizzard of April 11th • Winter Storm of April 6th • Snow Event of March 18th

  8. Test Season Events Snowfall Amounts20080 March 18th

  9. Test Season Survey Results • Data went into an interactive web based interface • Analyzed by Matt Taraldsen • Presented Test Season Results: • Partners and Faculty at SCSU • Presented at Northern Plains Winter Storm Conference 2008 • Will be some minor adjustments to questions for 2008-2009 season

  10. The Questions

  11. Questions

  12. Questions

  13. Survey Responses and Results • Blizzard of April 11th 303 Respondents • Winter Storm of April 6th 103 Respondents • Snow Event of March 18th 100 Respondents ---------------------- 503 total respondents

  14. Responses Where do you get your weather informationon a regular basis? (Select all that apply)( Combined responses from all 3 events)

  15. Responses During this storm, where did you get your weather information? (Select All that Apply) ( Combined responses from all 3 events)

  16. Normally DuringStorm

  17. Blizzard2008 April 11th Based on the forecast, what special preparations did you take for this storm? (select all that apply)

  18. Winter Storm2008 April 6th Based on the forecast, what special preparations did you take for this storm? (select all that apply)

  19. Snow Event2008 March 18th Based on the forecast, what special preparations did you take for this storm? (select all that apply)

  20. Results Based on the forecast, what special preparations did you take for this storm? Blizzard Food and Water: 28% Gas: 24% Increased Communication: 25% Nothing: 11% Extra Driving Time: 4% Winter Storm Food and Water: 11% Gas: 17% Increased Communication: 21% Nothing: 37% Extra Driving Time: 4% Snow Event Food and Water: 4% Gas: 17% Increased Communication: 12% Nothing: 59% Extra Driving Time: 4%

  21. Snow Advisory 2008 March 18th (Open Response)

  22. Winter Storm2008 April 6th (Open Response)

  23. Blizzard2008 April 11th (Open Response)

  24. Interesting perception… “I live in Northern MN, a snow storm with 25” is not a big deal.”

  25. Conclusions • Significant number of respondents stated they altered their routine because concerned about road conditions/travel. • People did not react as much to meteorlogic terminology such as sleet and freezing rain; not a direct impact? • There was an increase in preparedness (gas, food water, communication) with highly anticipated blizzard versus low end snow event • Climatology plays major factor….what is viewed as “normal Minnesota”? • A new question?

  26. The Future • Expand Availability • More PARTNERS! • Media • Other Weather Related Outlets • Universities

  27. Survey results will be updated as new cases are explored. If you are interested in becoming a partner, and hosting a link to the Post Storm Survey on your website, please send an email to poststormsurvey@gmail.com How to get involved?

  28. Thank You! Matt TaraldsenSaint Cloud State UniversityMeteorology-Communications Student poststormsurvey@gmail.com

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