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Ministerio del Ambiente. PERÚ. Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología - SENAMHI. SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA E HIDROLOGIA SENAMHI. Analysis of extreme rainfall in Cusco in Summer 2010. Ing. Jorge Chira La Rosa jchira@senamhi.gob.pe. ABRIL, 2010. Ministerio
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Ministerio del Ambiente PERÚ Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología - SENAMHI SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA E HIDROLOGIA SENAMHI Analysis of extreme rainfall in Cusco in Summer 2010 Ing. Jorge Chira La Rosa jchira@senamhi.gob.pe ABRIL, 2010
Ministerio del Ambiente PERÚ Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología - SENAMHI SUMMARY • Introduction • Analysis of the rainfall episode • Conclusions • Recommendations
Ministerio del Ambiente PERÚ Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología - SENAMHI INTRODUCTION An extreme precipitation event that affected almost all south highland of Peru is investigated. This event caused very strong socioeconomic impacts in the Cusco region. The outstanding event of 22–24 January 2010 was connected to a strong south-esterly flow, probably caused by a intensity of South Atlantic convergence zone that persisted for several days and brought unusually large levels of moisture to the South Peru.
ANALYSIS OF THE RAINFALL EPISODE The city of Cusco is located at south-eastern zone of Peru, StudyArea Near Cusco is Vilcanota/Urubamba River valley. located about 10 miles north of Cusco Peru, and extends northwest through Pisac and Ollantaytambo cities.
SatellitePictures-TERRA-Modis January 21, 2010 Source: INPE/CPTEC/BRASIL
PicturesAnimation-GOES Satélite January 21-25, 2010 Source: INPE/CPTEC/BRASIL
SurfaceWindsAnomalies Fuente: NOAA
OngoingLongwave Radiation Anomalies Color Rojo: Déficit nubosidad/precipitaciones Color Azul: Incremento de nubosidad/precipitaciones Source: NOAA
Sea SurfaceTemperatureAnomalies 2010-2007
Rainfall Distributión Vilcanota River Basin HighBasin LowBasin MediumBasin Source: DCL/SENAMHI The rainfall incress between January 21-25 along the basin.
HistoricalRainfall in January Pisac-Cusco The picture shows a high amount of rainfall in january, 2010
StrongFlow of Vilcanota River of Cusco Strong flow of Vilcanota river in Pisac, Cusco with 327 m3/s top exceed its historical values.
RainfallImpacts in South Peru Source: Civil Defense Institute
FloodImpacts in South Peru Source: Red Cross
Damage caused by floods in Cusco Source: EL COMERCIO Newspaper (February 08, 2010)
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Pronostico climático de lluvias Diciembre 2009- Febrero 2010 Lluvias de normal a superior La figura muestra en color verde los pronósticos de lluvias de normal superior. Este pronostico climatico indicaba que Cusco presentaria lluvias encima de lo normal
During January 2010 heavy rainfall and flooding across the Cusco region caused deaths, injured people, destroyed farms, bridges, railroads, producing economic losses around US $250 million. • We observe incress activity of South Atlantic convergence zone that persisted for several days and brought unusually large levels of moisture to the South Peru. • Data of Sea Surface Temperature suggest that increased warming of south Atlantic Ocean could be related to the increased activity of intertropical converge zone and therefore the strong rainfall event in Cusco region. • At this moment there are a project supported by national government to deploy 12 automatic weather station in that place to monitoring the weather in that region. CONCLUSIONS
To establish an Early Warning System is neccesary in Cusco region, to warning the population by natural disaster. • To strengthen the capacity of local civil defense teams and organizations is necesary. • To organize the population is requerid to improve the emergency management. • Disaster Risk Management Specialists is necesary in order to manage the emergency and prevent future risks. RECOMMENDATIONS