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The Mad Hedge Fund Trader “The Great Rotation ”

Discover the sectors and stocks that will lead the market for the next 20 years in "The Great Rotation" book. Get the second edition now for $49 and stay ahead of the game.

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The Mad Hedge Fund Trader “The Great Rotation ”

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  1. With John Thomasfrom Silicon Valley, CA,July 12,2017www.madhedgefundtrader.com The Mad Hedge Fund Trader“The Great Rotation”

  2. https://members.madhedgefundtrader.com/roaring-twenties-book/ Second Edition Is Out! In the Store Now for $49 Sectors and Stocks that Will Lead the Market for the Next 20 Years

  3. *January+9.35% Final*July +2.72%% MTD*February +6.39% FINAL *August +7.52% Final*March +4.87% Final *September +0.27% Final*April +1.84% Final *October +8.13% Final*May -0.45% Final *November 4.37% Final*June +0.70% Final *December +.84% Final*2017 Year to Date 25.42%compared to8.1% for the Dow Average11 of 12 Consecutive Profitable Months!*Trailing 1 year return +48.24%,+243.98%since inception,*Average annualized return of 33.03% Trade Alert PerformanceNew All Time High!!

  4. Portfolio ReviewAggressively neutral with a 50% Cash Position Playing a Range Expiration P&L28.65%

  5. Trailing One-Year ReturnDaily Audited Performance +48.24%

  6. Eight YearDaily Audited Performance Averaged Annualized Return +33.03%

  7. *Have an aggressively neutral position for a dead market, with only 50% cash,30% long, 30% short*I’m betting that big tech has peaked for now, with shorts in (AAPL) and (FB),while rotating longs into financials*Running bond shorts all year has been hugely profitable, and I will continue to sell every rally*Staying away from gold until it finds a new bottom*Looking to sell short the next big rally in oil*Staying away from currencies until dollar bottoms*Earnings are over, so no major market moving news until end August The Method to My Madness

  8. The Bill Davis ViewA $1,500 Upgrade for the Mad Day Trader Service Buys: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)                $320              Target to $375 Splunk, Inc. (SPLK)                $57 Target to $64 Disney (DIS)                      $103Target to $112 Gilead Sciences (GILD)              $69 Target to $75 3D Systems Corp (DDD)              $17  Target to $23 Apple, Inc (AAPL)                  $141Target to $150 Starbucks Corp (SBUX)              $58Target to $68 Sells: Express Scripts, Inc (ESRX)        $63Target to $6 Autozone Inc. (AZO)              $537Target to $437 Alexion Pharm (ALXN)              $140Target to $104 Lululemon Athletica (LULU)          $62Target to $47 Costco (COST)                      $157Target to $140 Chipotle Mexican (CMG)            $420Target to $390

  9. The Mad Hedge Profit PredictorMarket Timing IndexAn artificial intelligence driven algorithm that analyzes 30 differenteconomic, technical, and momentum driven indicators

  10. The Mad Hedge Profit PredictorMarket Timing IndexDead in the Middle Means Do Nothing

  11. *June Nonfarm Payroll a robust 222,000, headline Unemployment Rate stays at a low at 4.4%*May Durable Goods down -1.1% vs. expected 0.40%, May Consumer Confidence rose from 117.6 to 118.9 for the first time in three months*Commerce Dept. raises Q1 GDP from 1.2% to a still weak 1.4% , and 0.7% earlier, June ISM Manufacturing Index jumps from 54.9 to 57.8, the best in three years as a recovering Europe and Asia ramp up imports*June China Purchasing Managers Report rises from 51.2 to 51.7, indicating that the Chinese economic recovery is intact, and that the Global Synchronized Recovery is still in play*Ford June Sales down 5.4% as entire auto industrycontinues to roll over*German May Industrial Production gains +1.3%, up 5 months in a row The Global Economy-Strong Europe, Weak US

  12. Weekly Jobless Claims –The Most Important Statistic +4,000 to 248,000, Hugging 43 Year Low

  13. *Almost all stock markets globally have broken upward sloping trend lines as Q2 earnings downshifts from 14% to 7%, with technology and financials leading*The Great Rotation continues, with investors taking huge profits on large tech growth stocks and pouring it into value financial stocks*Shifting out of an up 40% world and into a down 10% world, a lot of this is algorithm driven, which is why the switch became prominent at end H1*And increasing number of valuation models are showing stocks at century highs*The S&P 500 forward P/E ratioat 19.5X is the ceiling for now*But no crash coming, look for a 10% correction at mostin a long term bull market*Still looking for10%-12% total return in equities for 2017, but a 5%-10% correction may have to occur first Stocks-The Great Rotation is On!

  14. S&P 500-Correction long 7/$245-$248 bear put spread-expires in 7 trading daysYellen dovish comments take to top end of range

  15. iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (EWW)-Trade War Isn’t Happening

  16. Dow Average-Anvil Top

  17. Russell 2000 (IWM)-New High, then Fade

  18. NASDAQ (QQQ)-Correction in a Bull Move

  19. (VIX)-Double Bottom Decade Low!

  20. iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)stopped long 5/$13.50-$14.00 bull call spread

  21. Velocity Shares Daily Inverse VIX Short Term ETN (XIV)Trend is still upOne of the most instantly profitable trades of 2016….and 2017

  22. Apple (AAPL) –10% CorrectionIron Condorlong 7/$135-$138 bull call spread-expires in 7 trading dayslong 7/$152.50-$155 bear put spread-expires in 7 trading days

  23. Microsoft (MSFT)

  24. Facebook (FB)-Iron Condor for a Breakevenlong 7/$160-$162.50 bear put spread-expires in 7 trading daysstopped out of long $145-$140 bull call spread

  25. Alphabet (GOOG)-New High

  26. Industrials Sector SPDR (XLI)-(GE), (MMM), (UNP), (UTX), (BA), (HON)

  27. Southwest Airlines (LUV)-Warren Buffett’s Favorite Airline

  28. TransportsSector SPDR (XTN)-(ALGT), (ALK), (JBLU), (LUV), (CHRW), (DAL)

  29. Health Care Sector (XLV), (RXL)-The New FANG?(JNJ), (PFE), (MRK), (GILD), (ACT), (AMGN)

  30. Financial Select SPDR (XLF)-Bouncing Back(BLK/B), (WFC), (JPM), (BAC), (C), (GS)

  31. Goldman Sachs (GS)-long 7/$205-$210 vertical bull call spread-expires in 7 trading days

  32. JP Morgan (JPM)-

  33. Bank of America (BAC)-Warren Buffet exercises warrants and buys 700 million shares,with paper profit of $12 billion

  34. Palo Alto Networks (PANW)-

  35. NVIDIA (NVDA)-Another Earnings Spike

  36. Consumer DiscretionarySPDR (XLY)(DIS), (AMZN), (HD), (CMCSA), (MCD), (SBUX)

  37. Europe Hedged Equity (HEDJ)-New Highs On French Election

  38. Japan (DXJ)-Breakout to new highs on weak yen

  39. China ($SSEC)-Economic Recovery on Track

  40. Emerging Markets (EEM)-StillOn Fire

  41. *US Treasury bonds peak for the year, triggering five point selloff, making big bucks for shorts*The entire high yield space goes with it, including junk bonds, REITS, and MLP’s*Oil dead cat bounce is another knife in bond backs*222,000 June nonfarm payroll and 4.4% unemployment rate is more gasoline on the fire*Any employment gains from here will be inflationary. The US has run out of workers*Soon to be tested will be the top of the 2.10%-2.40% range in 10 year yields*We are ten months into a 10-20 year bearmarket in bonds, now is a great entry point on the short side Bonds-Time to Pay the Piper

  42. Treasury ETF (TLT) – 2.36%-Trend Breakdowntook profits on long 7/$130-$133 vertical bear put spread

  43. Ten Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) 2.36%

  44. Junk Bonds (HYG) 4.80% YieldA Great Risk Coincident Indicator- Long Term “RISK ON” means new highs, buy all dips

  45. 2X Short Treasuries (TBT)-InScreaming “BUY” Territory

  46. Emerging Market Debt (ELD)5.77% Yield-

  47. Municipal Bonds (MUB)-2.14% Mix of AAA, AA, and A rated bonds

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