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Monster Beverage Corp. Founded in 1985 Previously known as Hansen Natural Corp Changed its name to Monster Beverage Corporation in Jan 2012 Headquartered in Corona, CA Takes up 1.4% of the market Gained volume in 2012 Competitors lost volume. Monster Beverage Corp. Brands include:
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Monster Beverage Corp • Founded in 1985 • Previously known as Hansen Natural Corp • Changed its name to Monster Beverage Corporation in Jan 2012 • Headquartered in Corona, CA • Takes up 1.4% of the market • Gained volume in 2012 • Competitors lost volume
Monster Beverage Corp • Brands include: • Monster Energy • Hansen’s • Peace Tea • Worx Energy • Blue Sky
Comparable Companies • Top 3 Competitors control 88% of the market • The Coca-Cola Company • Dr. Pepper Snapple • PepsiCo • Monster Beverage
Value of Equity Estimation • VEnt-VD=VEq • NFL (=VD) of $2,019,488 • $3,691,635 - $2,019,488 = $1,672,147 • VEq= $1,672,147
Equity Valuation using Dividend Discount Model • (80+55)/2=67.5
Using Analysts’ Forecasts ((3.1-2.4)/2.4)(1/3)-1= 8.91%
Mid Year Adjustment • Because derivations assume payoffs occur at year-end… • Some analysts adjust to mid-year to approximate payoffs occurring evenly throughout the year • For Monster • (1+rEnt).5 * $3,691,635 = $3,910,520
Sensitivity Analysis • Market Value of Monster (Mod 3): $11.5B ($11,213 + $300 [NFL]) • According to this, sell in any scenario
Takeaways & Concerns • VEq= $1,672,147 • According to sensitivity analysis • Sell in all scenarios • Most likely will adjust my EPM to make earnings forecast higher • Hopefully will alleviate the situation
Sources Cited • Photos from Google images • Yahoo Finance: MNST • http://www.beverage-digest.com/pdf/top-10_2013.pdf