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Modeling Presence/Absence Data. Acknowledgements to WyomingFishing.net (electro-fishing pics ) and Michael Houts (Wolf data and article). Counting Fish. How are fish numbers calculated?
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Modeling Presence/Absence Data Acknowledgements to WyomingFishing.net (electro-fishing pics) and Michael Houts (Wolf data and article)
Counting Fish • How are fish numbers calculated? • “There are approximately 3200 trout per mile that are greater than 6” on the Miracle Mile…66% are Browns, 29% are Rainbows and 5% are Snake River Cutts • Where does this information come from? • Lots of ways to count fish and do fish surveys…will discuss a bit about electrofishing
Background – Electrofishing • Electrofishing • Portable generator • DC current from generator is at ??? volts to immobilize fish • Probes are electrodes which provide positive end of current • Nets are called “dip nets” • Back-up samplers catch missed fish • Fish placed in a flooded net
How Much Voltage to Use?? • Determining correct voltage is important…too little voltage will not allow sufficient capture…too much…well, we know what that means! • Voltage studies involve setting up tanks with similar water chemistry to stream of interest…place fish in tank, provide a voltage amount, observe if fish immobilized • electricfish.csv contains such a dataset
Plotting Using ‘Lattice’ R Code:
Small change in prob Big change in prob
Resource Selection • Understanding habitat selection by animals, plants, and aquatic species is an important problem faced by ecologists and wildlife biologists worldwide • If we know what sort of habitat critters select for, we can better manage these species • Will consider a data set, wolves_geo.csv, which reports wolf occurrence in two years following wolf re-introduction in the Greater Yellowstone Area
Data Description • RD_DENSITY is a measure of, well, road density • WOLVES_99 = 2 means the data came after 1999 • MAJOR_LC = codes for major land cover types (descriptions in landcover.txt) • Paper: Houts03.pdf
Project Fit the logistic regression model to the 1999 data set and create a column of predicted “probabilities” of wolf occurrence. Are the “predicted probabilities” really “probabilities”? Can we use this model to predict likely wolf occurrence across the five state region? Why/why not? Can you think of a better ‘design’ for building the initial model?