140 likes | 284 Views
Outline according to CWIs Ex-post application Acidification/eutrophication under under different deposition scenarios (Specific Workplan Item c) Robustness Links to biodiversity
E N D
Outline according to CWIs • Ex-post application • Acidification/eutrophication under under different deposition scenarios (Specific Workplan Item c) • Robustness • Links to biodiversity • Sulphur and nitrogen deposition, soil acidification, eutrophication and vegetation effects (Specific Workplan Item b) • Quantified trends • Comparing trends in sulphur and nitrogen deposition with EMEP results (Specific Workplan Item a) • Key parameters
Ex-post application • Development of acidification and eutrophication of forest soils under different • deposition scenarios (Specific Workplan Item c) • ICP M&M recommended (26th TFM in Paris) • Application of VSD+ and BERN Models • Cooperation between ICP M&M and other ICPs • ICP Forests cooperates with German NFC of ICP M&M (ÖKO-DATA) • ÖKO-DATA will for 75-100 ICP Forests Level II plots calculate • Critical loads for acidity and nitrogen (SMB-Model) • Critical loads exceedances • Dynamics of C and N (VSD+ Model) • Possibility degree • Species (BERN) • Plant communities (BERN) • Scenarios • Deposition • Climate
Ex-post application • For one Level II plot and • several years (1950-2030) • S and N deposition • EMEP (1950-1980) • ICP Forests (1996-2007) • CCE (2020-2030) • CL-function for eutrophication • Forest • 1950-2003 not protected • Thereafter protected
Ex-post application • Depending on • BS and C/N • Different forest communities • Starts as ash-beech forest • Remains beech forest • Available for • Species level • Extinction of species
Robustness • Regularly conducted • Laboratory intercomparison exercises (ringtests) • Soil analyses • Soil solution analyses • Precipitation (deposition) analyses • Needle-leaf chemistry • International intercalibration courses (ICCs) • Crown condition • Defoliation • Biotic and abiotic damage types • Deviations between labs decrease over time
Robustness • Results of water ringtests • Soil solution • Precipitation • Decrease • Percentage of non-tolerable results for each element • Variation between elements
Links with biodiversity • Canocial Correspondence Analysis • Explanation of variance in ground vegetation species by e. g. • pH • BS • CEC • N deposition • S deposition • BC deposition • on 477 Level II plots with • Ground vegetation • Soil condition • Deposition • Modelled (EMEP) • Measured by ICP Forests (181 plots)
Biodiversity • On 181 plots • Factors explained 19.23% of variance • Most important • Tree species • Soil • Deposition • Climate • N deposition and BC deposition • 15.0% of the explained variance • Small, but statistically significant impact
Quantified trends • Temporal trends • SO4 • NH4 and NO3 • Decrease minor • N bulk • N throughfall • Spatial trends compared • measured (ICP Forests) • modelled (EMEP)
Quantified trends • Superimposed • Wet deposition (EMEP, 50x50 km) • Bulk deposition (ICP Forests)
Quantified trends • For SO4: Visual coincidence • Blue ICP Forests plots in blue EMEP cells • Yellow ICP Forests plots in yellow EMEP cells • But r2 small (0.2 - 0.3)
Key parameters • Acidification • BS on 5500 Level I/II plots • ANC on 250 Level II plots • pH soil solution on 200 plots • pH solid soil on 4000 plots
Key parameters • Eutrophication • N pools on 515 Level II plots • NO3 leaching on 121 Level II plots
Results • Described in greater detail in • 3 Technical Reports • 1 Executive Report (glossy) • Laid out in the Salle