The Collaborative Research Project Changing Perceptions of Security and Interventions

1. Approach and Main Results Dr. Tony van Vliet The Collaborative Research Project Changing Perceptions of Security and Interventions

2. Overall CPSI Model Media Actual security Perceived security Background CPSI WP 5.1

3. Media Actual security Perceived security Background Perceived Security • Measuring (van Noije) • Data Warehouse (Knegt) • Results + Monitor (van Hemert) • 6 factors • perceived probability(perceived probability that people will become the victim of threat, violence, theft of car, burglary, etc.; six items) • fear(feelings of un-safety or insecurity at home and in the neighborhood; five items), • apprehension for property crime(level of unpleasantness when people think about the possibility of becoming a victim of property crimes such as burglary; five items), • apprehension for personal crime(level of unpleasantness when people think about the possibility of becoming a victim of personal crimes such as rape; five items), • perceived consequences of property crime(perceived seriousness of consequences of property crimes such as theft car and burglary; four items), • perceived consequences of personal crime(perceived seriousness of consequences of personal crimes such as rape and threat; four items) CPSI WP 5.1

4. Media Actual security Perceived security Background Actual Security • Measuring (Police Records) • Data Warehouse (Knegt) • Results (van Hemert) • Categories…. Threats Theft of cycles Theft of cars Theft of other vehicles Burglary from vehicles Burglary from business Burglary from storage Burglary from home Drug crime Abuse Assault Other property crime Robbery Mugging Shoplifting Material damage Pick pocketing Sex offenses Nuisance Neighbour nuisance Drug nuisance Traffic accident Traffic nuisance CPSI WP 5.1

5. Media Actual security Perceived security Background Background • Measuring (CBS) • Data Warehouse (Knegt) • Results (van Hemert) • Categories… Population density km2 Dwelling density km2 N of inhabitants N of households N of inhabitants P dwelling % Men Age % Indigenous Birth rate Death rate N of owned dwellings N of dwellings social rent N of dwellings private rent Average disposable income Average disposable income workers Average disposable income household Benefit WWB (until the age of 65) Benefit WWB (65 and older) Registered crimes CPSI WP 5.1

6. Media Actual security Perceived security Background Media • Measuring (RSS feeds & questionnaire items) • Data Warehouse (Knegt) • Results (van Hemert) • Media topics… Man-made disasters Discrimination Drugs Economic downturn Natural disasters Property crime Several Terrorism Violence & vandalism War & conflict CPSI WP 5.1

7. Media Actual security Perceived security Background Some overall results part 1 CPSI WP 5.1

8. Media Actual security Perceived security Background Some overall results part 2 CPSI WP 5.1

9. Media Actual security Perceived security Background Some overall results part 3 CPSI WP 5.1

10. Media Actual security Perceived security Background Some overall results part 4 CPSI WP 5.1

11. Media Actual security Perceived security Background Some overall results part 5 CPSI WP 5.1

12. Conclusion • CPSI method works • Combining data sources facilitates insight • Resolution postal codes allows for complex analyses without compromising privacy (van Gorp) • Makes assessment of interventions possible (resolution….) • Implementable at city level or higher CPSI WP 5.1