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Changing Landscape of Development Agenda (Where are we now & wayforward?). December 8, 2012 Hiroto Arakawa Vice-President Japan International Cooperation Agency. Outline. Post-Busan: Diversified Players Modality Global Issue Communication Tool (IT/SNS)
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Changing Landscape of Development Agenda(Where are we now & wayforward?) December 8, 2012 Hiroto Arakawa Vice-President Japan International Cooperation Agency
Outline • Post-Busan: Diversified Players • Modality • Global Issue • Communication Tool (IT/SNS) • Post-2015 Global Development Goals (MDGs or SDGs?) • Wayforward
(1) Private Sector ⇒ PPPs, FDIs, Trade, Finance (Volume & Quality) (2) CSOs ⇒ ex. Gates Foundation in Health Sector (3) Emerging Donors ⇒ South-South Collaboration (Tacit & More Relevant) ・Emerging economics :Korea, China,Mongolia,Indonesia・・・・ 1. Post-Busan: Diversified Players (G7→G20→G0)- From Aid Effectiveness to Development Effectiveness - • How to → Coordinate (Policy alignment?) • → Measure (Impact Assessment, RCT & etc.) • OECD, DAC ⇒?
KOREA • Green Climate Fund (100billions dollars/ year by 2020) • ⇒ Incheon City, Korea (Oct., 2012) • Global Green Growth Institute (International Organization, June, 2012) • ⇒ Seoul, Korea • Chairman: Lars Rasmussen (Denmark) • Co-Chair : Nicholas Stern (UK. LSE) • Executive Director : Richard Samans (US) • 3. World Bank Seoul Office • ⇒ Oct., 2012 (agreed) • 4. S. G. of UN, President of W.B.
Malaysia: Global Movement of Moderates Foundation (2012) ⇒ Prime Minister’s Initiative Thailand: NEDA CHINA: Ministry of Commerce, China EXIM Bank Indonesia: South/South cooperation Conference ( July, 2012) (W.B/UNDP/JICA/Indonesia Government)
2. Modality • Traditional ODA: • ・Grants( Financial & Technical ) and Concessional Loans • Emerging Modality: • Catastrophic Risk • ・Insurance Agricultural Risk • Climate Change Risk • ・Guarantee • (3) Others: • ・Remittance • ・Migration • ・Eradication of Agricultural Subsidies in advancedeconomics • ・TradeBarriers • ・Etc.
3. Global Issue & Global Public Goods • Global Climate Change ( COP15-18) • Global Financial Architecture • 1997: East Asia Currency Crisis • 2008: Lehman Shock • 2011: Euro Crisis • (3) Bird Flue, Infectious Disease
4. Communication Tool (IT/SNS) • New Development Path: • Leap-Frogging to Service Industry • Impact on Private Business • (3) Knowledge Sharing
5. Post-2015 Global Agenda (MDGs or SDGs) • Current MDGs • ・ Simple & Measurable ( Easy to buy in , ex. Sweden) • ・ DAC,UNled • ・ Critical events • (2) Post-2015 MDGs (SDGs) • ・ Process: Multi-stakeholders, No strong Leadership(GO) • ・ Global Issue: COP18? • ・ Fiscal Space of Advanced economies • ・ Christmas Tree? ⇔ Simple & Measurable? • ・ Attractiveness from Political Aspect • ・Governance
6. Wayforward • Complementary relationship among Diversified Players • ex. • ・ Development Program Loan(ODA)⇔PPPs, Trade, FDIs • ・ Capacity Development (ODA, T/A)⇔PPP • ・ Risk mitigation measures by ODA • ・ PK Polio Case • (2) Common framework in Developing Countries • ・ Alignment with sector policy., reform efforts • ・ Debt-sustainability • (3) Global Common Platform • ・ @Development .com • ・ World Economic Forum
① L/A JICA PK Government ② T/A Polio Eradication Project ③ Repay (Capacity Development) GatesFoundation
② L/A JICA Recipient Government Policy Reform Policy Reform Tax PPPs PDI