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Assessing Vulnerabilities: A Panel Discussion

Assessing Vulnerabilities: A Panel Discussion. Panelists. Lindsay Cross , Tampa Bay Estuary Program. Allison Yeh , Hillsborough County Metropolitan Planning Organization/Planning Commission. Burrell Montz , East Carolina University. Defining Vulnerability.

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Assessing Vulnerabilities: A Panel Discussion

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  1. Assessing Vulnerabilities:A Panel Discussion

  2. Panelists Lindsay Cross, Tampa Bay Estuary Program Allison Yeh, Hillsborough County Metropolitan Planning Organization/Planning Commission Burrell Montz, East Carolina University

  3. Defining Vulnerability • 25+ definitions/concepts in the literature • UN/ISDR Definition: “The conditions determined by physical, social, economic and environmental factors and processes which increase the susceptibility of a community…” • Definition of community?

  4. Characteristics of Vulnerability • Multi-dimensional and differential • Scale dependent • Dynamic (Vogel and O’Brien, 2004) Flood Inundation Vulnerability

  5. Key Spheres of Vulnerability Birkmann, 2006

  6. Key Considerations • Susceptibility • Exposure • Coping Capacity • Adaptive Capacity

  7. Assessing Vulnerability: A Geographer’s Perspective • Institutional • Socio-Economic • Perceptual

  8. Institutional: Coastal Planning Monitz, 2011

  9. Physical Vulnerability Scores 1.0-1.49 = extremely low vulnerability 2.5-3.29 = moderate vulnerability 4.4-5.0 = extremely high vulnerability

  10. Total Planning Scores

  11. Socio-Economic: Differential Loss Patterns

  12. Hardest Hit in Hurricane Charley • Senior Living Developments • Manufactured homes • Snowbirds (Montz and Tobin, 2005)

  13. Structure Type & Age Matter Pine Acres Lakewood Village

  14. Hardest Hit

  15. Perceptual:Understanding Vulnerability • Landfall on August 27, 2011 near the Beaufort, North Carolina • Weakened from a category 3 to 1 • Track shifted to the west

  16. Final Comments • Who is vulnerable • Why • Institutional • Socio-Economic • Perceptual • How vulnerable • To what • When Critical Facilities and Hazard Zones

  17. Rhoda and Burton, 2010

  18. References • Birkmann, J. 2006. Measuring vulnerability to promote disaster-resilient societies: conceptual frameworks and definitions. In Birkmann, J (ed) Measuring Vulnerability to Natural Hazards: Towards Disaster Resilient Societies. Tokyo: United Nations University Press. • Monitz, G.I. 2011. Using Vulnerability and Planning Data to Measure Resilience in Coastal North Carolina. Unpublished MA thesis, Department of Geography, East Carolina University • Montz, B.E. and G.A. Tobin. 2005. Snowbirds and Senior Living Developments: An Analysis of Vulnerability Associated with Hurricane Charley. Quick Response Research Report 177. Boulder, CO: Natural Hazards Research and Applications Information Center • Pace, W. 2013. Perceptions of Hurricane Risk Among North Carolina’s Coastal Residents: A Case Study of Hurricane Irene. Unpublished MA thesis, Department of Geography, East Carolina University • Pace, W. and B.E. Montz. 2014. Category change and risk perception: Hurricane Irene and coastal North Carolina. Journal of Emergency Management 12(6): 467- 477 • Rhoda, R. and T. Burton. 2010. Geo-Mexico: The Geography and Dynamics of Modern Mexico. Vancouver Island, Canada: Sombrero Books. • Vogel, C. and K. O’Brien. 2004. Vulnerability and global environmental change: rhetoric and reality. Aviso 13: 1-8.

  19. Thank you

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