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Learn how to conduct a comprehensive labor shed analysis to identify current sectors, projected job openings, educational requirements, and wages. Validate findings to ensure accuracy.
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Upper Shore Labor Shed Dan McDermott
Dan McDermott Why Do A Labor Shed Analysis? • Anecdotal vs Data Based Decision • Determine Gaps- Training, Job Search Techniques • Because it was fairly obvious at the DOL Institutes
Dan McDermott How to do a Labor Shed Analysis • Get some money • Write a Request for Proposals • Publish the Request for Proposals • Evaluate the Requests for Proposals • Realize you can’t afford the Labor Shed Analysis • Do it yourself • Use the money for programs vs Labor Shed Analysis
Dan McDermott “Sheds” • Laborshed • Where workers live who are employed in a selected area • Watershed • The area of land that separates waters flowing to different rivers or seas Source: United States Environmental Protection Agency Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott Upper Shore Labor Shed Analysis • Identify top 5 current sectors in the labor shed region • Identify the top sector in the labor shed region • Identify projected openings within the top sector in the region based on growth and replacement demand. • Identify job titles, average wage, educational requirements for the top occupations within the sector identified • Identify largest employers for each job title identified within the top sector.
Dan McDermott Validation • Are the projected openings: too high, too low or about right? • Are the average wages: too high, too low or about right? • What about LPNs? • What about Phlebotomy? • Where are dental jobs listed?
Dan McDermott Methodology • Use Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics (LEHD) to determine commutable area • Use LEHD to determine top 10 three digit North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) sectors for the commutable region • Compare the top 10 NAICS sectors for Upper Shore and commutable area
Dan McDermott Methodology • Determine the top 5 sectors for the Upper Shore • Determine the top 5 sectors for the commutable region • Compare the Upper Shore and commutable region • Determine the top 5 sectors for the Upper Shore labor shed • Determine the top sector for the Upper Shore labor shed
Dan McDermott Methodology • Utilize Maryland Workforce Exchange and to find job openings in the top sector • Utilize employer websites to determine job openings in the Upper Shore • Utilize employment projections from DLLR to determine future demand • Utilize training information to determine if credentialing is available • Validate findings with employers
Dan McDermott Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott 22552 17418 8794 8124
Dan McDermott Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott Source: Employer Websites
Dan McDermott Source: Maryland Department of Labor, Licensing and Regulation and Employer Websites
Dan McDermott Validation • Are the projected openings: too high, too low or about right? • Are the average wages: too high, too low or about right? • What about LPNs? • What about Phlebotomy? • Where are dental jobs listed?
Dan McDermott Validation Meeting April 19, 2011 • Mary Pat Harrell Genesis • Kim Honeycutt Comfort Keepers • Jeanne Bromwell AHEC, Deputy Director • Jake Frego AHEC, Exec. Director • Cassandra Stanley Eastern Shore Hospital Center • Carla Neugroschel Dorchester County Health Department • Doug Wilson Peninsula Regional Medical Center • Jeanie Holt AA - Dental Hygienist • Addie Eckhart State Delegate
Dan McDermott Positions discussed during validation meeting • Doctor • RN • AA-RN • Certified Medicine Aide (CMA) • Certified Nurse Aide (CNA) • Certified Geriatric Aide (GNA) • LPN • Phlebotomist • Surgical Technician • Radiologic Technician • Dental Assistant • Dental Hygienist • Medical Tech • Patient Tech • Nurse Practitioner • Physical Therapist • Occupational Therapist • Recreational Therapist • Speech Therapist • Direct Care Assistant • Health Aide • Patient Sitter
Dan McDermott Are Job Projections Accurate? • Too Low • Aging population of health care workers will result in significant positive impact on openings • Health care reform will have a significant positive impact on openings • Health care reform will have a significant positive impact on mid level practitioner openings ex: nurse practitioner, dental hygienist, physician assistant
Dan McDermott Is wage data accurate? • LPN wages are too high • Wage rates are close to average in general- within an acceptable range • Government wage rates are lower than averages presented
Dan McDermott What is the future for the LPN certification? • Most employers are phasing out LPNs • LPNs can “evaluate but not assess”, therefore, an RN must provide assessment • RNs with an Associate’s Degree seem to be the “replacement” for LPNs
Dan McDermott How does phlebotomy fit into local healthcare hiring? • National companies such as Quest and Labcorp are the major employers of phlebotomists
Dan McDermott Where are other healthcare jobs such as dental listed? • Word of mouth among affiliate groups • ESAHEC lists some jobs • Networking among employers and jobseekers • Not listed in newspapers
Dan McDermott Other areas of discussion • Median wage data may be more useful than average wage data • Many employers are using travel nurses and other temporary staffing options • New RNs are hard to place- Genesis has a 3 week orientation program, Shore Health’s critical Care University • Job titles in employment postings create confusion- medical tech: C.N.A vs 4 year degree position
Dan McDermott Other areas of discussion • “Uncoupling”: dental hygienists from dentists, physician’s assistants from physicians • Health care reform’s impact on health care delivery is evolving