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ET, where are you? Chapter 12 Day 27. S.E.T.I. Ch. 12 - HW. Due Fri. 29 April 1, 2, 9, 25, 29, 32, 35, 43, 44, 47. Announcements. Final Exam – Tuesday May 5 – 0800 Presentations – Wednesday, April 29 Chapter 13 – HW – due exam time 1, 6, 11, 33, 34, 35, 49, 50, 51, 52, 55.
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ET, where are you? Chapter 12 Day 27 S.E.T.I.
Ch. 12 - HW • Due Fri. 29 April • 1, 2, 9, 25, 29, 32, 35, 43, 44, 47
Announcements • Final Exam – Tuesday May 5 – 0800 • Presentations – Wednesday, April 29 • Chapter 13 – HW – due exam time • 1, 6, 11, 33, 34, 35, 49, 50, 51, 52, 55
The Drake Equation • 1961 – 1st SETI conference, Green Bank, WV • Number of civilizations in our galaxy (or the Universe at large) from which we could potentially get a signal. • Does NOT give a definitive answer. • Rather, it lays out the factors that are important in determining this number.
The Drake Equation • Number of Civilizations = NHP X flife X fciv X fnow • NHP -Number of habitable planets in galaxy • flife -Number of habitable planets that have life • fciv -Fraction of life-bearing planets where a civilization capable of IS communication at some time has arisen. • fnow -Fraction of habitable planets with civilization now, not in the past.
Cosmic Calculation #1 • What is the volume that civilizations could occupy in the galaxy? • Assume limited to the disk. Why? • Metallicity content • Age of stars
Is Intelligence Widespread? • If life is widespread, what about intelligence? • SETI is only successful if THEY communicate. • Homo sapiens have only started to understand the environment and explore the cosmos in the last <500 years. • Suggests a long period of evolution is required to produce technologically intelligent creatures. • Chance events • body plans in Cambrian explosion • K-T extinctor
Convergent Evolution • The tendency of organisms of different evolutionary backgrounds that occupy similar ecological niches to resemble each other. • Large marine predators – dolphins & sharks • Eyesight (eyes evolved eight times).
Encephalization Quotient (EQ) • Raw brain power based on brain mass. • Simple measure • EQ = 1 line – general intelligence • Above line – capable of elaborate behavior • Below line – less mentally agile
Evolution of Intelligence • Humans don't have the largest brains. • Is the largest in relation to body mass.
Early SETI • Marconi (1874-1937) • Tesla (1856-1943) • Both claimed to have heard aliens on the radio. • Probably “whistlers” • Low frequencies which don't penetrate atmos.
Modern SETI - Origins • 1959 – Cocconi & Morrison – Cornell Univ. • Galaxy is older than solar system, so could be civilizations around linger than ours. • Band – set of freqs receiver is sensitive to. • Bandwidth – a particular freq. in the band. • Governed by how much information is xmitted.
Announcements • Final Exam – Tuesday May 5 – 0800 • Presentations – Wednesday, April 29 • Dept. Spring picnic this afternoon • 4:30pm, fairgrounds • Chapter 13 – HW – due exam time • 1, 6, 11, 33, 34, 35, 49, 50, 51, 52, 55
SETI - Today • Categories of Signals • Local communications on other world. • Communications between home world & other site. • Intentional signal beacons. (Project Ozma) • In theory, SETI can detect all three types. 26m dish at NRAO-Green Bank
Our Own Signals • Broadcast in ~1950, just past 50 ly distance. • High power, high-frequency TV • > 2000 stars in this volume. • Star map
A Signal Look for: repetition, prime numbers … 1974 – signal sent to M13 (bad choice in hind sight). – 21,000 ly distant.
SETI - Today • Current SETI projects
Radio –vs.– Optical • Radio is a logical choice since we developed radio capability early (didn’t everyone?) • Dust blocks light in the denser parts of the Galactic plane. • Limits our view to a few hundred parsecs. • Not as big an issue today. • But how? • Laser pulses - doesn’t everyone know Morse code? • Lick – 500 ly search distance • Harvard also has a project going.
Artifacts • 2001: A Space Odyssey • The TMA is clearly not natural.
Artifacts • Parking spaces – Lagrange points • Manufacturing plants.
Types of Civilizations • Nikolai Kardashev – 20th century Planetary (Type I) – use resources of home planet. Stellar (Type II) – corral resources of home star. Galactic (Type III) – employ resources of entire galaxy. • We’re in the first category. • What would be the hallmark of the third? “Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.” – Sir Arthur C. Clarke
Type II Civilizations • Dyson Sphere Freeman Dyson • Could detect the IR radiation
Big Question • What if we succeed in finding another civilization? • Declaration of Principles Concerning Activities Following the Detection of Extraterrestrial Intelligence Sistilli NASA experience Jill Tarter at Arecibo
UFOs • Project Bluebook • Day the Earth Stood Still • War of the Worlds • Mars Attacks
Evidence of Visitation • Roswell, NM • July 8, 1947 • 2009 Conference
Evidence of Visitation • Crop Circles • Abductions “Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.” - Carl Sagan
Ancient Visitations? • Nazca Line Drawings in Peru, ~2000 years ago. • Mayan pyramids • Easter Island heads
If we find them, can we visit? Chapter 13 Interstellar TravelFermi Paradox
Challenges of Interstellar Travel • Pioneer 10, 11; Voyager 1, 2; New Horizons • All five are headed out of Solar System • No place in particular. • All carry messages.
Challenges of Interstellar Travel • Pioneer 10 – headed to Aldebaran • Pioneer 11 - Aquila • At current average speed P10 will rqr 115,000 yrs to reach Alpha Centauri (if it was headed there), the closest star system to us – 4.4 ly • Pioneer 10 plaque
Speed of Light – the Real Issue • Special Theory of Relativity – Einstein • Can't travel through space faster than speed of light. • Closest star system – 8.8 years round trip • Not counting acceleration time. • Energy – even at 10% speed of light, a ship that could carry 5000 people at 18,000 kg/person (Titanic) – 100,000,000 kg. • Using ½mv2 = E ==> 4.5 X 1022 Joules • 100 times the world's annual energy use.
Rockets • Cosmic Calculation 13.1 (pg 442). • Rocket Equation • Rocketry began (in earnest) in the early 1900s • Tsiolkovsky, Goddard, Oberth • The issue is mass ratio ~39 for the most efficient chemical system. Requires multi-stage vehicles to achieve Earth orbit. • A 100-stage Saturn V – ignore all the other issues – could only achieve 0.1% of speed of light (0.001c).
Konstantin Tsiolkovsky Robert Goddard
B.D.B. Mass Ratio – 23.1 13,300 kg to Moon
Rockets • What about non-chemical propulsion? • Nuclear • Fission is only 0.07% efficient, mass conversion. But, dwarfs chemical. • Fusion, 0.7%. • Use reactor to heat a propellant and expel it. • Early NERVA projects were in development in 50s and 60s.
Exotic Nuclear Projects • Project Orion – good use of bombs? • Not the current Orion • ~100 yrs to Alpha Centaurus
Exotic Nuclear Projects • Project Daedalus – BIS • Deuterium pellets – fusion powered • 50 yrs to Barnard's Star.
Exotic Nuclear Projects • Ion engines • Low power (impulse) but long firing (years-decades) • Tested in space – ESA and NASA
Solar Sails • Very large. Probably limited to interplanetary. • Space test planned “soon”. • Lasers?
How about near the speed of Light? • Relativity • Time dilation – time slows down on board the ship as you approach c. • Cosmic calculation • 13.2 (pg 451) • Constant acceleration • 500ly in 12 years • But 500 yrs on Earth
How about near the speed of Light? • Matter – Antimatter propulsion • 100% conversion. • But, how contain it? • IS Ramjets • Collisions
Hyperspace • Relativity • If we can't go at or beyond the speed of light in space, what about bending or folding, spacetime? • Einstein – General theory of relativity. Energy to create a mass to warp space.
Black Holes, Wormholes • How control a BH? • Massive ones might be stable • Torus in core?
Fermi Paradox • If we're not special, then there should be older civilizations in the galaxy. Where are they? • Von Neumann machines – self replicating. • Would other civilizations try to colonize the galaxy? • Coral model • 10% c, 150 years to 5ly • Entire galaxy in 10 Myr • 100 Myr at 1% c
Motives to Colonize • Humans want to explore. Are we unique? • Extinction-proof civilization • Population control? - Not likely.
Fermi Paradox - Solutions 1. We are alone, therefore we are it. 2. Civilizations are common – but no one has colonized the galaxy. A. Technological difficulties. B. Sociological considerations. C. Self-destruction. 3. There is a galactic civilization – they just don't want to deal with us. Zoo hypothesis Sentinel hypothesis