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OSTP Update

OSTP Update. Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse Physical Sciences and Engineering Office of Science and Technology Policy Executive Office of the President. FY2007 SYSTEM CRASH!. The Budget Cycle. 2. Agencies prepare and submit proposed budgets to OMB. 1. OSTP & OMB issue guidance

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OSTP Update

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  1. OSTP Update Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse Physical Sciences and Engineering Office of Science and Technology Policy Executive Office of the President Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  2. FY2007 SYSTEM CRASH! The Budget Cycle 2. Agencies prepare and submit proposed budgets to OMB 1. OSTP & OMB issue guidance memorandum on R&D priorities 3. Passback, negotiations, & appeals between agencies and EOP 9. Agencies make decisions on allocation of resources consistent with enacted appropriations and program plans 4. President makes final decisions and sends Budget Request to Congress 5. Congress reviews, considers, & approves overall Budget Request 8. President signs or vetoes appropriations bills 7. Congress marks up & passes agency appropriations bills 6. Appropriations hearings with agencies & EOP on individual programs Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  3. The FY2008 President’s Budget continues to prioritize the American Competitiveness Initiative Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  4. President Bush’s ACI Research Commitment(in millions of dollars) Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  5. NASA Science(in millions of dollars) Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  6. Research Business Models Education & Workforce Dev. Networking & Information Technology Global Change Research National Security R&D Aquaculture International* Air Quality Research Human Subjects Research Nanoscale Science, Engineering & Technology Physics of the Universe Regional Stability and Nation Building Disaster Reduction Plant Genome Ecosystems WMD Medical Countermeasures Advanced Technologies For Education & Training Dom. Animal Genomics Standards Toxics & Risks Prion Science Trans-Border Research Materials Water Availability & Quality Decontamination Standards and Technologies Multinational Orgs* US Group on Earth Observations Foreign Animal Disease Threats R&D Investment Criteria** Scientific Collections Infrastructure Biometrics IWG on Dioxin Oceans S & T Export Controls for S&T NSTC Director, OSTP NSTC StructureNovember 2005 National Science & Technology Council Committee on Environment & Natural Resources Committee on Technology Committee on Science Committee on Homeland and National Security WH: Sharon Hays NSF: Arden Bement NIH: Elias Zerhouni WH: Richard Russell DOC: Ben Wu WH: Sharon Hays DOC: Conrad Lautenbacher EPA: George Gray WH: Sharon Hays DOD: Ken Krieg DHS: Charles McQueary Manufacturing Research & Development Aeronautics S& T Biotechnology *in development **Informal Social, Behavioral & Econ. Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  7. Interagency Working Group on the Physics of the Universe • Originally established to formulate an implementation plan for the opportunities identified in the 2002 NRC report Connecting Quarks with the Cosmos: Eleven Science Questions for the New Century • Report released in February 2004 Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  8. Interagency Working Group on the Physics of the Universe • Co-chairs: Robin Staffin (DoE-SC), Joe Dehmer (NSF-PHY), Michael Salamon (NASA-SMD) • Will report on progress made towards interagency coordination on items discussed in the PoU report. • Interagency Task Force on High Energy Density Physics under the auspices of the PoU IWG; report imminent • Interagency Lessons-Learned Task Force: an ad-hoc task force under the auspices of the PoU IWG; draft report in progress Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  9. OSTP Endorses Process of NSF Astronomy Senior ReviewDecember 22, 2007 Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  10. The Role of NRC Decadal Surveys in Prioritizing Federal Funding for Science & Technology Beneficial aspects of NRC Decadal Surveys • Community-based documents that provide consensus views of frontier science opportunities for maintaining the Nation’s scientific leadership • Provides for each field a single, well-respected source for community priorities and the scientific motivations to the agencies, OMB, OSTP, and the Congress • Limits the range of activities to consider for funding • Cost estimates, technical risk assessments, and technology roadmaps aid in budget planning Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  11. The Role of NRC Decadal Surveys in Prioritizing Federal Funding for Science & Technology Issues and concerns with NRC Decadal Surveys • Prioritizing specific projects can become static and inflexible, with little ability to account for project setbacks, new discoveries, changing budgetary circumstances, etc. • Technical risks are often not well known or stated clearly • Cost estimates have often been inaccurate • Project cost estimates too low and do not reflect total lifecycle costs • Recommended project portfolios cannot fit in any realistic budget scenario (unrealistic expectations) • Small, medium, and large projects are not compared to each other • Surveys often do not address how projects should be phased, individually or relative to each other • Surveys usually assume only growth in the number and scale of facilities and missions, and do not identify offsets in the existing portfolios to enable new initiatives Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  12. The Role of NRC Decadal Surveys in Prioritizing Federal Funding for Science & Technology What is most useful for making decisions? • Frame the discussion by identifying the key science questions • Focus on what you want to do, not on what you want to build • Discuss the breadth and depth of the science (e.g., impact on our understanding of fundamental processes, impact on related fields and interdisciplinary research, etc.) • Then explain what measurements and capabilities are needed to answer each question • Discuss the complementary nature of initiatives, relative phasing (domestic and international context) • How do various past, present, and future measurements and facilities work together to answer the questions? • What roles do/could private, interagency, and international partnerships play? • Reporting by capabilities (e.g., wavelength range, in situ vs. remote sensing, etc.) is not useful for policy and budget planning Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  13. The Role of NRC Decadal Surveys in Prioritizing Federal Funding for Science & Technology Suggested Improvements • Establish science and project priorities in the broad context of past, present, and future projects and changing conditions • New initiatives, upgrades and/or recapitalizations • Establish relative priority amongst new initiatives, projects currently under development (e.g., from previous Surveys), operating projects, R&A, PI-led projects, and technology/R&D investment needs • Prioritize across all initiatives vs. grouping into small, medium, large (i.e., remove ambiguities about what is meant by “a balanced program”) • Explain the associated risks (technical, dependencies on other projects) • Assume that large projects (> $1B) will need international support • Provide tables that summarize key information about science & projects • Provide timeline/phasing charts and diagrams for project portfolios under various budget scenarios • Consider adding non-specialists or even non-scientists to committees to aid in communicating societal benefits (e.g., interdisciplinary aspects, education, workforce training, public outreach) Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  14. The Role of NRC Decadal Surveys in Prioritizing Federal Funding for Science & Technology Managing Expectations • Acknowledge stewardship role in taxpayer investment • Identify highest priority activities but within a framework that allows flexibility to react to new scientific opportunities • Use order-of-magnitude lifecycle cost estimates instead of specific (often under-estimated) construction costs or costs by decade • Explain how circumstances (e.g., project overruns, changing budget forecasts, phasing with other projects, new discoveries) would change priorities • Consider multiple, realistic budget profiles and what science various profiles would buy • Work with agencies, OMB, Congress to define constraints • Macro-budgetary pressures are expected to increase during the next decade, so flat budget projections may actually be optimistic • Also need to consider project terminations that allow new initiatives to move forward (part of Decadal Survey or subsequent Senior Review process) Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  15. Backup slides Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  16. Executive Office of the President (EOP) White House Office (Homeland Security Council, Office of Faith-Based Initiatives, Freedom Corps) Office of Management & Budget (OMB) Office of the Vice President President’s Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board US Trade Representative (USTR) National Security Council (NSC) Domestic Policy Council Nat’l Economic Council Nat’l AIDS Policy Office of Administration Council of Environmental Quality (CEQ) Office of National Drug Control Policy Primarily career staff Office of Science & Technology Policy (OSTP) Council of Economic Advisors (CEA) Primarily political staff Mix of detailees, career, political Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  17. OSTP-What We Do • Advise the President and others within the Executive Office of the President on the impacts of science and technology on domestic and international affairs; • Lead interagency efforts to develop and implement sound science and technology policies and budgets; • Work with the private sector to ensure Federal investments in science and technology contribute to economic prosperity, environmental quality, and national security; • Build strong partnerships among Federal, State, and local governments, other countries, and the scientific community; • Evaluate the scale, quality, and effectiveness of the Federal effort in science and technology. Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

  18. NSTC PCAST Director Chief of Staff Deputy Chief of Staff Associate Director andDeputy Director for Technology Deputy Director forHomeland and National Security Associate Director and Deputy Director for Science Senior DirectorHomeland and National Security Deputy to the Associate Director Science Deputy to the Associate Director Technology ADMINISTRATIVESTAFF Administration Budget Security Office SupportComputing Assistant DirectorHomeland Security Assistant DirectorLife Sciences Assistant DirectorTechnology R&D Assistant DirectorNational Security Assistant DirectorEnvironment Assistant DirectorSpace & Aeronautics FUNCTIONALSTAFF Legal affairs Legislative affairs Budget analysis Communications International NSTC PCAST Assistant DirectorPhysical Sciences & Engineering Assistant DirectorNatl. Security/ Emergency Preparedness Com. Assistant DirectorSocial, Behavioral & Education Science Assistant DirectorTelecom & Information Tech OSTP-Who We Are Rob Dimeo & Jon Morse February 8, 2007 OSTP

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