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CHAPTER 9. The Health Care Market. Social Insurance. Social insurance - government programs that provide insurance to protect against adverse events Examples Medicaid Medicare Social Security Unemployment Compensation. How Health Insurance Works. Insurance premium Expected Value
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CHAPTER 9 The Health Care Market
Social Insurance • Social insurance - government programs that provide insurance to protect against adverse events • Examples • Medicaid • Medicare • Social Security • Unemployment Compensation
How Health Insurance Works • Insurance premium • Expected Value • Expected value (EV) = probability of outcome 1) * (Payout in outcome 1) + probability of outcome 2)*(Payout in outcome 2) + … + (probability of outcome n)*(Payout in outcome n)
Expected Value Computation Draw cards from deck of cards Draw heart and receive $12 Draw spade, diamond or club and lose $4 Probability of drawing heart = 13/52 = ¼ Probability of drawing spade, diamond or club = 39/52 = ¾ EV = (1/4)($12) + (3/4)(-$4) = $0
Why Buy Insurance? Actuarially Fair Insurance Policy
Why People Buy Insurance B UB Utility D UD UC C • Expected Utility • Risk Smoothing A UA Income 20,000 47,000 50,000
Do People Buy Insurance with Loading Fees? • Risk Aversion • Risk Premium • Loading Fee
The Role of Risk Pooling • Insurance in a small population • Insurance in a large population • Law of large numbers
Adverse Selection in the Health Insurance Market • Asymmetric information
Does Adverse Selection Justify Government Intervention? • Experience rating • Experience rating and equity • Community rating
Insurance and Moral Hazard • Moral hazard • Deductible • Co-payment • Co-insurance
Moral Hazard Flat-of-the-curve medicine Price per unit deadweight loss b a Sm P0 h .2P0 Dm 0 M0 M1 Medical services per year
Additional Considerations • The Elasticity of Demand for Medical Services • Does Moral Hazard Justify Government Intervention? • Third Party Payment
Other Market Failures in the Health Care Market • Information Problems • Externalities
Do We Want Efficient Provision of Health Care? • Paternalism • The Problem of the Uninsured • Who are the uninsured? • Does health insurance improve health
Causes of Health Care Cost Inflation • The Graying of America • Income Growth • Improvements in Quality • Commodity Egalitarianism