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Jack Ohman, 1991, The Oregonian

Tsunami Hazard Mitigation in Oregon Update on FY08-09 Accomplishments NTHMP Annual Meeting Pasadena, California January 27, 2010 Robert C. Witter Oregon Department of Geology Althea Turner Oregon Emergency Management.

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Jack Ohman, 1991, The Oregonian

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  1. Tsunami Hazard Mitigation in OregonUpdate on FY08-09 AccomplishmentsNTHMP Annual MeetingPasadena, CaliforniaJanuary 27, 2010 Robert C. Witter Oregon Department of Geology Althea Turner Oregon Emergency Management

  2. New research by Chris Goldfinger places the probability of the next Cascadia earthquake at about 80% by 2059 Jack Ohman, 1991, The Oregonian Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  3. State of Oregon FY08 NTHMP Grant Overview Total award: $253,910 FY08 Objectives • Initiate tsunami hazard assessment in Bandon, Oregon. • Promote tsunami risk mitigation and preparedness. • Support NWS TsunamiReady program. Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  4. FY08 Objective 1:Bandon Tsunami Hazard Assessment • Tasks Accomplished (1a) Cascadia earthquake source model completed. (1b) Tsunami deposits data compiled for Bandon area. (1c) Unstructured computational grid generated; Over 50 test simulations completed at Bradley Lake; Final inundation runs (30) planned for March 2010. (1d) Project management ongoing; Contributed to NTHMP partnership; Cochair, NTHMP Mapping & Modeling Subcommittee; Preparation of GIS database and final report, spring-summer 2010. Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  5. FY08 Objective 1:Bandon Tsunami Hazard Assessment • Issues • Scheduling conflicts among science team delayed development of earthquake source model. • Incorporating new lidar data into computational grid proved more time consuming than expected. • Fixes • No cost one-year extension granted. Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  6. FY08 Objective 2:Promote Tsunami Preparedness • Tasks Accomplished (2a) Attended over 15 outreach and education events; Informed ODOT on earthquake and tsunami hazards. (2b) Posted interactive tsunami evacuation maps online; http://www.nanoos.org/data/products/oregon_tsunami_evacuation_zones/index.php Helped Cannon Beach install evacuation map signs. (2c) Carried out first annual Tsunami Road Show. (2d) Provided technical assistance to Pacific Peril exercise. (2e) Produced 8-min Oregon tsunami preparedness video in partnership with USGS. Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  7. FY08 Objective 2:Promote Tsunami Preparedness • Issues • NTHMP Subcommittee co-chairs requested clarification on subtasks 2b – 2e . • All subtasks were not explicitly described in FY08 proposal, which led to confusion. • Subtasks 2b – 2e contribute to overall outcomes targeted by Objective 2 and support task 2a. • Worked with Oregon Tsunami Advisory Council to develop FY09-012 Oregon Tsunami Outreach Program. Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  8. FY08 Objective 3:TsunamiReady Support • Tasks Accomplished (3a) Design for Lincoln City blue-lens strobe warning signals complete; installation planned for Jan. 2010; Lincoln City renewed TsunamiReady designation. (3b) Procured 326 tsunami signs for Tillamook County, Lincoln City, Yachats, and Coos Bay (complete). • Issues • No cost one-year extension granted to complete both projects. Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  9. State of Oregon FY09 NTHMP Grant Overview Total award: $710,992 FY09 Objectives • Complete new generation of tsunami inundation maps for Oregon. • Empower public to prepare for tsunamis and build communities resilient to a broad spectrum of coastal hazards. • Build a sustainable, community-based outreach and education program that supports TsunamiReady. Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  10. FY09 Objective 1:New Tsunami Inundation Maps • Progress on Tasks (1.1.1) Bandon tsunami simulations underway; (1.1.2) Compilation of geologic evidence for prehistoric tsunamis in Bandon area complete; (1.1.3) Project management ongoing; GIS database and final report planned for spring-summer 2010. (1.2.1) Tsunami deposits data compiled for southern OR; (1.2.2) Field checking planned for summer 2010; (1.2.3) Supporting NGDC and CA with development of tsunami deposits database. Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  11. FY09 Objective 1:New Tsunami Inundation Maps • Progress Continued (1.3) Tsunami simulations for southern Oregon coast; (1.3.1) DEM development ongoing; generation of computational grid(s) planned for April-May 2010; (1.3.2) Selected southern Oregon tsunami simulations planned June-July 2010; (1.3.3) Preparation of GIS database and final report planned for fall 2010. Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  12. FY09 Objective 1:New Tsunami Inundation Maps • Issues • Grid resolution limits computational speed • Southern Oregon tsunami simulations delayed to summer 2010 Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  13. FY09 Objective 2:Empower Public to Prepare • Progress on Tasks (2.1) Produce tsunami evacuation maps for 7 coastal communities in southern Oregon (fall 2010). (2.2) Update online tsunami evacuation map (fall 2010). (2.3) Post new data to Tsunami Information Clearinghouse (fall 2010). • Issues • Evacuation maps and update to online data contingent on completing southern Oregon inundation map by fall 2010. Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  14. FY09 Objective 3:Sustainable, Grassroots Outreach • Progress on Tasks (3.1) Identify and support Tsunami Outreach Coordinator (complete). (3.2) Help 3 communities meet TsunamiReady requirements (ongoing progress) (3.3) Contribute to Tsunami Information Clearinghouse (ongoing) (3.4) Identify 3 community organizers (February 2010) (3.5) Coordinate the 2010 Tsunami Road Show (April 2010) Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  15. FY09 Objective 3:Sustainable, Grassroots Outreach • Issues • Unexpected administrative workload delayed contract for Tsunami Outreach Coordinator. • Sensitivities related to selecting target communities. • Fixes • Careful evaluation of target communities and upfront outreach campaign to disseminate Outreach Program information to coastal cities and counties. Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  16. Oregon FY10 Project Plan Objective 1: Mapping & Modeling – Aug. 1, 2010 to July 31, 2011 Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  17. Oregon FY10 Project Plan Objective 2: Mitigation and Education – Aug. 1, 2010 to July 31, 2011 Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  18. Oregon FY10 Project Plan Objective 3: TsunamiReady Support Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  19. Oregon FY10 Project Plan Objective 3: TsunamiReady Support (continued) Oregon FY08-09 Accomplishments

  20. How many outreach activities in FY08? • Briefed Gleneden Beach Fire District on tsunami hazards – 7/23/09 • Met with Taft High School students about tsunamis – 10/6/08 • Briefed Seaside School District on tsunami hazards – 10/10/08 • Oregon Coast Fire Chief’s Association semi-annual meeting – 2/6/09 • Taped video documentary with Oregon Field Guide – 2/25/09 http://www.opb.org/programs/ofg/segments/view/1715 • Briefed Rockaway City Council on tsunami hazards – 3/25/09 • 2009 Tsunami Road Show, 7 cities in 7 days – 4/4/09 to 4/10/09 • Townhall meeting on tsunami hazards, Newport City Hall – 4/21/09 • Oregon Coast Fire Chief’s Association semi-annual meeting – 7/17/09 Total outreach and public education events attended: >15

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