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AN OVERVIEW OF VALUATION OF MINERAL PROPERTIES. KEITH N. SPENCE Global Mining Corporation PDAC, Board of Directors Co - Chairman CIMVAL- Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy & Petroleum. CHINA MINING, Beijing, November 14, 2007. Valuation vs. Evaluation.
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AN OVERVIEW OF VALUATION OF MINERAL PROPERTIES KEITH N. SPENCE Global Mining Corporation PDAC, Board of Directors Co - Chairman CIMVAL- Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy & Petroleum CHINA MINING, Beijing, November 14, 2007
Valuation vs. Evaluation • Valuation - estimation of the value or worth of the mineral property. Question: How much is a property worth in dollars ? • Evaluation - economic assessment of the mineral property generally for an investment decision, for example, a feasibility study. Question: Go or No go Decision ?
Items to be Discussed • The international Scene • Reasons for a Valuation • Definition of Value • Valuation Tenets • Types of Properties • Valuation Approaches • stage based valuation • Primary Valuation Methods • A word about Reserves and Resources • Use of Mineral Resources in Income Approach • Secondary Valuation Methods / Rules of Thumb • Valuation Reports • Some Issues with valuations • Conclusion
The International Scene • CIMVal Standards & Guidelines (TSX –Toronto Stock Exchange –Appendix G) - Canada • Australian VALMIN Code • South African proposed SAMVal Code • US Minerals Appraisals/Valuations - a patchwork of regulations • International Valuations Standards (IVS) - IVSC -Extractive Industries Guidance Note – nearing completion
Reasons for a Valuation • Mergers and acquisitions • Non arm’s length transactions • IPO pricing • Stock exchange listing support • Support of audited financial statements • Fairness opinions for a sale or purchase of a mining property • Litigation • Government expropriation • Insurance claims
Definition of Value • Fair Market Value (FMV) is the standard of value. • Key elements of FMV are as follows: • Both seller and buyer are willing and not under compulsion to act • The transaction is at arm’s length • Both seller and buyer are informed or have reasonable knowledge of the relevant facts • Valuation should be based on a given point in time • Other types of value include; replacement value, salvage value, book value, depreciated value, net asset value, assessed value, insured value, etc.
Valuation Tenets • Materiality - inclusion or omission of information that might result in different conclusion of value • Transparency - information used (or excluded), the assumptions, methodology etc, must be set out clearly, along with the rationale • Independence -the valuator must to be independent of the commissioning entity
Valuation Tenets Cont’d • Competence -the valuator must be appropriately qualified to conduct the required valuation” • Reasonableness -other appropriately qualified and experienced valuators would value the property at approximately the same range
Types of Properties Valuation depends on the stage of development of the property • Exploration Properties • Early stage exploration properties • Mineral resource properties • Advanced stage exploration properties • Properties with identified mineral resources • Pre-feasibility stage projects • Marginal development properties • Past producing mines • Development properties • Feasibility study completed • Development planned or under construction • Contain mineral reserves and mineral resources • Production properties
Valuation Approaches Three generally accepted approaches: • Income approach - based on principle of anticipation of benefits (usually DCF) • Market approach– based on principle of substitution ( Market Comparables) • Cost approach– based on principle of contribution to value • Valuation approach depends on the stage of exploration or development of the property
Primary Valuation Methods • Income Approach • Discounted Cash Flow Method - very widely used • Option Pricing Method/Real Option Method – not widely used but gaining in acceptance. Utilizing Black Scholes seminal work, that mining projects can be valued based on a series of options/decisions • Market Approach • Comparable Transactions Method – widely used • Option Agreement Terms – widely used • Cost Approach • Appraised Value Method – widely used but not accepted by all regulators • Geoscience Factor Method – not widely used
A word about Reserves and Resources CIM, JORC & SAMREC Reserve Classifications Referenced • Mineral Resource - a mineral deposit for which quantity (tonnes) and quality (grade) can be estimated. But not demonstrated to be economic. • Measured - highest confidence category • Indicated • Inferred - lowest confidence category • Mineral Reserve - that part of the mineral resource that can be extracted economically. • Proven - higher confidence category • Probable - lower confidence category
Use of Mineral Resources in Income Approach Generally Acceptable Practices • CIM, JORC & SAMREC Reserve Classifications Referenced • Use of all proven and probable mineral reserves • Use of measured and indicated mineral resources in the following circumstances • Mineral resources are current • Mineral reserves are mined ahead of resources in DCF • Confirmation that the mineral resources in the DCF are likely to be economically viable in the future • Recognize higher risk of using mineral resources by appropriate Adjustments
Use of Mineral Resources in Income Approach Cont’d • Use of inferred mineral resources • With great care • Not if they are the dominant resource category • Any use must be justified in and treated appropriately for the substantially higher risk and uncertainty • Reserves and other resource categories are mined ahead of inferred resources in the DCF model • Inferred resources should not be used to make the property economically viable • Use of potential or hypothetical“resources” is not acceptable
Secondary Valuation Methods & Rules of thumb • Rules of thumb - A good cross-check on a Valuation to test its “reasonableness” • $ per oz or lb in the ground • Value per unit of property area – used for large exploration properties • Market capitalization of company holding the mineral property – more applicable to valuation of single property junior companies
Valuation Reports – best practice • A Valuator is ultimately responsible for: • preparation of the Valuation Report and its conclusions • adhering to the principles of materiality, transparency and reasonableness including technical input • An approved technical report can be appended to the valuation report • All mineral reserve and mineral resource estimates must be disclosed and discussed in the valuation report
Valuation Reports –Best Practice Cont’d • List factors, critical issues, key risks and assumptions • Discuss all valuations within the last 24 months • Certificates of Qualifications of the valuator • Statement that the valuation complies with the Standards and Guidelines which he or she is governed by, in their entirety • Site visit should be undertaken or explain why not • Use More than one Approaches/Methods • Provides Checks & Balance • Valuation is Best Reported as a Range of Values • Effective date of the valuation
Some Issues with Valuations • Use of unacceptable or dubious methods • Misapplication of acceptable methods • No explanation or justification for methods used • Lack of transparency
Conclusion • Need for International Valuation Standards & Consistency • Valuation is Stage Based • Market Comparables applicable for all stages • How Reserves/Resources are used is the key Factor in Valuation Thank You !!
AN OVERVIEW OF VALUATION OF MINERAL PROPERTIES KEITH N. SPENCE Global Mining Corporation PDAC, Board of Directors Co - Chairman CIMVAL- Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy & Petroleum CHINA MINING, Beijing, November 14, 2007