Monitoring Economic Development in Morocco

1. Monitoring Economic Developmentin Morocco Mohamed TAAMOUTI International Forum on Monitoring National Development: Issues and Challenges 27-29 September 2011, Beijing

2. Outline • Moroccan economic structure is changing • Monitoring economic changes • Monitoring employment • Monitoring economic activity • Main challenges

3. Moroccan economic structure is changing (1) • Contribution to GDP

4. Moroccan economic structure is changing (2) • Some sectors are emerging (% of VA)

5. Moroccan economic structure is changing (3) • Employment structure (%)

6. Moroccan economic structure is changing (4) • Hidden impact of the crisis

7. How do we monitor economic changes? A continuously developing and improving national statistical system • Statistical law in 1968 • A decentralized system • A tradition of secured funding of statistical activities • Uses International standards (ILO, SCN93, classifications, BoP, financial statistics, etc.) • Subscribed to IMF’s SDDS since 2005 • Statistical capacity indicators of the WB (2010) : • Overall score : 76% (65% for all developing countries) • Methodology : 90% (56% for all developing countries)

8. Monitoring Employment • A regular national employment survey : • covering annually a sample of 1% of Moroccan households ; • captures several aspects related to labor force, employment, unemployment, under employment, etc. • The survey serves also as a platform for monitoring some basic social indicators (access to drinking water, electricity, etc.) • The results are released on a quarterly and yearly basis. • Employment is also captured through population censuses and different household surveys.

9. Monitoring economic activity • A set of regular business, agriculture, trade, financial, … data collection. • Economic census, Agriculture census; • Yearly business surveys covering all economic sectors ; • Public investment survey every 5 years; • The yearly business survey is deepened every 5 years to capture the interrelations between different sectors : “economic structure survey” • The results of the “economic structure survey” serve for GDP base year change every 5 years.

10. Monitoring economic activity • On the basis of all censuses, surveys and administrative data : National accounts are compiled following SCN93 • For some sectors satellite accounts are (or will be) compiled (tourism, agriculture, education, forests). • A satellite account for households will be compiled on the basis of a new time use survey • For emerging sectors, new surveys are launched to better take them into consideration in national accounts (NGO survey, time use survey).

11. Monitoring economic activityThe informal sector • For a more comprehensive coverage of economic activity in Morocco, informal sector surveys are carried out every 5 years. • The objective : a more precise estimate of the contribution of this sector to employment and GDP.

12. Main Challenges (1) • Improve and formalize coordination between different components of the NSS. • Promote evidence based decision-making through promoting the use of statistics. • Develop data production at sub national levels. • Development of administrative data. • Development of business registers.

13. Main Challenges (2) • Improving business surveys response rate. • Developing a quality assurance framework. • Developing environmental data collection framework and develop environmental accounting.

14. Thank You 谢谢