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AIR CARGO INDIA 2010 Roberto Gilardoni, Commercial Director - Cargoitalia. SUMMARY. Freighters yesterday and today Why do we think freighters have a place in the air cargo industry’s recovery in 2010? Why do we think Cargo italia will succeed and grow? The Challenges ahead
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AIR CARGO INDIA 2010 Roberto Gilardoni, Commercial Director - Cargoitalia
SUMMARY • Freighters yesterday and today • Why do we think freighters have a place in the air cargo industry’s recovery in 2010? • Why do we think Cargoitalia will succeed and grow? • The Challenges ahead • Conclusion – Cargoitalia’s view on the future
FREIGHTERS YESTERDAY & TODAY Ex Military Freighters Freighters in major airlines Specialist Scheduled Pax Carriers Regional All-Cargo Airlines Conversions and Freighters boom 1940 1960 1970 1990 2000 Today Berlin’s Airlift Wide body Passanger Aircrafts and first “rate war”
WHY DO WE THINK FREIGHTERS HAVE A PLACE IN THE AIR CARGO INDUSTRY’S RECOVERY IN 2010? • Scheduled pure freighters will continue to find demand on long, “thick” routes, where scheduled pax operations provide too little capacity • Cargo aircraft only shipments, large shipments etc • Possible under-capacity on some routes as economy recovers • Stricter Security on Passengers Aircrafts • Scarcity: less freighters in operation today than in 2007
WHY DO WE THINK Cargoitalia WILL SUCCEED AND GROW ITALIAN MARKET OVERVIEW • 3rd market in Europe for import and export • Peculiarity of Italian commodities drives demand for air cargo • Still a great proportion of Italian air cargo is trucked abroad • The Alps provide a natural physical barrier between Italy and the rest of Europe • Italian dedicated Freighters fleet disappeared in 2008
Air Uplift vs. Road Source: SEA –Italian Airport Association 2007 WHY DO WE THINK Cargoitalia WILL SUCCEED AND GROW ITALIAN MARKET OVERVIEW
WHY DO WE THINK Cargoitalia WILL SUCCEED AND GROW Our Strengths • Cargoitalia is a truly Italian airline • Very lean and low cost business approach • Quality and flexibility as drivers • Cargoitalia is a young and passionate team • Strong shareholder’s commitment to invest
CHALLANGES AHEAD OF US • Market Recovery……will 2010 bring any good news? • Rates and Yield: when will we go back to a sustainable level? • Demand vs. Capacity • Fuel costs and strong Euro
50.000 45.000 40.000 2008 - 20% Tonnes 35.000 30.000 2009 25.000 20.000 ott-08 ott-07 lug-08 lug-09 giu-08 set-08 giu-09 set-07 nov-08 dic-08 feb-08 nov-07 dic-07 apr-08 feb-09 apr-09 gen-09 gen-08 mar-08 ago-08 mar-09 ago-09 mag-08 mag-09 Month CHALLANGES AHEAD OF US Italian Air Cargo Traffic Volumes – Tonnes Export
35% FTKT AEA 25% FTKT IATA ATKT IATA 15% Variation MoM % 5% set-08 set-09 gen-08 gen-09 lug-08 lug-09 nov-08 nov-09 mar-08 mar-09 -5% mag-08 mag-09 -15% -25% CHALLANGES AHEAD OF US World Air Cargo Traffic Month over Month yearly variation World Air Cargo Traffic Source: AEA, IATA
CHALLANGES AHEAD OF US Italian Air Cargo Traffic Month over Month yearly variation Source:Italian Airport Association
0,95 0,9 0,85 0,8 Euro 0,75 0,7 0,65 0,6 ott-07 ott-08 dic-07 dic-08 set-07 giu-08 lug-08 set-08 giu-09 lug-09 feb-08 feb-09 apr-08 apr-09 nov-07 nov-08 gen-08 ago-08 gen-09 ago-09 mar-08 mar-09 mag-08 mag-09 Month CHALLANGES AHEAD OF US Italian Air Cargo Traffic Market Yield
CONCLUSIONS At Cargoitalia we think: • The market is recovering, even though at a low pace. A very prudent approach to market expansion is a must • Rate will increase but margin will be the challenge: fuel efficiency is vital and tight cost management is vital. • The freighters in pax carriers’ fleets will progressively disappear leaving the scene to few specialised, flexible and high-quality operators