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Epidemiology of prostate cancer. Epidemiology and Molecular Pathology of Cancer: Bootcamp course Tuesday, 3 January 2012. Learning Objectives. To describe clinical presentation of prostate cancer To present descriptive epidemiology of prostate cancer
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Epidemiology of prostate cancer Epidemiology and Molecular Pathology of Cancer: Bootcamp course Tuesday, 3 January 2012
Learning Objectives • To describe clinical presentation of prostate cancer • To present descriptive epidemiology of prostate cancer • To give overview of risk factors for prostate cancer and opportunities for prevention of lethal disease
Clinical synopsis • 99% of cancers are epithelial adenocarcinoma • Symptoms • Urinary frequency, urgency, nocturia, bone pain • Majority of cancers diagnosed now have no symptoms • Diagnosis • Digital rectal exam • Prostate specific antigen (PSA) screening/testing • Biopsy of prostate • Treatment • Radical prostatectomy • Radiation • Watchful waiting • Hormonal therapy either as primary or adjuvant treatment
Stage and Grade TNM*-stage Gleason Grade (2-10) * T=tumor, N=node, M=metastases
Latent prostate cancer Prostate cancer reservoir in men dying from causes other than prostate cancer and who were not known to have prostate cancer during life Welch, JNCI J Natl Cancer Inst 2010;102:605-613
Trends in prostate cancer incidence over time USA Sweden Italy Japan IARC, 2008
Trends in prostate cancer mortality over time Sweden USA Italy Greece Japan IARC, 2008
Older age as a risk factor IARC, Cancer Mondial, CI5plus
Race/Ethnicity as a risk factor 2.4x greater mortality for blacks vs. whites SEER Registry, http://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/prost.html
Family history as a risk factor Hemminki CEBP 2002
GWAS and prostate cancer Thomas G, Nature Genetics 2008
Risk factors for prostate cancer in HPFS (1986-2002) Giovannucci, Int J Cancer 2007
Model of prostate cancer development and progression Factors: Obesity * Physical inactivity * Infection * Coffee * Low vitamin D Pathways: Energy Balance/Insulin * Inflammation * Vitamin D signaling RISK OF AGGRESSIVE PROSTATE CANCER LETHAL PROSTATE CANCER
Overview of factors Current Hypotheses • Obesity and weight change • Physical activity Novel hypotheses • Infections • Coffee • Vitamin D
Obesity and weight change Obesity is associated with: • Higher levels of insulin • Lower levels of adiponectin • Lower levels of testosterone • Higher levels of inflammatory cytokines
Obesity and prostate cancer survival • Physicians’ Health Study • 2,500 men with prostate cancer • Obesity at baseline • Followed for up to 28 years • Excess body weight could account for 33.7% of PCa death
Does walking lower risk of PCa progression? • Prostate cancer progression Relative risk of prostate cancer progression associated with walking pace and duration among 1275 men with cancer Richman E, 2011 Cancer Res < 3 mph ≥ 3 mph
Infections Local Inflammation PROSTATE CANCER PROGRESSION
Trichomonas vaginalis and prostate cancer • Common non-viral sexually transmitted infection • Mostly asymptomatic in men • Infections can reach prostate • Repeated infections do not confer immunity
Study design Follow-up for metastases & mortality 673 cancer cases 673 controls 1,116 men diagnosed with prostate cancer Blood samples from 14,916 participants 1982 2000 2008 Physicians’ Health Study
T vaginalis and risk of advanced prostate cancer Relative risk : 2.2 (95% CI: 1.1, 4.4) % T. vaginalis seropositive Stark et al, JNCI 2009
T vaginalis and risk of lethal disease Relative risk: 2.7 (95% CI: 1.4, 5.3) % T. vaginalis seropositive Stark et al, JNCI 2009
Coffee and prostate cancer risk Coffee Insulin Inflammation Antioxidants Prostate cancer progression
Coffee and prostate cancer risk All prostate cancer Lethal cancer Nonlethal cancer ptrend=0.77 ptrend=0.10 ptrend=0.004 RR=0.82 (0.68-0.98) RR=0.40 (0.28-0.77) RR=0.93 (0.74-1.16) Wilson et al, JNCI 2011
Regular vs. Decaf Lethal cancer Regular Coffee RR=0.56 (0.28-1.11) Decaf Coffee RR=0.59 (0.36-0.96)
The Vitamin D pathway Differentiation Apoptosis Cell-cycle Anti-angiogenesis 41 CYP27A1 VDR CYP27B1 CYP24A1
Vitamin D and lethal prostate cancer • Circulating levels of vitamin D: • High vitamin D 40 percent lower risk of lethal prostate cancer • Vitamin D in tumors: • High expression of receptor in tumor 70 percent lower risk of lethal prostate cancer • Genetic variants in vitamin D pathway • Significantly associated with lethal prostate cancer