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Statistics Made Simple

Statistics Made Simple. α. By: David Negrelli. Σ. µ. δ 2. Introduction.

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Statistics Made Simple

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  1. Statistics Made Simple α By: David Negrelli Σ µ δ2

  2. Introduction The ability to describe data in various ways has always been important. The need to organize masses of information has led to the development of formalized ways of describing data. The purpose of this presentation is to introduce the reader to basic tenants of statistics.

  3. Table Of Contents • Frequency distribution • Measures of central tendency • Measures of dispersion • Statistical significance • T-test calculations • Degrees of freedom • Levels of significance • Finding the critical value of T • Filling out summary table • Writing the results

  4. Frequency Distribution Data is collected and often organized into formats that are interpreted easily. Example: Plant height due to the application of fertilizers. Height is given in centimeters (cm.) 10 14 11 12 15 15 12 13 14 13 12 8 12 9 10 13 11 12 8 10 9 16 7 11 9

  5. Frequency Distribution (cont.) 10 14 11 12 15 15 12 13 14 13 12 8 12 9 10 13 11 12 8 10 9 16 7 11 9 Number of plants 12 12 10 11 12 13 9 10 11 13 14 15 8 9 12 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Height (cm)

  6. Measures of Central Tendancy • Median- The middle number in a set of data. • Mode- The number within the set of data that appears the most frequently. • Mean- The average a. Denoted by х b. Calculated by the following formula Х = Σx n

  7. δ2 = Σ (х – х)2 n-1 Measures of Dispersion • Variance- Determined by averaging the squared difference of all the values from the mean. - symbolized by δ2

  8. δ = √ δ2 Measure of Dispersion (cont.) • Standard Deviation- Is a measure of dispersion that defines how an individual entry differs from the mean. • - calculated by finding the square root of the variance. • Defines the shape of the normal distribution curve

  9. The red area represents the first standard deviant. 68% of the data falls within this area. Calculated by x± δ The green area represents the second standard deviant. 95% of the data falls within the green PLUS the red area. Calculated by x± 2δ The blue area represents the third standard deviant. 99% of the data falls within blue PLUS the green PLUS the red area. Calculated by x± 3δ

  10. Statistical Significance • Statistical significance is calculated by determining: • if the probability differences between sets of data occurred by chance • or were the result of the experimental treatment. • Two hypotheses need to be formed: • Research hypothesis- the one being tested by the researcher. • Null hypothesis- the one that assumes that any differences within the set of data is due to chance and is not significant.

  11. Statistical Significance (cont.) • Example of Null Hypothesis: The mean weight of college football players is not significantly different from professional football players. µcf =µpf µ, ‘mu’ symbol for Null Hypothesis

  12. T-Test • Statistical test that helps to show if there is a real difference between different treatments being tested in a controlled scientific trial. • The Student t test is used to determine if the two sets of data from a sample are really different? • The uncorrelated t test is used when no relationship exist between measurements in the two groups.

  13. x1 – x2 t = √ δ21 + δ22 T-Test Calculations (cont.) • Two basic formulas for calculating an uncorrelated t test. Equal sample size n Unequal sample size x1 – x2 t = √ ( n1 – 1)δ21 + ( n2 – 1) δ22 ( ) ∙1 + 1 n1 n2 n1 + n2 – 2

  14. Degrees of Freedom • Represents the number of independent observations in a sample. • Is a measure that states the number of variables that can change within a statistical test. • Calculated by n-1 ( sample size – 1)

  15. Levels of Significance • Is determined by the researcher. • Symbolized by α • Is affected by the sample size and the nature of the experiment. • Common levels of significance are .05, .01, .001 • Indicates probability that the researcher made an error in rejecting the null hypothesis.

  16. Finding the Critical Value of t • A probability table is used • First determine degrees of freedom • Decide the level of significance

  17. Critical Value t (cont.) • Example: degrees of freedom= 4 α= .05 • The critical value of t= 2.776

  18. Critical Value t (cont.) • If the calculated value of t is less than the critical value of t obtained from the table, the null hypothesis is not rejected. • If the calculated value of t is greater than the critical value of t from the table, the null hypothesis is rejected.

  19. Mean Variance Standard deviation 1SD (68% Band) 2 SD (95% Band) 3 SD (99% Band) Number Results of t test Filling out Summary Table • The following information is needed in a summary table Descriptive statistics

  20. Summary Table (cont.) • Example: Data obtained from a experiment comparing the number of un-popped seeds in popcorn brand A and popcorn brand B. A B 26 32 22 35 30 20 34 33 Is the difference significant?

  21. = Σx n Mean xA = Σx • Determine mean, variance and standard deviation of samples. = 26+22+30+34 = 23 n 4 Mean xB = 32+35+20+33 = 30 4

  22. δ2= Σ (х – х)2 = 9 + 1 + 49 + 121 = 60 n-1 3 Popcorn A = ( 26-23)2 + (22-23)2 + (30-23)2 + (34-23)2 variance 3 Popcorn B = ( 30-30)2+ (35-30)2 + (20- 30)2 + (33- 30)2 3 = 0 + 25 + 100 + 9 = 44.67 3

  23. √ δ= √ δ2 Standard deviation: popcorn A Popcorn B √ 60 = 7.75 44.67 = 6.68

  24. √ 60+ 44.67 4 x1 – x2 t = √ n δ21 + δ22 Finding Calculated t t = 23 - 30 = 7 √ 26.17 = 7 = 1.38 5.12

  25. Determine critical value of t • Select level of significance α=.01 • Determine degrees of freedom • degrees of freedom of A= 3 • degrees of freedom of B= 3 • total degrees of freedom = 6 • Critical value of t = 3.707 Calculated value of t =1.38 is less than critical value of t from the table, 3.707. The null hypothesis is not rejected.

  26. Filling the Summary Table Descriptive statistics popcorn A popcorn B 23 30 Mean Variance Standard deviation 1SD (68% Band) 2 SD (95% Band) 3 SD (99% Band) Number 60 44.67 7.75 6.68 15.25 - 30.75 23.32- 36.68 7.50-38.50 16.64-43.36 -.25 - 46.25 9.96-50.04 4 4 Results of t test t= 1.38 df=6 t of 1.38 < 3.707 α=.01

  27. Writing The Results • Write a topic sentence stating the independent and dependent variables and a reference to a table or graph. • Write sentences comparing the measures of central tendency of the groups. • Write sentences describing the statistical tests, levels of significance, and the null hypothesis. • Write sentences comparing the calculated value with the required statistical value. Make a statement about rejection of the null hypothesis. • Write a sentence stating support of the research hypothesis by the data.

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