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SimTrans•Co2

SimTrans•Co2. • A freight transportation simulation model - • An emission permit policy analysis tool. Michel Karsky (KBS) Patrice Salini (Inrets). Palermo 2002. SimTrans•Co2. To model To apply To convince. To model. SimTrans (developed in 1999-2000) :

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SimTrans•Co2

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  1. SimTrans•Co2 • A freight transportation simulation model - • An emission permit policy analysis tool Michel Karsky (KBS) Patrice Salini (Inrets) Palermo 2002

  2. SimTrans•Co2 • To model • To apply • To convince

  3. To model • SimTrans (developed in 1999-2000) : • An attempt to analyze the dynamics of the freight transportation market in France (Road, Rail ,Inland waterways) Funded as a Research Program

  4. To apply • SimTrans Co2 (2001-2002) : Explore the consequences of the Kyoto protocol and the implementation of an emission credit trade system Commissioned by ADEME (National Environmental Agency)

  5. To convince • Use of a posteriori causal loop diagrams for long term analyses

  6. To model • SimTrans is focused on land transportation and modal split • 3 sectors : • Road • Rail • Inland Waterways

  7. To model • A Modal supply is a combination of : • Means (Capacity) • Productivity • Quality

  8. To model • Means (Capacity) • Productivity • Quality

  9. To model • Modal split as a result of competition between different attractiveness • Attractiveness as a result of means, productivity and quality levels

  10. To model Agricultural Products

  11. To apply SimTrans + an analysis of the effect of the Kyoto protocol

  12. To apply • The Kyoto protocol aims at reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases responsible for global warming. • In EU, the transportation sectoris to blame for 28% of emissions of CO2 • CO2 emissions from transportation are expected to increase by around 50% by 2010

  13. Source : GRID-Arendal in co-operation with the secretariat of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) for the 7th Conference of the Parties (COP-7) to the Convention, held in Marrakesh, Morocco 29th October to 9th November 2001.

  14. To apply • SimTrans Co2 explores a C02 emission reduction trade system for trucks (inside the EU “Bubble”)

  15. To apply

  16. To apply • Emission trading has no impact

  17. To apply

  18. To convince Feedback loop analysis

  19. To convince Feedback loop analysis

  20. To convince Feedback loop analysis

  21. To convince Feedback loop analysis

  22. To convince Feedback loop analysis

  23. SimTrans•CO2 • Michel Karsky : kbsfr@noos.fr • Patrice Salini : patrice.salini@inrets.fr

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