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Daniel De La Torre Ugarte & Chad Hellwinckel Agricultural Policy Analysis Center

E CONOMIC C OMPETITIVENESS AND I MPACTS ON THE A GRICULTURAL S ECTOR OF S WITCHGRASS AS A B IOENERGY D EDICATED C ROP. Daniel De La Torre Ugarte & Chad Hellwinckel Agricultural Policy Analysis Center University of Tennessee. Objectives.

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Daniel De La Torre Ugarte & Chad Hellwinckel Agricultural Policy Analysis Center

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  1. ECONOMIC COMPETITIVENESS AND IMPACTS ON THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR OF SWITCHGRASS AS A BIOENERGY DEDICATED CROP Daniel De La Torre Ugarte & Chad Hellwinckel Agricultural Policy Analysis Center University of Tennessee

  2. Objectives • Estimate potential switchgrass production at various prices • Estimate impacts in agricultural sector • Enhance synergism between Ag and Energy Policies

  3. Methodology • Bioenergy version of POLYSYS • Land in 8 major crops and hay • 2004 USDA baseline • Updated budgets in 2004 at 2002 prices

  4. Changes Land Use for Major CropsMillion Acres -2013

  5. Changes in Crop Prices$/unit -2013

  6. Crop Prices and Payment Triggers

  7. Switchgrass Production and Savings in Commodity Programs2005-2013

  8. Switchgrass Production and Savings in Commodity Programs2013

  9. Switchgrass Acreage @ 40 $/dt2013

  10. Switchgrass Acreage @ 50 $/dt2013

  11. Change in Net Returns @ 40 $/dt2013

  12. Change in Net Returns @ 50 $/dt2013

  13. Energy ContributionSwitchgrass @ 40 $/dt

  14. Further Work on this Research • Results are sensitivity to hay production response • Need to incorporate a regional link between livestock and hay • Further review of crop costs of production

  15. Final Remarks • Switchgrass has the potential to enhance synergisms between Ag and Energy policies • Farm income impacts from switchgrass spread widely across regions & crops • Adoption of switchgrass depends in more than price alone: logistics, institutional arrangements/contracts, risk, and others

  16. Research sponsored by: USDA / National Research Initiative USDOE and Oak Ridge National Laboratory

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