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Presentation to Public Hearing on IRP 2010 Rev 2

Presentation to Public Hearing on IRP 2010 Rev 2. Hilton Trollip Senior Research Associate Economic Governance Programme Idasa. Reference to international experience. Explanation / justification of approach Implementation of chosen approach Engagement Interactive vs. one-way processes

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Presentation to Public Hearing on IRP 2010 Rev 2

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  1. Presentation to Public Hearing on IRP 2010 Rev 2 Hilton Trollip Senior Research Associate Economic Governance Programme Idasa

  2. Reference to international experience • Explanation / justification of approach • Implementation of chosen approach • Engagement • Interactive vs. one-way processes • Definition of stakeholders • Formulation of objectives • Passive vs. active attitude to information • Interests • expertise • regulatory capture

  3. EEDSM • History of IRP • “may only scratch the surface” • Modelling • Linkages

  4. Transmission and distribution • Effects of transmission not being adequately incorporated • Effects of distribution not being incorporated • (both on) • Assessment of alternatives: generation, EEDSM • System costs / funding

  5. Linkages • Linkages with South African economic policy • Macro-economic allocation • Differential economic cost/benefit • Socio-economics • Other policy / planning process • DoE processes • Other Government processes • Information in public domain • International context

  6. Demand

  7. MCDF • What does reported process reveal ? • “These preferences are by nature subjective, but by including numerous stakeholders in the workshops determining these preferences a broad and inclusive approach to the values can be determined.” • “This process should include a broad range of stakeholders to capture all the preferences.”

  8. Alternative Scenarios • GHG , renewable energy • Generation cost estimates • all relevant technologies • Quantification / modeling… • What confidence does the process inspire that an adequate range of relevant alternative scenarios have been explored?

  9. Next steps • Information behind timelines • Risks

  10. Combined impacts • EEDSM • Transmission & distribution not modeled • Interactive engagement • Definition/engagement of stakeholders • Generation costs • Economic linkages

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