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AGGREGATE DEMAND: THE SIMPLE KEYNESIAN MODEL

AGGREGATE DEMAND: THE SIMPLE KEYNESIAN MODEL. STUDY UNITS 7 & 8. STUDY OBJECTIVES. Identify the relationship between income, production and spending. Explain the assumptions of the Keynesian model. Define, explain and graphically represent the consumption function.

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AGGREGATE DEMAND: THE SIMPLE KEYNESIAN MODEL

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  1. AGGREGATE DEMAND:THE SIMPLE KEYNESIAN MODEL STUDY UNITS 7 & 8

  2. STUDY OBJECTIVES • Identify the relationship between income, production and spending. • Explain the assumptions of the Keynesian model. • Define, explain and graphically represent the consumption function. • Define and calculate the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) and the marginal propensity to save (MPS). • Define, explain and graphically represent the investment function. • Determine equilibrium in an economy that consists of only households and firms. • Use the multiplier to calculate the impact of an investment in the economy.

  3. Production, income & spending – the three main flows in a mixed economy • Production creates income for the production factors. • Part of this income is spend to buy goods and services. Production Income Spending

  4. PRODUCTION, INCOME AND SPENDING • Income used to buy products. • Products are created through production • Production generates income • Therefore in theory income = production • In reality in any economy three possibilities exist: • Spending = production and income – production and income at equilibrium levels. • Spending may be larger than production and income – production and income will increase, due to declining inventory levels. • Spending may be less than production and income – production and income decreases as a result of increases in inventory levels.

  5. KEYNESIAN MODEL - ASSUMPTIONS • Keynes suggested that: • If economy operating below full employment level (Yf) – stimulative economic policy must be applied – due to unemployment that exist. • If economy operating above full employment level (Yf) – contractionary economic policy must be applied – due to inflation that exist. • Assumptions of Keynesian model: • Wages and prices are fixed • Money market is ignored • Consumption, savings and imports are directly related to income • Investment, government expenditure and exports are autonomous.

  6. KEYNESIAN MODEL – CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE (C) • Y = C + S • MPC: • Definition • MPC (c) = ΔC ΔY • Autonomous consumption vs. Induced consumption. • Consumption function expressed in an equation: • C = C + cY • Savings function expressed in an equation: • S = - C + (1-c)Y

  7. KEYNESIAN MODEL – CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE (C) • Illustrate on graph: • C > Y • C = Y • C < Y

  8. KEYNESIAN MODEL – CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE (C)

  9. KEYNESIAN MODEL – CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE (C)

  10. KEYNESIAN MODEL – CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE (C)

  11. KEYNESIAN MODEL – CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE (C)

  12. CONSUMPTION - GRAPHICALLY Y=A C

  13. SAVINGS - GRAPHICALLY

  14. EXCERCISES - MPC 0,7

  15. EXCERCISES - MPC 0,7

  16. EXCERCISES - MPC 0,7

  17. EXCERCISES

  18. KEYNESIAN MODEL - INVESTMENT • Definition of investment • Investment autonomous • Factors responsible for changes in investment are: • Interest rates • Level of savings by households • Tax policies since profit levels of companies is affected • Technology • Combine investment with consumption graphically • Definition of multiplier • Calculation of multiplier

  19. CONSUMPTION, INVESTMENT - GRAPHICALLY Y=A C + I E1 C E I

  20. KEYNESIAN MODEL - INVESTMENT • Definition of multiplier • Calculation of multiplier = 1 1 - c

  21. EXAMINATION QUESTIONSSuppose C = 50 + 0,9YIf equilibrium income is 1000

  22. CALCULATIONS TO SLIDE 20 • C = 50 + 0,9Y • C = 50 + 0,9 (1000) • C = 50 + 900 • C = 950 • S = Y – C • S = 1000 – 950 • S = 50

  23. Calculate multiplier if c =2/3 • Calculation of multiplier = 1 1 – c = 1 1 – 2/3 • = 1 1/3 • = 3

  24. EXAMINATION QUESTION 3Illustrate on the graph below the change if investment increases A=Y A C A Y Ye

  25. EXAMINATION QUESTION 3Illustrate on the graph below the change if investment increases C + I A=Y A E1 C E A Y Ye Ye1

  26. KEYNESIAN MODEL – GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE • Definition of government expenditure • Government expenditure is autonomous • Show graphically government expenditure • Combine consumption, investment and government expenditure graphically • Multiplier also important when dealing with government expenditure • Recessionary gap vs. inflationary gap • Define and illustrate graphically

  27. CONSUMPTION, INVESTMENT - GRAPHICALLY C + I + G C + I C G

  28. Calculate multiplier if c =2/3 and t = 1/10 • Calculation of multiplier = 1 1 – c(1-t) = 1 1 – 2/3(1-1/10) • = 1 1- 2/3(9/10) • = 1 1- 18/30 = 1 12/30 • = 2,5

  29. RECESSIONARY GAP C, I, G Income line = 450 C+I+ G E 500 1000(Yf) Income (Y) in millions

  30. RECESSIONARY GAP C, I,G Income line = 450 C+I+G1 E1 C+I+G A E 200 G Y 150 500 1000(Yf) Income (Y) in millions

  31. INFLATIONARY GAP C, I,G Income line = 450 C+I+G E 100 1000(Yf) 1400 Income (Y) in millions

  32. INFLATIONARY GAP - REDUCED C, I,G Income line = 450 C+I+G C+I+G1 E D E1 G=50 100 50 Y=400 1000(Yf) 1400 Income (Y) in millions

  33. IMPACT OF TAX ON KEYNESIAN MODEL C, I,G Income line = 450 C+I+G C+I+G1 E E1 C Y Y2 Y1 Income (Y)

  34. IMPACT OF TAX ON CONSUMPTION FUNCTION GRADIENT C C1

  35. IMPORTS AS A FUNCTION OF INCOME Import Function Slope = MPZ ZA =

  36. IMPACT OF IMPORTS ON TOTAL EXPENDITURE AND TOTAL lNCOME Income line = 450 C+I+G C+I+G+Z E2 E1

  37. KEYNESIAN MODEL – FOREIGN SECTOR • Factors having an influence on the foreign sector (imports and exports) • Real GDP • Prices of domestic goods in comparison to foreign prices • Changes in the exchange rate • Interest rates

  38. Figure 8.14 I + X I

  39. COMPLETE KEYNESIAN MODEL Income line = 450 C+I+G + (X-Z) =TE C+I+G E3 C+I C E2 E1 E Y = 10 000

  40. MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM – AD/AS MODEL P AS E Pe AD 0 Income/Production (Y) Ye Yz Ya

  41. THE IMPACT ON MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM – STIMULATIVE POLICY APPLIED P AS E1 Pe1 E Pe AD1 AD2 0 Ye Ye1 Income/Production (Y) Yf

  42. Examination questionsSuppose c = 5/6 and t = 1/10. Calculate multiplier • Calculation of multiplier = 1 1 – c(1-t) = 1 1 – 5/6(1-1/10) • = 1 1- 5/6(9/10) • = 1 1- 45/60 = 1 15/60 • = 4,0

  43. EXAMINATION QUESTION • Autonomous consumption = R500 • Government expenditure = R600 • Investment spending = R900 • c = ¾ • t = 1/5 • Full employment = R6000 • 1. Calculate the multiplier • 2. What is value of autonomous spending • 3. What is equilibrium income value • 4. What is equilibrium expenditure value • 5. By which amount must investment increase to reach full employment.

  44. Examination questionsSuppose c = 3/4 and t = 1/5. Calculate multiplier • Calculation of multiplier = 1 1 – c(1-t) = 1 1 – 3/4(1-1/5) • = 1 1- 3/4(4/5) • = 1 1- 12/20 = 1 8/20 • = 2,5

  45. Examination questions • 2. Autonomous expenditure = C + I + G = 500 + 600 + 900 2000 3. Equilibrium income = multiplier X autonomous expenditure = 2,5 X 2000 = 5000 4. Equilibrium expenditure = 5000 A=Y at equilibrium 5. 1000 (6000 – 5000) ÷ multiplier 1000 ÷ 2,5 = 400

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