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Motorcycle Crashes: Recent Changes in Michigan. Lidia P. Kostyniuk, Ph.D., P.E. Michigan Traffic Safety Summit 2007. Background – Changes in the US motorcycle crash picture. Motorcycle registrations + 51% (1997-2004) Injuries in motorcycle crashes +64% (1997-2005)
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Motorcycle Crashes: Recent Changes in Michigan Lidia P. Kostyniuk, Ph.D., P.E. Michigan Traffic Safety Summit 2007
Background – Changes in the US motorcycle crash picture • Motorcycle registrations + 51% (1997-2004) • Injuries in motorcycle crashes +64% (1997-2005) • Deaths in motorcycle crashes +115% (1997-2005) • Motorcycle fatalities as % of all vehicle-crash fatalities • 5% in 1997 • 10% in 2005 • Motorcyclists age 40+ as % of all motorcyclists killed • 24% in 1995 • 47% in 2005
Examine recent changes in motorcycle crash experience in Michigan – baby boomer effects • Registrations and motorcycle endorsements • Crashes and crash rates • Deaths and injuries • Hazardous actions • Drinking • Helmet use • Summary Data – 1997-2005 Michigan crash data files, Michigan vehicle registration and licensing records
Motorcycle registrations and license endorsements
Distribution of crash severity, 2005 N =3,504 N = 350,838
Proportion of crash-involved motorcyclists with motorcycle endorsement in 2005
Single and multi-vehicle crashes • About half motorcycle crashes are single vehicle crashes • Little difference by month, day of week, weather, road type, road condition • More single vehicle crashes at night • Slightly more single vehicle crashes involve drinking driver • Proportions of drivers over age 45+ involved in single and in multi-vehicle crashes are almost the same.
Hazardous actions, 2005 None Fail to Yield Clear Distance Reckless/ Careless Speed
Motorcycle hazardous actionsSingle vehicle crashes by motorcyclist age None Reckless/ Careless Speed Clear Distance Fail to Yield
Motorcycle hazardous actions2005 Multi vehicle crashes by motorcyclist age None Fail to Yield Speed Clear Distance Reckless/ Careless
Had Been Drinking (HBD) motorcycle crashes • Proportion of all motorcycle crashes • 1997 – 10% • 2005 – 7% • Proportion of all motorcycle fatalities • 1997 – 47% • 2005 – 29% • Proportion of all motorcycle injuries • 1997 – 14% • 2005 – 7%
Percent of age group’s motorcycle crashes that involved drinking
Helmet use • Helmet use rate • 94% in 1997 • 98% in 2005 • 21% of fatalities not helmeted in 2005 • Severity in crashes • with helmet 22-25% killed or severely injured • without helmet 27-52% killed or severely injured
Summary - Michigan • Motorcycles and motorcyclists, 1997-2005 • +73% registrations • +13% in motorcycle endorsements • Crashes, 1997-2005 • +38% increase in crashes • +91% increase in fatalities • +36% increase in injuries • 4% 11% of all vehicle-crash fatalities • Older (age 45+) motorcyclists • Licenses - 44% in 1997 64% in 2005 • Deaths - 14% in 2001 41% in 2005 • Lower crash rate • More likely to have mc endorsement • Fewer hazardous actions • Less likely to speed, less likely to drive recklessly • Fewer citations • Less likely to be in HBD crash • Helmet use is high – lower severity in crashes with helmet
Questions • Who is the older motorcyclist? • Just younger motorcyclists getting older? • Returning to motorcycling? • New to motorcycling? • What are the skill levels of older motorcyclists? • How does ability to handle motorcycle change with age? • How does risk of injury and death, given a crash, change with age? • Data needs • Better estimates of number of motorcyclists (including unlicensed) • Better estimates of exposure – motorcycle VMT • Use of different types and sizes of motorcycles