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Preparing All Kentucky Children To be Successful in College Berea College Berea, Kentucky October 30, 2007 Tom Mortenson Senior Scholar, The Pell Institute for the Study of Opportunity in Higher Education Higher Education Policy Analyst, Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY. Intro.
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Preparing All Kentucky Children To be Successful in College Berea College Berea, Kentucky October 30, 2007 Tom Mortenson Senior Scholar, The Pell Institute for the Study of Opportunity in Higher Education Higher Education Policy Analyst, Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Intro
Kentucky Overview • Economic measures • Participation measures • Gender issues • State investment effort Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
KY Per Capita Personal Income Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
KY National School Lunch Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Public High School Grad Rate Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
KY College Participation Rates Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Interstate Migration College Freshmen Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Share of Bachelor’s Degrees Awarded to Men Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
KY State Tax Fund Appropriations Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
State Grants and Pell Grants in KY Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Stae and Pell Grant Dollars in KY Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
1. The Education Pipeline by Family Income The Education Pipeline by Family Income • Family Income Quartiles (2005) • Bottom: $0 to $36,539 • Second: $36,540 to $64,108 • Third: $64,109 to $98,433 • Top: $98,434 and over • Measurement Points • High school graduation • College continuation • Estimated bachelor’s completion by age 24 • Estimated bachelor’s attainment by age 24 Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
High School Graduation Rates Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
College Continuation Rates Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Est Bachelor’s Degree Completion Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Est Bachelor’s Degree Attainment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Distribution of Bachelor’s Degrees Awarded 1970-2005 Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
The First Reality:The Human Capital Economy • To 1973: The Rising Tide • 1973 to 2000: Income Redistribution • 2000 to ?: Global Competition Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Total Employment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Distribution of Employment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Goods Producing Employment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Service Providing Employment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Government Employment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Changes in Employment Shares Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
The Second Reality: Changing Demography • Shrinking Share of White High School Graduates • Growing Share of Minority High School Graduates • Growing Share of K-12 Students Receiving • Subsidized School Lunches Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Demographic Structure of Education Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
White High School Graduates Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
White HSG: 1960 to 2006 Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Non-White HSG: 1960 to 2006 Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
K-12 Enrollment Approved for Subsidized School Lunches Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
The Third Reality: International Comparisons • Adults with Bachelor’s Degrees • Young Adult Bachelor’s Degree Attainment • Trends in Attainment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Bachelor Degree Attainment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Change in Bachelor Degree Attainment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Policy Responses to Economic,Demographic and International Changes • Federal Policy Choices • State Policy Choices • Institutional Policy Choices Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Federal Student Aid Based on Need Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Pell Grant Max Purchasing Power Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
State Tax Fund Appropriations Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Public Tuition and Fees Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Tuition and Fees & Family Income Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
State Need Based Financial Aid Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Public Institutions Admissions Selectivity Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Consequences for Opportunity forAt Risk Students in Higher Education • Pell Grant Recipients • Minorities • Family Income Quartiles • Median Family Income • Admission Selectivity Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Financial Need by Family Income Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Pell Grant Recipients by Inst Level Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Enrollment in 4-Year by Race/Ethnicity Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Change: 1990 to 2003 Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
NPSAS: Bottom Quartile Redistribution Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org
Just and Efficient College Finance Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Berea College – October 30, 2007 – Berea, KY www.postsecondary.org