Supporting Operations Research in the USMC using M&S

Supporting Operations Research in the USMC using M&S Major Christian Fitzpatrick, USMC Mission Area Analysis Branch, OAD, MCCDC

Agenda • Background • Current Billet • Critical Skills • Future Plans • Thesis Opportunities at OAD

Background • Graduated from the USAF Academy in 1995 with a BS in Geography (No Computer Science experience) • US Marine Corps (MOS Experience) • Air Support Control Officer (Okinawa, 29 Palms) • KC-130 Pilot (San Diego) • Applied for MOVES degree at Naval Postgraduate School during a deployment aboard the USS Peleliu in the summer of 2006 • Started degree completion in July 2007 and graduated in September 2009 • Thesis: Applying Robotics and 3D Visualization to Modernize the Expeditionary Warfare Demonstrator (EWD) • Upon graduation, assigned to Mission Area Analysis Branch, Operations Analysis Division, MCCDC in Quantico, VA • MAA began request process to request a MOVES graduate in 2006. Request was made through Total Force Structure Division at MCCDC

USMC - EFDS Navy - NCDP Joint - JCIDS Mission Area Analysis (MAA) Branch Provide analytic insight to decision makers • Mission: To conduct formal and quick response MAAs • What are MAAs? They are capabilities-based analyses of future warfighting requirements in the context of approved scenarios, primarily using M&S • Objectives • Evaluate Marine Corps warfighting capabilities • Identify operational deficiencies • Explore potential opportunities • Uses • Refine future concepts • Identify/validate requirements • Support resource allocation

Recent MAA Studies • Joint Light Tactical Vehicle AoA – 2010 • Surface/Vertical assault modeling across 3 operational vignettes to analyze impact of JLTV alternatives on MAGTF operations • Lethality Analysis of 30mm Programmable Air Burst Munitions (PABM) – 2011 (PM, AAAV) • Examine the cost effectiveness of procuring PABM compared to conventional 30mm munitions • Infantry Battalion Mobile Ad Hoc Network (MANET) Study – 2010 (Tech Dir, MCTSSA) • Develop metrics and modeling to determine most promising technologies for providing tactical communications within the Infantry Bn (Rein) in 2011-2020 • Counterbattery Radar (CBR) Capabilities Study – 2010 (Dir, CDD) • Examine CBR warfighting requirements in both MCO, JFEO and Irregular Warfare scenarios to determine required CBR capabilities • Airborne Command and Control AoA – 2011 (DC AVN) • Analysis of Alternatives to determine most promising material solutions for current airborne C2 gaps

Models used in MAA Lab Mix of GOTS, COTS and “Home Grown” applications Combat XXI Ship to Objective Maneuver Model – Vertical (STOMM-V) Ship to Objective Maneuver Model – Surface (STOMM-S) MAA Analytic Sustainment Suite (MASS) Satellite Toolkit (STK) Assignment Scheduling Capabilities for UAVs (ASC-U) Advanced Warfighting Simulation (AWARS)

Combat XXI Joint development between MCCDC and TRAC • Closed-form, high resolution combat simulation for analysis of the Joint Battlespace • Developed at TRAC-WSMR • New development - study ready in FY09 • Stochastic, entity-level model written in Java • Represents individual Marines & equipment • Scripting language for detailed behavior development • Used for MEU and below analysis • Scenarios portray battles lasting hours or days

STOMM-V • Models movement of forces and supplies via assault support lift • Ship to Objective • Between Objectives ashore • Deterministic Model • Developed using standard MS Office products • Excel • Access • Visual Basic for Applications (VBA)

STOMM-S • Models movement of forces via landing craft • Ship to Shore movement of forces using landing craft • Employs landing craft loading LP to determine loads based on landing craft capacities • Deterministic model • Developed using standard MS Office products • Excel • Access • Visual Basic for Application (VBA) • Solver Add-in Excel

Satellite Toolkit • AGI product written in C, C++ and C# • Deterministic • Physics-based model with extensive 3D visualization • Strength in sensors and communications • Very strong capability in sensors and line of sight (LOS) • Air, land, sea, and space domains • Supports study metrics through meaningful C4ISR data

JLTV Analysis of Alternatives AoA was conducted prior to the Milestone B decision within the JCIDS process MAA analyzed the embarkation and air/sea transportability of each of the four proposed vehicle alternatives to replace the aging HMMWV Models Utilized: STOMM-V and STOMM-S Analysis provided changed the air transportability KPP in the Capabilities Development Document

JLTV AoA Brief to OSD CAPE

Company Landing Team (CLT) Construct Analysis MAA is providing analytic support for the Marine Corps Warfighting Lab (MCWL) as they develop a proposed CLT We are looking closely at transportability ashore and sustainment Study sponsor is Major Brandy Thomas (MOVES, 2008) Models: STOMM-V & STOMM-S This analysis is on-going

Lighten the MAGTF CMC Directed Study MAGTF Integration Division (MID) is the designated Study Lead at MCCDC MAA developing tools to visualize the MEB and MEU Data

ACV Analysis • Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle was cancelled in Jan 2010 • This was an ACAT 1 program for the USMC • PM, AAA working closely with MAA to analyze to requirements for the next Amphibious Combat Vehicle • Recently, we completed an in-depth analysis examining potential weapons options for this vehicle • On the horizon for MAA • MAA is getting ready to support the ACV AoA (if assigned) • This week I am visiting with Dr. Imre Balogh to coordinate MOVES support for the AoA

Core Skills Required at MAA Java Programming (Simkit) Python Programming IDE Usage (Netbeans) Study Management Data Validation Data Visualization Study Management Excel VBA Access VBA MOVES (Jul 07 – Sep 09) MAA (Oct 09 – Jul 11) Data Structures Python Programming Certification* Off-Duty Education * Python Programming Certificate taken online through University of Illinois

Key MOVES Courses for MAA • MV 3302 Simulation Modeling & MV4302 Advanced Discrete Event Simulation • Introduction to Simkit and Arena • MV3204 Introduction to 3D Modeling in X3D • Extensive use of Netbeans IDE • MV4025 Cognitive and Behavior Modeling for Simulations & MV4100 Cognitive Engineering • Python overview • Behavior development in CXXI • CS3310 Artificial Intelligence • Behavior development in CXXI • MV4460 Management of Modeling & Simulation Development • Great overview of the JCIDS process and key organizations within DoD • OA4604 Wargaming Applications • Did not take this course, but I receive questions weekly on how to best integrate M&S tools into wargames

Future Plans • Completed two years at MAA and projected to move in the summer of 2012 • Options • Office of Naval Research (ONR) in Arlington, VA • Continue at OAD, since billet will most likely be “gapped” in 2012 • Return to primary MOS

Thesis Opportunities • ACV AoA • Scenario and behavior development • Data Post-Processing • HLA/DIS Viewer • MAA has VR Vantage Stealth Viewer which could be used to visualize developed scenarios • Future Research • Urban Warfare • Enhanced Observation • Marine Corps Study System • Board meets quarterly and potential studies are selected for completion. OAD has sponsored numerous theses for Operations Research department

Supporting Operations Research in the USMC using M&S