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Result/Input Indicators for Monitoring Report 2015 Module 2 - Result Indicators

In-House Training on. Result/Input Indicators for Monitoring Report 2015 Module 2 - Result Indicators. Result-based planning/monitoring approach. Theory. Practice.

kennan-summers
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Result/Input Indicators for Monitoring Report 2015 Module 2 - Result Indicators

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  1. In-House Training on Result/Input Indicators for Monitoring Report 2015Module 2 - Result Indicators

  2. Result-based planning/monitoring approach Theory Practice Activities (e.g. Update FSNIS) to reach Results (e.g. Fortnightly reports) for a certain Purpose (e.g. more Info on FS) & contribute to an overall Objective (e.g. Improve FS & Nutrition) Log-frame PoA / CIP Objective Purpose Result Activity Goal Outcome Output Input MONITORING PLANNING FPMU Indicators

  3. CIP/PoA Results Chain

  4. ToC - Result Indicators (Module 2) -> Objective -> Typologies & Availability-> Generation process -> Recap on Process-> Follow-up

  5. Objective of Module 2 Update Result Indicators for Monitoring Report 2015

  6. ResultIndicators: Metadata 1. Majority of Indicators only to be included from relevant sources in the Result Indicators Database 2. Computations (2+ steps), e.g. Growth Rate & Moving Average 3. # indicators’ update not available in MR 2015

  7. ResultIndicators: Goal(s) –Structure What… Where… from…

  8. ResultIndicators: Goal(s)-Update To be computed Revisions (R) Not available To be updated

  9. ResultIndicators: Goal(s) • General Wage Index = W • Rice Price (Coarse National Wholesale, Tk/Kg) = Pr • General Rice Wage Index = Wr (1) • W/Pr = Wr • Wr Rate of Growth(%) for 2013/14: (Wrt3-Wrt2)/Wrt2=Wr*t3(2) • 3y Moving Average: (Wr*t1+Wr*t2+Wr*t3)/3 = AWr*t3 • Where: t1=2011/12, t2=2012/13, t3 = 2013/14 (3)

  10. ResultIndicators: Outcome(s)-Obj. 1 To be updated To be computed Not available

  11. ResultIndicators: Outcome(s)-Obj. 1 • Rice Import Dependency (%): •  ID = Import / (Production + Import – Export) (1) • ID 3y moving average for 2013/14: •  (IDt4+IDt3+IDt2 )/3 = AVIDt4(2)

  12. ResultIndicators: Outcome(s)-Obj. 1 • Rice Production Time Series – since 1998/99 to obtain instability for 2007/08; since 2004/05, for 2013/14 • Linear Regression to obtain Residuals (1)(difference between actual & projected data) • Coefficient of Variation (CV) of: (2) • Standard deviation of Residuals • Average Production • (over 10 years, since 2004/05) • Instability of Rice Production

  13. ResultIndicators: Outcome(s)-Obj. 1 • Compute Food VA = Total Agri Production (crop + livestock) + Fisheries - beverage - jute - other fibers - forestry & services (1) • Compute the ratioRice VA/ Food VA (2)

  14. ResultIndicators: Outcome(s)-Obj. 2 To be updated To be computed Not available

  15. ResultIndicators: Outcome(s)-Obj. 3 To be computed Not available To be updated

  16. ResultIndicators: Outcome(s)-Obj. 3 • Total Food Supply (Kcal/capita/yr) • Cereal Supply, excluding beer(Kcal/capita/yr) •  Cereals/Food supply (%)

  17. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog.1

  18. ResultIndicators: Output(s) -Prog. 2

  19. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 2 • Water table depth by District • Compute Total (sum by Districts) (1) • Yearly variation (%) (2) • 20 year (3 year) Moving Average (3)

  20. ResultIndicators: Output(s) -Prog. 3

  21. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 3 • Yields (MT/Ha) • Rate of Growth • 3y Moving Average

  22. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 4

  23. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 5

  24. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 6

  25. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 6 Farm-gate, Pg & Retail prices, Pr [Dealers, Pd & Farmers Prices, Pf]  (Pr-Pg)/Pg [(Pd-Pf)/Pf] Margin for farmers [dealers]

  26. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 6 • Wage male & Wage female (monthly data) • Compute the “male premium wage” (1) •  (Wm –Wf) / Wf • Compute the yearly average (2)

  27. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 7 INPUT (FINANCIAL) DATABASE

  28. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 7 Execution Performance = Delivery/Expected Delivery Expected Delivery= Year’s share of Total project costs on a pro-rata basis, adjusting for projects’ start (end) before (after) CIP period

  29. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 8 2013/14 Boro Procurement is Procurement throughout 2014 Boro season

  30. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 8 • Boro rice production costs = C • Wholesale price during 2014 Boro rice procurement season (DAM) = P • Average of P for season (May-Oct) P* (1) •  P*/C (2)

  31. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 8 • Budget closing stock (000 MT) for 2012/13 (CS13) • Opening Stocks (000 MT) for 2013/14 (OS14) •  CS13/OS14 (%)

  32. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 8 • Domestic Production Data • Import Data • Add import and production data (i.e. supply) (1) •  Rice Distribution via OMS/Rice supply (2)

  33. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 9 Safety Net Programme [Social Protection]  Social Protection [Social Safety Net] MR Budget Document

  34. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 10

  35. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 11

  36. ResultIndicators: Output(s)-Prog. 12

  37. Result Indicators: Process Update New Data Available? Result Indicators Database (MR 2014) na NO YES Need Math ? Simply Retrieve Data Compute Indicators from Data YES NO Add data in Results’ Indicators Database (MR 2015)

  38. Follow-up • Participate in Follow-up Training(Aug’14)Provide Feedbacks! • 2. Familiarize with the Result Indicators Database(Aug/Sept’14) • New user-friendly features: • Dedicated spreadsheet for each Indicator (your inputs needed!); & • In-built formulas • 3. Training Workshop on Monitoring Food Security Framework in Bangladesh(Sept’14)

  39. THANK YOU !

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