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www.odi.org.uk/food-security-forum. Facilitating debate on policy options for strengthening food security 500 stakeholders in the region, 100+ in Malawi Bunda College APRU CIPs, Theme Papers, international e-discussions, draft Synthesis Paper Deadline June 2004.
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www.odi.org.uk/food-security-forum • Facilitating debate on policy options for strengthening food security • 500 stakeholders in the region, 100+ in Malawi • Bunda College APRU • CIPs, Theme Papers, international e-discussions, draft Synthesis Paper • Deadline June 2004
Perspectives on changes in 1990s Interpretations • Increasing vulnerability (CARE) • Increasing poverty under liberalisation (National RRA) but • Increasing incomes, opportunities under market liberalisation (Orr & Mwale, Orr & Orr) Why the differences?
Malawi indicators of food security 2Crop production Source: FAOSTAT • Highest increase in region in food production index 1990-2000 (WDI, 2002) • But largely non-maize • Maize yields only 1/3 of potential
Malawi indicators of food security 3Population below poverty line Source: State of Food Insecurity in the World, 2003 • Local poverty line: US $ 0.41 p.p. per day (US $ 0.25 p.p. per day for 35% ultra poor) • Malawi 163 out of 174 ldc’s • Poverty line = 80% food families below poverty line cannot secure minimum food needs
Market development • (inputs, outputs, finance, land) • Decentralisation • Price stabilisation FOOD AVAILABILITY ACCESS TO FOOD • Food imports • Food stocks • Business • Employment • Social protection • Agricultural diversification • Education • Health • Food security information collection and utilization • Food aid Key: Time-frame for impact on food security if implemented today: Current year After minimum 1–3 years FOOD UTILISATION • Food and nutrition interventions for vulnerable groups • Nutrition education Food security policy options
Market-based economic development • Coordination risks can be severe in emerging markets … • … the search for effective economic institutions, including • Public role in setting grades and standards, contract law, etc – and not forgetting stable and consistent macro-economic policies • Private role in forms of cooperation, contracting, interlocking markets (institutional innovation) Dorward, A (2003) `Modelling poor farm-household livelihoods in Malawi: lessons for pro-poor policy’ http://www.wye.ic.ac.uk/AgEcon/adu/research/porjects/ppag/mlhhmdrf.pdf
Vulnerability • How to reduce vulnerability? Maximising growth vs reducing risk e.g. HYV vs OPV maize in Malawi • Safety nets: affordability – fiscal impacts? Safety nets a residual - important role for fiscal and monetary policy, productive Ministries • Entitlement and targetting: economic vs political case • More nuanced indicators of vulnerability in EWS; greater use of VAC data Farrington et al (2004) `Social Protection and Agricultural Growth’ ODI Natural Resources Perspective Paper www.odi.org.uk
External Influences Policy implementation political context Politics and policymaking Campaigning, lobbying Policy analysis & research Media, advertising, networking Scientific information exchange & validation Research, learning & thinking evidence links
Tiyeni tonse tipange kuti Malawi akhali ndi chakudya chokwanira