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Agenda. Introduction Infrastructure Finance Trends Breaking the Barriers to Sustainable Investment Conclusions
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1. FINANCING INFRASTRUCTURE :Breaking the Barriers to Sustainable Development
2. Introduction
Infrastructure Finance Trends
Breaking the Barriers to Sustainable Investment
Conclusions & Recommendations
Leveraging on Experience
3. Standard Chartered-Leading the Way in Africa, ME & Asia
4. 2008 Financings & Current Mandates
NNPC/ExxonMobil NGL 2 Project- Nigeria-$220m
SCB acted as Financial Advisor and MLA in providing the NGL II project with US$220m add-on facility that was the first substantial oil and gas sector financing to come exclusively from Nigeria’s newly consolidated local banks.
ADDAX Petroleum-Gabon/Nigeria- $500m
In May, Addax Petroleum entered into a two-year, US$500 million senior revolving credit facility arranged by Calyon, Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas. This was a hybrid corporate deal with a greenshoe option
OANDO plc- - Nigeria USD138m
Financial Advisor and Arranger for up to USD 140m facility to finance acquisition and upgrade of the Oilfields.
ALSCON-Rusal- - Nigeria USD130m
Sole Arranger for $130m bridge facility to finance acquisition and upgrade of the ALSCON aluminium smelter.
The bank has committed substantial resources to Africa . This is evidenced by the number of financial advisory and structuring mandates awarded by top tier sponsors in 2008. This includes:
Lekki Port Nigeria, $1.1billion
Main One Telecoms Cable Project-Nigeria, $120m
Lafarge Euro 225m Expansion facility
Viva Methanol Project, $1.2billion
Natural Gas Liquids supplemental financing, $200m
NNPC /ExxonMobil Satellite Oilfields Advisory, $680m
Addax Izombe LPG Project-
5. 2008 Financings & Current Mandates NNPC/ExxonMobil NGL 2 Project- Nigeria-$220m
SCB acted as Financial Advisor and MLA in providing the NGL II project with US$220m add-on facility that was the first substantial oil and gas sector financing to come exclusively from Nigeria’s newly consolidated local banks.
ADDAX Petroleum-Gabon/Nigeria- $500m
In May, Addax Petroleum entered into a two-year, US$500 million senior revolving credit facility arranged by Calyon, Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas. This was a hybrid corporate deal with a greenshoe option
OANDO plc- - Nigeria USD138m
Financial Advisor and Arranger for up to USD 140m facility to finance acquisition and upgrade of the Oilfields.
ALSCON-Rusal- - Nigeria USD130m
Sole Arranger for $130m bridge facility to finance acquisition and upgrade of the ALSCON aluminium smelter.
The bank has committed substantial resources to Africa . This is evidenced by the number of financial advisory and structuring mandates awarded by top tier sponsors in 2008. This includes:
7. Infrastructure Projects- Setting the Scene Physical Infrastructure projects are ‘those services without which primary, secondary, and tertiary production activities cannot function’ Specifically capital-intensive facilities in:
Electric power (generation and distribution)
Energy (refineries, pipelines, processing facilities, etc.)
Telecommunications
Transportation (ports, toll roads,railways, etc.)
Water / Sewerage
The Input – technology, capital equipment, expertise are sourced mainly in the international markets and typically financed in international currencies.
The output (e.g., electricity, petroleum products) is sold primarily in the domestic market and paid for in local currency
The Debt/Bonds used to finance these projects are therefore exposed to 2 main risks
Devaluation – Reduction of USD value of cashflows below debt service levels.
Convertibility – Risks that local authorities may block the exchange of local currency revenues into dollars or block currency transfers from the host country
8. The Infrastructure Situation at a Glance Infrastructure investment – a 15-25+year proposition that requires insight & foresight!
Governments – adopting concessions/greenfield projects , PPPs vs. asset privatisations
Sector Trends
Telecommunications: strong cashflow from cellular services. Currently Private sector driven
Power: Poor cashflows due to sub-economic tarrifs and under-investment
Historically, cross-subsidised to benefit small residential consumers, implying politically difficult adjustment process to generate sustainable cashflows.
Private sector involvement without govt capacity support may be limited to independent power producer (IPP) projects servicing large customers (industrials, distributors, etc.)
Transport:
airports and shipping ports generate strong cashflow today.
roads and rail networks generate limited revenues and may need govt transfers (shadow tolling).
Water and Sewerage: limited cashflow in Emerging mkts- viewed as the ultimate “public good”.
9. Global Infrastructure Coverage & the Africa Situation
10. Infrastructure Finance Trends Traditionally financed out of general government revenues
Trend in recent years for infrastructure to be financed on a project basis or for infrastructure projects to be purchased or developed by the private sector.
Given the high initial capital costs of infrastructure projects, long-term financing is essential for privately-owned infrastructure projects to be financially viable
Financing is now available from the private sector – in many instances with foreign private investors and creditors playing a major role
Key Growth Drivers
Privatisation- Govts adopting concessions/ PPP greenfield projects vs. asset privatisations
Commodity related infrastructure e.g. Mining, “Infrastructure enablers” offered by Resource players
Improving Governance e.g. Pension fund and Policy reforms
Private Equity Funds looking for higher yields (Reducing margins in Europe & Middle East Markets)
Technology leverage
11. Evolution of Private Infrastructure Investment in Africa (1990 – 2007)
13. Macro & Regional Barriers
The prevalence of inefficient monopoly providers (state owned)
Scarcity of investment spend because prices have been held below cost
Inadequate local expertise to structure long term Project financing
Lack of depth and defined yield curves in local debt and capital markets
Absence of incentive mechanism (fiscal tax etc) to encourage infrastructure financing
Governance and Management Barriers
Public Sector as equity holder is problematic. ( often essential to get other parties involved)
Appointment of concession holder due to political considerations which may not have right management experience for difficult initial stages of the project
May undertake project location and or management decisions on political considerations
Increase perceived commercial risks for debt finance
Sovereign and Cross-Border risks
14. CASHFLOW
Regulatory Framework and Macro Stability
Tariffs / Fees / Tolls
Govt Supplements (MYTO?)
15. Sponsors: Local parties to improve credit worthiness, corporate governance and management capacity
Banks: Innovative structures to project, corporate, and sovereign financings, with the aim of improving credit ratings for transactions:
Structures to mitigate the risk of devaluation, and
Structure to facilitate the use of local debt and capital markets, which can provide financing denominated in the currency in which the project earns its revenues
Structure to breach the sovereign ceiling, which therefore permit the transaction’s (global scale) local currency rating to become its foreign currency rating
Governments: Strong institutional framework for protecting creditors rights and improved access to legal enforcement and remedy
Development Finance Institutions and ECAs:
Country risk mitigation instruments (PRI & Gtees)
Deepen depth of Africa capital markets (Credit enhancement for Debts & Bonds, risk participations etc)
16. The Art of the Possible - Nigeria Homework is key
Generation Mix: existing capacity, existing IPPs,New IPPs
Comprehensive policy for greenfield IPPs and privatisations
Sector-wide Payment security mechanism and Nature of Sovereign Support
Enabling Legislation, Permits and Approvals
Ensure sector and tariff reforms lead to reduced reliance on payment support mechanisms
Tie-in with Distribution Privatisation
Process & Packaging
Investor and Lender Roadshows
Engage Advisors
Comprehensive and transparent RFP Package
Adherence to timeframe and deadlines
Don’t expect too much from the very first deals
Need to attract international investors and lenders
Progressive shift in risk allocation There is also a need to look beyond the very next deal i.e. long term forecasts and planning. And then there also needs to be a clear roadmap to sector reforms and tariff rationalisation. This is key, because this is the story that the lenders and the developers will need to be able to buy into!
The next step is to determine the IPP programme framework e.g. whether to have a single-buyer model or a bilateral contract network or a combination of both. What is more important to the country – secured supply at a slightly higher capacity payments or competitive markets with lesser security of supply
There is also a need to look beyond the very next deal i.e. long term forecasts and planning. And then there also needs to be a clear roadmap to sector reforms and tariff rationalisation. This is key, because this is the story that the lenders and the developers will need to be able to buy into!
The next step is to determine the IPP programme framework e.g. whether to have a single-buyer model or a bilateral contract network or a combination of both. What is more important to the country – secured supply at a slightly higher capacity payments or competitive markets with lesser security of supply
17. How Can We Help? Project Finance Advisory
Financial Modeling & Evaluation
Structuring multi-sourced and multi-phase financing plan
Managing Due Diligence Process
Risk Allocation and Project Agreements review / mark up
Preparation of Proposal
Negotiations with Offtakers and Financiers
Commercial Debt, Export Credits, B Loans, Debt Capital Markets
Underwriting, Lead Arranging and Financial Close
Privatisation Advisory
Sector Strategy
Risk Allocation
RFP Preparation and Packaging
Roadshows in Europe , Middle East and Asia
Bid Evaluation, Negotiation and Selection
Monitoring Financial Close
18. We believe that Nigeria has a huge scope for value creating investment in infrastructure
But most African markets do not have sufficient tax and government revenues for pure public sector funding
Funding is not the critical barrier
Project finance remains available for well structured projects
Credit markets can dealing with currency and political risks, for bankable projects
Revenue is not generally the critical barrier
The Governments in Nigeria have started the broad policies and regulatory changes to support stable revenue streams
There are greater challenges associated with revenue transfer arrangements e.g. in water & sewerage, roads