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The Effects of Radiotherapy on the Ovary and the Uterus. Tom Kelsey University of St Andrews. PRIMER WORKSHOP LATINOAMERICANO SOBRE FALLA OVÁRICA SECUNDARIA A LOS TRATAMIENTOS DEL CÁNCER Montevideo, Uruguay Nov. 2006. My Colleagues. Hamish Wallace Angela Thomson
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The Effects of Radiotherapy on the Ovary and the Uterus Tom Kelsey University of St Andrews PRIMER WORKSHOP LATINOAMERICANO SOBRE FALLA OVÁRICA SECUNDARIA A LOS TRATAMIENTOS DEL CÁNCER Montevideo, Uruguay Nov. 2006
My Colleagues • Hamish Wallace • Angela Thomson • Royal Hospital for Sick Children • Edinburgh, Scotland • Frank Saran • Royal Marsden Hospital • London Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
The Ovary • The Faddy-Gosden Model • of decline in ovarian reserve • Calculation of the LD50 • Prediction of ovarian failure after radiotherapy • for populations and for individuals • Effective sterilising doses Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
The Faddy-Gosden Model • Based on many sources • Histological studies • Block 1952, Gougeon et al. 1984, Richardson et al. 1987 • model agrees with Baker 1963 • Distribution of menopausal ages • Trelour 1981 • model agrees with van Noord et al. 1997 Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
The Faddy-Gosden Model Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
The Faddy-Gosden Model • Population at birth about 700,000 • Steady exponential decline until 10 years before menopause • similar proportion lost each year • Accelerated decline thereafter • Population at menopause about 1,000 Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Calculation of the LD50 • First estimated as < 4 Gy • Wallace et al. 1989 • using an over-simple model of follicle population decline • and self-reporting of ovarian failure • Likely to be an over-estimate • but a useful first approximation Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Calculation of the LD50 • Recalculated in 2003 • using the Faddy-Gosden model • and improved clinical techniques for determining age at ovarian failure • Same methodology used • assume that each individual conforms to the Faddy-Gosden model • estimate fraction of population remaining after a known dose of RT Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Calculation of the LD50 • LD50 now estimated at < 2 Gy • 0.15 Gy for mice • 50 Gy for monkeys • Assumptions • rate of decline not affected after radiation • individuals close to the Faddy-Gosden model before and after treatment • likely age of ovarian failure without treatment is 50-51 years Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Prediction of Ovarian Failure • We know the age at treatment • we have a good model for follicle decline • we have good data on ages of menopause • We can estimate the dose received by the least-affected ovary • using iso-dose charts based on CT scans • improved using conformal radiotherapy • we have a good estimate of the LD50 Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Prediction of Ovarian Failure Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Prediction of Ovarian Failure • We can use these to predict the age of ovarian failure after a known dose at a known age • We also assume that late menopause corresponds to high follicle population at birth • and that early menopause corresponds to a low follicle population at birth Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Trelour, 1981 distribution of ages at menopause Faddy-Gosden solutions for early, average & late menopause Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Prediction of Ovarian Failure • Taken together, we can estimate the effects of treatment • given the dose and age at treatment • we supply expected age of ovarian failure • together with ranges that account for variations in follicle population • which we can’t measure directly Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Prediction for Individuals • We would like to give more specific advice to children & families • But we can’t assess the population before treatment • and our assumptions need not be valid • We can be reasonably confidentabout calculating a sterilising dose • immediately reduce the population to fewer than 1,000follicles Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
19 Gy will sterilise at 7 years 11 Gy will sterilise at 42 years Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Prediction for Individuals • We may be able to do better • by using ovarian volume as a surrogate indicator of ovarian reserve • in combination with hormonal indicators • AMH, FSH, inhibin-B, etc. • genetic indicators • strong evidence from study on twins, de Bruin et al. 2001 • ovarian indicators • antral follicle counts, Broekmans et al. 2004 Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Prediction for Individuals • Strong correlation between ovarian volumes and follicle populations • Pavlik et al. 2000 data on ovarian volumes • Faddy-Gosden model • Both for the average case and the high volume - high population case • very good agreement with a separate study on age-related ovarian volume • Flaws et al. 2000 Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
r = 0.97 r = 0.96 Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Future Research • Ovarian volume • time in cycle, contraception, left & right • longitudinal study • relation to hormonal, genetic & other indicators • Clinical factors • better assessment of ovarian failure • accurate estimate of dose to ovaries Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Future Research • Validation (or revision) of existing results • use CCSS data to test LD50 calculations • Childhood Cancer Survivor Study • large follow up study, N = 3390 • good protocol information • including AA regimes (chemotherapy) • self-reported ovarian failure Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
The Uterus • Much fewer quantitative results • Normal uterine function is well documented • and can be assessed using TV ultrasound • We know that RT can increase uterine volume and endometrial thickness • and change shape from tubular to pear-shaped Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
The Uterus • TBI (14.4 Gy) is known to cause uterine disfunction • reduction in length & blood flow • Holm et al. 1999 • Excess risk of low birthweight • Green, 2001 • Ovum donation can lead to pregnancy • high risk of miscarriage, Larsen et al. 2000 Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
The Uterus • Chemotherapy does not appear to affect uterine function • Critchley, Thomson & Wallace 2004 • Further work is needed to quantify the effects of radiotherapy on uterine function Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Conclusions • LD50 of 2 Gy for the human oocyte • Wallace, Thomson & Kelsey 2003 • Prediction of ovarian failure after RT • Effective Sterilising Dose • Wallace, Saran, Thomson & Kelsey 2005 • Individual assessment via ovarian volume • Wallace & Kelsey 2004 Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano
Conclusions • More work needed to improve models • and justify assumptions • and consider uterine function • Aim is to provide high-quality information to children, their families and their clinical teams • minimise the late-effects of treatments for cancer during childhood Primer Workshop LatinoAmericano