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Economic Indicators and Indices

Economic Indicators and Indices. By Mike Lee CFP, RFP, FCIS, MCIM (Licensed Financial Planner) No. CMSRL/A3201/2007. Some Economic Indicators. Money Supply / Liquidity Gross Domestic Product / Income Interest Rate / Interest rate cycle Economic Indices – Leading, Coincidental and Lagging

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Economic Indicators and Indices

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  1. Economic Indicators and Indices By Mike Lee CFP, RFP, FCIS, MCIM (Licensed Financial Planner) No. CMSRL/A3201/2007 Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

  2. Some Economic Indicators • Money Supply / Liquidity • Gross Domestic Product / Income • Interest Rate / Interest rate cycle • Economic Indices – Leading, Coincidental and Lagging • Trade Surplus / Bank Negara Reserves • Economic / Business Cycle • What is Inflation / Deflation / Stagflation? • The Baltic Exchange Dry Index • The Volatility Index (VIX) or “Fear” Index • The US Dollar Index Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

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  10. 4 Possible Trends in a Recovery Gradual Recovery Quick Recovery Slow Recovery Double Bottom Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

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  14. What is Inflation? • Demand exceeds Supply? • Too much money chasing too few goods? • Money is what money does? • Costs of goods and services go up? • Value of money goes down? • “The rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services are rising, and subsequently, the purchasing power of money is falling” - Investopedia Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

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  20. What is Stagflation? • Two words – ‘Stagnant economy & Inflation’ • “A condition of slow economic growth and high unemployment – a time of stagnation, followed by high prices and inflation” - Investopedia Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

  21. Are economic indicators always beneficial or relevant? It depends on what is happening in the country and the world. Generally, economic indicators provide a good guide and direction for planning purposes. Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

  22. Market Change After Crisis(Dow Jones Industrial Index) Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

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  32. 14 Oct 2009 Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

  33. 21 June 2010 Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

  34. 14 Oct 2009 Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

  35. 12 Aug 2009 Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

  36. 21 Dec 09 Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

  37. 6 JAN 2010 Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

  38. Aug 09 Nov 09 Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

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  40. Asset Class(Gold Index) • Gold Coins, jewelry etc. • Gold Funds (mining stocks) • Gold ETFs • Gold Certificates (banks) • Others Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

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  46. Market is down- Be greedy when others are fearful? Market is up- Be fearful when others are greedy? 22.9 Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

  47. 40.10 19.23 Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

  48. The Pendulum Swings both ways equally What goes down must come up again and vice versa Reversion to the mean Property of CTL Business Solutions Sdn. Bhd

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