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January 2011

January 2011. Cooperation changes development. The consequences of doing nothing.  Potential benefits of intervention. 1 600 million m 3 potential water shortages (Syr Darya) 2 2 million households experiencing winter heat and power shortages

kimberly-stephens
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January 2011

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  1. January 2011

  2. Cooperation changes development The consequences of doing nothing Potential benefits of intervention 1 600 million m3potential water shortages (Syr Darya) 2 2 million households experiencing winter heat and power shortages 3 90% less energy traded within Central Asia since 1990 4 1% loss in GDP per year from weather-related disasters (in Tajikistan and Kyrgyz Republic) 1Over $2 billion savings from increased energy trade, with environmental benefits in reduced greenhouse gas emissions 2 $7m/yr savings in public expenditures from a 1% increase in water pumping efficiency in one country 3$200m/yr new revenues from energy experts to South Asia from initial phases of CASAREM project Major constraints to economic growth and political stability Accelerated investment, enhanced environmental quality and improved livelihoods Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  3. CAEWDP builds on global lessons “Regional programs offer substantial potential to achieve results on development issues… regional projects have successfully built new assets and protected existing ones in ways expected to benefit all participating countries.” (Independent Evaluation Group (2007) Evaluation of World Bank Support of Multicountry Operations ) • Successful programs: • Work with countries to build on • national aspirations and priorities • Nurture donor coordination • Address a package of three core issues: • 1 Physical, intellectual and management hubs for regional cooperation • 2 Objective analysis of the costs and benefits of cooperation to national interests • 3 Investments to deliver infrastructure and strengthen livelihoods Danube River Basin Turkey Power Interconnection Energy Community of South East Europe Eastern China Power Markets South Asia Water Initiative Red Sea/Dead Sea Water conveyance Indus River Treaty India Power Grid Senegal River Basin Mekong River Basin; NT2 Hydropower Eastern Nile River Development West Africa Power Pool Nile Equatorial Lakes River Basin Zambezi River Basin Transboundary water management Regional energy markets Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  4. CAEWDP: An integrated program Investment Preparation Energy Development Regional Institutions Energy-Water Linkages • Supported by • Global experience • International panel of advisors • Donor support Water Productivity Diagnostics and Analysis Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  5. Partnerships are critical • National Governments • Unique national interests and priorities • National technical experts • Regional Organizations • ESCC Energy Action Plan (with ADB) • EC-IFAS Third Aral Sea Basin Management Program • Donors • Strong portfolios in energy and water; World Bank fills a recognized gap in the energy-water nexus • Joint activities are underway; Interest in new investment opportunities National Governments World Bank Regional Organizatons Donors Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  6. Energy Development ($9m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan   Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed  Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated  Planning capacity Planned Winter energy   Scoping Study Underway Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Planned Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed  Recommendations from diagnostic Planned  Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway Energy Accountability Planned Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway Energy-Water Linkages ($12M) Energy-Water Modeling   Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional HydrometeorologyInitiated Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway Dialogue   Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forumPlanned Water Productivity ($12m) Capacity Strengthening   Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Agricultural water expert forum Planned Infrastructure and Management Opportunities   IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure Planned   Program Foundations ($7M) Regional institutions Initiated Expert Panel Initiated Coordination Underway A comprehensive set of activities Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  7. A comprehensive set of activities Energy Development ($9m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan   Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed  Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated  Planning capacity Planned Winter energy   Scoping Study Underway Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Planned Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed  Recommendations from diagnostic Planned  Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway Energy Accountability Planned Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway Energy-Water Linkages ($12M) Energy-Water Modeling   Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional HydrometeorologyInitiated Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway Dialogue   Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forumPlanned Water Productivity ($12m) Capacity Strengthening   Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned Infrastructure and Management Opportunities   IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure   CASA 1000 and UAP (CASAREM) Objective: Diversify Central Asia energy markets by connecting energy deficits in South Asia . Activities: For CASA: Feasibility studies, Environmental and Social impact assessment; Capacity building; Specialist support for all countries. For UAP: Feasibility assessment started Budget: $3m Timeline: 2010 - 2013 Program Foundations ($7M) Regional institutions Initiated Expert Panel Initiated Coordination Underway Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  8. A comprehensive set of activities Energy Development ($9m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan   Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed  Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated  Planning capacity Planned Winter energy   Scoping Study Underway Complete Plan for Kyrgyz and Tajik Planned Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed  Recommendations from diagnostic Planned  Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway Energy Accountability Planned Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway Energy-water Linkages ($12M) Energy-Water Modeling   Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional HydrometeorologyInitiated Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway Dialogue   Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forumPlanned Water Productivity ($12m) Capacity Strengthening   Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned Infrastructure and Management Opportunities   IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure   Energy-water modeling Objective: Establish a common platform for analysis, accepted by and useful to all countries ; Support both collective and national dialogue on regionally significant initiatives. Activities: National and regional workshops for model design, Model inventory and assessment, Model development and integration of existing tools ; Regional expert team supported by international colleagues. Budget: $3m Timeline: 2011-2013 Program Support ($7M) Regional institutions Initiated Expert Panel Initiated Coordination Underway Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  9. A comprehensive set of activities Energy Development ($9m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan   Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed  Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated  Planning capacity Planned Winter energy   Scoping Study Completed Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Planned Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed  Recommendations from diagnostic Planned  Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway Energy Accountability Planned Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway Energy-Water Linkages ($12M) Energy-Water Modeling   Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional HydrometeorologyInitiated Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway Dialogue   Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forumPlanned Water Productivity ($12m) Capacity Strengthening   Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned Infrastructure and Management Opportunities   IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure   Regional Hydrometeorology Program Objective: Improve coordination and training between National Hydrometeorological Services of the Central Asian countries to strengthen data quality and quantity, and data sharing Activities: Draft MOU and program of regional activities and investments (completed); Improve capacity of CA NMHSs, Improved early warnings, Systems integration, Regional system of training and professional development. Budget: $5m Timeline: 2011- 2014 Program Support ($7M) Regional institutions Initiated Expert Panel Initiated Coordination Underway Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  10. A comprehensive set of activities Energy Development ($9m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan   Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed  Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated  Planning capacity Planned Winter energy   Scoping Study Underway Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Planned Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed  Recommendations from diagnostic Planned  Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway Energy Accountability Planned Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway Energy-Water Linkages ($12M) Energy-Water Modeling   Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional HydrometeorologyInitiated Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway Dialogue   Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forumPlanned Water Productivity ($12m) Capacity Strengthening   Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned Infrastructure and Management Opportunities   IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure   Third Aral Sea Basin program Objective: Support range of proposals from Central Asian country experts to improve water management Activities: Assist in identifying strategic opportunities; Convene national experts; Fund specific initiatives focused on water productivity Budget: $5-8m Timeline: 2011 - 2014 Program Foundations ($7M) Regional institutions Initiated Expert Panel Initiated Coordination Underway Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  11. A comprehensive set of activities Energy Development ($9m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan   Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed  Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated  Planning capacity Planned Winter energy   Scoping Study Underway Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Planned Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed  Recommendations from diagnostic Planned  Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway Energy Accountability Planned Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway Energy-Water Linkages ($12M) Energy-Water Modeling   Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional HydrometeorologyInitiated Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway Dialogue   Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forumPlanned Water Productivity ($12m) Capacity Strengthening   Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned Infrastructure and Management Opportunities   IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure   International Panel of Advisors Objective: Provide independent advice and international state-of-the -art expertise Activities: Identification and funding of experts for specific stated needs (e.g., program development, project assessment) Budget: $4m Timeline: Program life Program Foundations ($7M) Regional institutions Initiated Expert Panel Initiated Coordination Underway Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  12. World Bank Energy-Water Portfolio in Central Asia CAEWDP complements national initiatives Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  13. Moving forward 1Maintain momentum on work program implementation (complete current activities; initiate new ones) 2 Deepen dialogue with national governments 3 Secure financing and donor involvement Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

  14. Opportunities for donor involvement CAEWDP welcomes different avenues for cooperation Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration

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