ACADEMICS Feb 2012

1. CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT ACADEMICS Feb 2012 This brief is classified: UNCLASSIFIED As of: 31 Jan 12

2. Purpose and Agenda • Purpose To provide an overview of campaign assessments, the campaign assessment framework and its processes. • Agenda • References • Multinational SOP (MNF SOP v. 2.7) • U.S. Doctrine (Joint Publications 2-0, 3-0, and 5-0) • Other Assessments Concepts • What is Campaign Assessment? • The Assessment Framework • Campaign Assessment – An Example • Cross Functional Elements • Summary

3. References: MNFSOP, v2.7 “CTF Assessment of Operations” MNFSOP v2.6 - Part B – Chapter 2 – Annex B – Appendix 6: MDMP-M

4. Commander’s Decision Cycle • The Commander’s Decision Cycle is a process that depicts how command and staff elements determine required CTF command actions, codify them in directives, execute them, and monitor their results. • Underlying this cycle is a continuous learning process that is assessing the effectiveness of CTF plans and actions. • It is designed to be End State Focused and based upon a Learning-Adaptive process during execution of plans / orders. Monitor Communicate (End State) Direct Assess Plan OPERATIONAL LEVEL “Where are we in relation to where we want to go?”

5. Military Decision Making Process - Multinational # 1 - INITIATION & SCOPING # 8– EXECUTION, ASSESSMENT, AND FOLLOW-ON ADAPTATION (BRANCH / SEQUELS) # 2 – MISSION ANALYSIS • ONGOING • CENTRAL PROCESS • Commander’s Appreciation • OIPE • Framing the Problem • 2. Operational Design # 7– PLAN / ORDER DEVELOPMENT # 3 – COA DEVELOPMENT # 6– COA APPROVAL AND COMMANDER’S ESTIMATE # 5 – COA COMPARISON # 4 – COA ANALYSIS AND GAMING Assessment - a constant consideration; begins with Mission Analysis

6. What is Campaign Assessment? • Assessment is a process that measures progress of the CTF operations and actions as they relate to: • Strategic guidance • Military end state attainment • Mission accomplishment • Commanders continuously assess the operational environment and the progress of operations, and compare them to their initial vision and intent. Commanders adjust operations based on their assessment to ensure objectives are met and the military end state is achieved

7. Levels of Military Operations and Assessment SOURCE: JP 5-0

8. Campaign Assessment Framework CCTF Recommendations Are we doing the right things? Are we doing things right? What’s Next? Operational Assessment Operations and Plan Review and Recommendations (OPRR) Effects Tasks Effects Assessment Task Assessment Measures of Effectiveness Measures of Performance Two parallel assessment processes that together can provide a comprehensive operational assessment for the commander

9. Desired Effect –a behavior or condition that results from an action, a set of actions, or another effect that describe the accomplishment of an objective. MOEs (Measures of Effectiveness) - assess changes in system (adversary or 3rd party) behavior, capability, or operational environment. A Task is a discreet event or action that enables a mission or function to be accomplished. MOPs (Measures of Performance) evaluate task performance or accomplishment Campaign Assessment Process The assessment process and related measures should be relevant, measurable, achievable, responsive, and resourced so there is no false impression of accomplishment.

10. Effects and Task Assessment Structures TASKS EFFECTS End State End State Objective 1 Objective 2 Objective 3 Objective 1 Objective 2 Objective 3 Task Task Task Effect Effect Effect MOP MOP MOE MOE MOE Indicator MOE Indicator MOE Indicator

11. Task Assessment Structure/Example Example – Cobra Gold 10 End State Objective 1 Objective 2 Objective 3 OBJ 3. CTF has transitioned operations to UNPACFOR or newly-authorized UN mission. Task Task Task Task: Reestablish Security / Stability Task: Transition to UN Forces MOP MOP Combat ops have ceased Establish liaison w/UN forces Law enforcement patrols are being conducted

12. Effects Assessment Structure/Example Example – Cobra Gold ‘10 End State OBJ 3. CTF has transitioned operations to UNPACFOR or newly-authorized UN mission. Objective 1 Objective 2 Objective 3 Effect Effect Effect E7. Kuhistan supports CTF Operations E8. UNPACFOR is ready for transfer of responsibility Increase or decrease in regional support MOE MOE Increase/decrease in UN forces readiness Increase/decrease in secure operational environment MOE Indicator MOE Indicator MOE Indicator ASEAN Communiqués Leadership statements

13. Assessment Design - Cobra Gold 10 OBJECTIVE/ END STATES DESIRED EFFECTS KEY TASKS G Execute Strategic Communications Plan 1. Arcadian military, irregulars, police and civilian security forces withdraw from Makah-majority areas. Arcadian gov’t is in compliance with 1 Jan 07 agreement, UNSCR 1739, and1923. A/G Establish Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance Plan A 2. Military, police and civilian security forces do not suppress Makah population in UNPACFOR AOR. A/R Re-establish Security/ Stability Inter-ethnic violence in Arcadia has ended 3. SIFA demobilizes and disarms. R Tasks found in UNSCR 1923, 4(b), 4(c), 4(d), 4(e), 4(f) 4. PHG demobilizes and disarms. N 5. Government of Arcadia ceases support to PHG. Transition to UN Force CTF has transitioned opns to UNPACFOR or newly-authorized UN mission. 6. Government of Arcadia, NGO, and IO humanitarian assistance is provided. Be prepared to conduct Non-combatant Operations 7. Kuhistan supports CTF operations. Support HA efforts by civilian elements without adversely affecting priority military tasks 8. UNPACFOR is ready for transfer of responsibility.

14. Campaign Assessment Framework – What’s Next? CCTF Recommendations Are we doing the right things? Are we doing things right? What’s Next? Operational Assessment Operations and Plan Review and Recommendations (OPRR) Effects Tasks Effects Assessment Task Assessment MOEs MOPs Two parallel assessment processes that together can provide a comprehensive operational assessment for the commander

15. Operations & Plan Review & Recommendations • Results are: Findings and Recommendations • Deficiency Analysis that can lead to Actionable Recommendations • How effective is the operation? What’s next? • Identify gaps between mission accomplishment and achievement of objectives/end states • Opportunities and a range of potential executable options • Adjustments to current operations • Refinement/development of sequels/branch plans • Modify assessment criteria/design • Planning Horizons • Current operations • Future operations • Future plans

16. Assessment Design - Cobra Gold 10 KEY TASKS DESIRED EFFECTS OBJECTIVE/END STATES G Execute Strategic Communications Plan A/G 1. Arcadian military, irregulars, police and civilian security forces withdraw from Makah-majority areas. Arcadian gov’t is in compliance with 1 Jan 07 agreement, UNSCR 1739, and1923. A/G A/G A/G Establish Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance Plan G 2. Military, police and civilian security forces do not suppress Makah population in UNPACFOR AOR. A A A/G Re-establish Security/ Stability A/R A/R Inter-ethnic violence in Arcadia has ended 3. SIFA demobilizes and disarms. Tasks found in UNSCR 1923, 4(b), 4(c), 4(d), 4(e), 4(f) A/R R 4. PHG demobilizes and disarms. A/G A/R 5. Government of Arcadia ceases support to PHG. N A/G Transition to UN Force A CTF has transitioned opns to UNPACFOR or newly-authorized UN mission. 6. Government of Arcadia, NGO, and IO humanitarian assistance is provided. A/G Be prepared to conduct Non-combatant Operations A A A 7. Kuhistan supports CTF operations. Support HA efforts by civilian elements without adversely affecting priority military tasks 8. UNPACFOR is ready for transfer of responsibility. A A/G G A R OFF-PLAN / NOT ACHIEVED ACHIEVED ON-PLAN / NOT ACHIEVED

17. CTF Assessment Cross Functional Elements CCTF Campaign Assessment Bpard Recommendations Are we doing the right things? Are we doing things right? What’s Next? Operational Assessment Operations and Plan Review and Recommendations (OPRR) Campaign Assessment Working Group Effects Tasks Multinational Cmd Ctr Campaign Assesment Cell Components Task Assessment MOEs Effects Assessment MOPs

18. Multinational Force Command Center (M-CmdC) • Multinational Force Command Center (M-CmdC) • The M-CmdC plays an important role in the assessment process. • Components and other subordinate organizations report the status of task accomplishment • M-CmdC Tasks: • Provides progress assessments of CTF and component tasks.

19. Campaign Assessment Cell (CAC) • Campaign Assessment Cell (CAC) • Primary organization which supports assessment process during planning and execution • Normally resides in C5 because of the relationship of assessments with planning. • CAC Tasks • Represent assessment process in planning • Collect assessment information from CTF codes and elements • Conduct assessment of Effects and MOEs • Provide CAWG with draft assessment M-CmdC

20. Campaign Assessment Working Group (CAWG) • Campaign Assessment Working Group (CAWG) • Cross functional analysis of the draft assessment at the action officer level • Membership may include C2, C35, C39, C4, C9(CivMil), POLAD, SJA, PAO, component reps, Fires, IO, CPG • Normally chaired by the C5 • CAWG Tasks • Validate draft assessment • Provides recommendations to the Commander of the CTF via the Campaign Assessment Board (CAB). M-CmdC

21. Campaign Assessment Board (CAB) • Campaign Assessment Board (CAB) • Senior level decision-making forum • CAB membership may include the CCTF, DCTF, Chief of Staff, Directors of C-Codes, and select special staff • Makes recommendations to adjust operations and plans in order to achieve objectives to the CCTF M-CmdC

22. In Summary • Campaign Assessment is a vital part of the Commander’s decision cycle that facilitates adaptation and learning • Assessment is a process that measures progress of the CTF operations and actions as they relate to: • Strategic guidance • Military end state attainment • Mission accomplishment • Doing the right things vs. doing things right • Tasks create Effects that achieve the Objectives and the End State • The assessment process provides findings and recommendations to the CCTF through Cross Functional Elements hosted by the C5 • Campaign Assessment must be planned and included throughout the planning process

23. Baseline Campaign Assessment – (D+3, 9 Feb) DESIRED EFFECTS END STATES LINES OF OPERATION G Communication Integration 1. Arcadia forces ceases all military actions. Arcadian forces are Withdrawn from Kuhistan and Free Mojave; the MNF Has transitioned Security operations To Royal Kuhistan Armed Forces and Free Mojave National Army and/ Or a UN authorized force; and restorestability & security in Pacifica Region. A/G 2. Arcadia forces do not occupy Kuhistan territory. A 3. Arcadia forces do not occupy Free Mojave territory. Peace Enforcement A/R 4. Sonora does not support Arcadia Military operations. R 5. Cathay does not support Arcadia Military operations. N Transition Operations 6. Regional Partners support MNF operations. 7. Humanitarian Assistance operations in Pacifica are effective. Stabilization & HA 8. Kuhistan RAF is ready for transfer of responsibility. 9. Free Mojave National Army or UN Authorized Force is ready for transfer of responsibility. On Plan Partially On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

24. Findings & Recommendations FINDINGS: RISKS: • Review of effects and tasks with key and pertinent information to inform MNF Commander and Staff. • Add relevant and pertinent assessment comments for discussion for MNF Commander and staff. • Based on the Constraints and Restraints, what are the risks? • Based on the opportunities, what are the risks involved. OPPORTUNITIES: RECOMMENDATIONS: • Identify opportunities across DIME as it affects the operational environment. • Recommendations based on consultations with CPG Planners, C35 and C5 (Currents Ops, Future Ops, and Future Plans.

25. QUESTIONS?