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Guangquan Li * , Robert Haining + , Sylvia Richardson * and Nicky Best *

Evaluating Peterborough’s ‘no cold calling’ initiative usin g space-time Bayesian hierarchical modelling. Guangquan Li * , Robert Haining + , Sylvia Richardson * and Nicky Best * + University of Cambridge * Imperial College, London. Locations of the NCC areas in Peterborough.

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Guangquan Li * , Robert Haining + , Sylvia Richardson * and Nicky Best *

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  1. Evaluating Peterborough’s ‘no cold calling’ initiative using space-time Bayesian hierarchical modelling Guangquan Li*, Robert Haining+, Sylvia Richardson* and Nicky Best* +University of Cambridge *Imperial College, London

  2. Locations of the NCC areas in Peterborough

  3. Data on “No Cold Calling”

  4. Raw data: individual and aggregated temporal profiles Positive impact of policy?

  5. Constructing the control group - areas are selected that have similar local characteristics (e.g. burglary rates; deprivation scores) to those in the NCC-targeted group. - Lower Super Output Area (LSOA) framework used to obtain reliable control trend

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