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Jan Aben. Experiments with RAINS-NL. Contents. Features and objectives of RAINS-NL Illustration of a feature Exploration of Euro V and Euro VI effects on PM 2.5 emissions and concentrations Conclusions. Features. Increased spatial resolution (NL domain only)
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Jan Aben Experiments with RAINS-NL
Contents • Features and objectives of RAINS-NL • Illustration of a feature • Exploration of Euro V and Euro VI effects on PM2.5 emissions and concentrations • Conclusions Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Features • Increased spatial resolution (NL domain only) • EMEP based TM’s (50x50 km) OPS based TMs (5x5 km) • high resolution ecosystem and population data • Sector specific transfer matrices allowing better spatial allocation of control measures • NO2 concentration Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Objectives of RAINS-NL • Providing a general framework for IA analysis • Detailing RAINS outcomes for the Netherlands • Studying the effects of alternative national strategies, including the consequences for other countries Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Increased resolution in RAINS-NL RAINS underestimates N-problem in hot spots Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Effects of EURO V and VI on NO2 and PM2.5 • NO2 and PM are bottlenecks in Dutch cities • Traffic is an important source of NOx and PM emissions • Investigation into the effects of proposed EURO standards on PM2.5 concentrations Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Two alternative strategies • MOBv1: Starts from Commission proposal Euro V for cars and vans (starting ± 2008) and European stimulation of cleaner trucks (Euro IV and V) • MOBv2: Starts from Commission proposal EURO V for cars and vans and EURO VI (starting ± 2012) for cars and trucks (Ricardo) Alternative strategies applied to NL, BE, GE, FR, UK Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Development of shares of Euro standards Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Reduction of NOx emission by road traffic in 2020 Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Reduction of PM2.5 emission by road traffic in 2020 Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Effect on PM2.5 concentration in 2020 - NL Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Spatial allocation of effect on PM2.5 concentration RAINS/EMEP underestimates effect of measures for hot spots Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
PM2.5 concentrations along city streets in 2020 Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Conclusions • Euro V and VI are essential measures to reduce PM2.5 (and NO2) in Dutch urban locations (but possibly not sufficient to meet indicative targets everywhere) • RAINS/EMEP underestimates problems in hot spots • RAINS/EMEP underestimates effects of measures for hot spots Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
The End Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Increased life expectancy Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Effect on NO2-concentration Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006
Performance OPS Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006