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Tax Policy Choices and New York City’s Competitive Position Donald Boyd - donboyd5@gmail.com. The Most Important Economic and Fiscal Decisions Facing the Next Mayor A Citizens Budget Commission Conference December 6, 2013. Outline. NYC taxes: high, rising
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Tax Policy Choices and New York City’s Competitive PositionDonald Boyd - donboyd5@gmail.com The Most Important Economic and Fiscal Decisions Facing the Next Mayor A Citizens Budget Commission ConferenceDecember 6, 2013
Outline • NYC taxes: high, rising • How easy is it to leave NYC taxes behind? • Impact of PIT options • Disparities between NYC commercial property tax rates and competitive locations • Conclusions
Taxes on Upper Income Households Long Among Highest in Nation
NYC Taxes Highest Percent of GCP in 30 Years;Recent Increases Driven by Property Tax
How Easy is it to Leave NYC Taxes Behind? • Outmigration • Commuting • Research on • Intraregional responses to taxes • Millionaire taxes
Outmigration of High-Income NYC Individuals More Common than in Neighboring Areas
Commuting More Common among Higher-Wage NYC Earners than Lower-Wage Earners
Impact of PIT Increases • Examined two options: • 10% surcharge • 0.75% increase in top rate on income above $500k (from 3.876% to 4.626%) • Within the bounds of past changes; similar in magnitude (surcharge somewhat greater)
Net State-Local PIT Tax Payments MUCH Higher than Neighbors; Difference Increased by Policy Options
Conclusions • NYC tax levels extremely high relative to neighbors, particularly for PIT and commercial property tax • Intraregional competition carries greater risks of economic impacts than longer-distance competition • Millionaire migration studies show relatively small impacts, but NYC differentials much greater than in those studies • Higher income individuals in NYC relatively more likely to migrate than in neighboring areas. Higher wage workers more likely to commute to NYC than lower wage workers • PIT increases examined would exacerbate existing differentials • Differential between NYC property tax and some competitors is large • Caution advisable when considering increased taxes in areas where NYC is already an outlier