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Global Economy and the Shipping Industry:   Forecasting the Market

NAMEPA & WGMA Present Winds of Change in Shipping February 19, 2014 The Houstonian Hotel Houston - T exas. Prof. Maria G. Burns Texas Southern University. Global Economy and the Shipping Industry:   Forecasting the Market. 2014 FORECAST!. THE MANY FACES OF THE TRIPLE-E Concept.

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Global Economy and the Shipping Industry:   Forecasting the Market

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  1. NAMEPA & WGMA Present Winds of Change in Shipping February 19, 2014 The Houstonian Hotel Houston - Texas Prof. Maria G. Burns Texas Southern University Global Economy and the Shipping Industry:   Forecasting the Market PROF. M. BURNS, 2014

  2. 2014 FORECAST! MGB 2014

  3. THE MANY FACES OF THE TRIPLE-E Concept MGB 2014

  4. Global Economy and the Shipping Industry:   Forecasting the Market Market Trends & Key Players Governments & Policy Makers • THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY: • New Ship Designs • New Environmental Regulations • Focus on the Triple-E Concept • LNG as Fuel • Oil Price Fluctuations • Shipbuilding Subsidies • AT A GLOBAL LEVEL: • Trade Deficit • Inflation, • Currency Manipulation • Escalating Geopolitical Tensions Classification Societies Port Authorities Ship Builders Shipowners Cargo Owners Financing & Investment PROF. M. BURNS, 2014

  5. 2014 FORECAST ! THE KEY DRIVERS OF THE MARITIME INDUSTRY ECONOMIES OF SCALE INNOVATION ENERGY SUPPLY & DEMAND SOURCE: M. BURNS - PORT MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS.*. CRC , 2014. MGB 2014

  6. FORECASTING THE SHIPPING MARKET Source: M.BURNS - PORT MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS.*. CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group

  7. Forecasting the Market MGB 2014

  8. GLOBAL GROWTH RATES 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 GDP Composition MGB 2014 2010 2011 2012

  9. GDP (PPP) • per Capita GLOBAL GROWTH ADVANCED VS. DEVELOPING COUNTRIES MGB 2014

  10. GDP (PPP) SOURCE: M. BURNS - PORT MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS.*. CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group based on data from US Bureau Of Economic Analysis. 1980-2013,and China NBS, 2013.

  11. Figure : World’s leading Ports by Hemisphere, 2003-2013 : AUSTRALASIA VS. THE AMERICAS, EUROPE & AFRICA MGB 2014

  12. MGB 2014

  13. World’s leading Ports MGB 2014

  14. Global sources of pollution. MB, NAMEPA 2014

  15. World’s leading Ports World’s marine pollution World’s natural seeps World’s leading Economies MGB 2014

  16. ECONOMY Vs. ECOLOGY While the sources of anthropogenic (man-made) pollution receive considerable publicity, little is known of the naturally spilled oil and gas that the seas have been receiving and absorbing for 400 million years. Source: compiled by M. Burns, based on data from Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, 2009 (www.boem.gov) and National Research Council, “Oil in the Sea” 2003 (www.nap.gov) MB, NAMEPA 2014

  17. #Global Offshore Natural Seeps Seepage and their association with Earthquakes 2007 2013 MB, NAMEPA 2014

  18. COMPLIANCE TO ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS MB, DOT 2013

  19. Forecasting the Market Global Areas of Growth MGB 2014 GDP, Technology, Population

  20. Forecasting the Market National Areas of Growth MGB 2014

  21. #ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION BY STATE MB, DOT 2013

  22. Table : World seaborne trade in 2006–2012, by type of cargo. (Millions of tons) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 MGB 2014

  23. Table : World seaborne trade in 2006–2012, by type of cargo. (Millions of tons) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 CARGO LOADED CARGO UNLOADED 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 MGB 2014 SOURCE: M. BURNS - PORT MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS.*. CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group based on data from UNCTAD Statistics, 1980 - 2013

  24. Table : World seaborne trade in 2006–2012, by type of cargo. (Millions of tons) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 GLOBAL FLEET CARGO UNLOADED 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 SOURCE: M. BURNS - PORT MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS.*. CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group based on data from UNCTAD Statistics, 1980 - 2013 MGB 2014

  25. World Commodities carried by sea, • Fleet by key ship types (millions of DWT) PORT MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS.* M. BURNS . CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group

  26. FORECASTIN G THE MARKET VIA COMMODITIES ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMY Drilling rig activity 85-86-87-88-89-90-91-92-93-94-95-96-97-98-99-00-01-02-03-04-05-06-07-08-09-10-11-12 Compiled based on www.data.bsee.gov, 2013 MB, NAMEPA 2014

  27. COMMODITY MARKETS Source: M.BURNS - PORT MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS.*. CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group

  28. COMMODITY MARKETS Source: M.BURNS - PORT MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS.*. CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group

  29. COMMODITY MARKETS Source: M.BURNS - PORT MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS.*. CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group

  30. COMMODITY MARKETS Source: M.BURNS - PORT MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS.*. CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group

  31. ENERGY MARKETS MGB 2014

  32. ENERGY MARKETS Source: M.BURNS - PORT MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS.*. CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group

  33. Global Economy and the Shipping Industry:   Forecasting the Market MGB 2014

  34. Prof. Maria G. Burns   Faculty - Certified Maritime Auditor (HSQE) TEXAS SOUTHERN UNIVERSITY Houston - TX 77004 Office Tel: 713-313-6784 Cell : 832-663-2746 E-mail: burnsm@tsu.edu PROF. M. BURNS, 2014

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