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Expanze retailerů

Expanze retailerů. 10. Kyjev 12. Berlín 12. Varšava 14. Záhřeb 14. Kodaň 14. Riga 14. Vilnius 18. Stockholm 19. Split 19. Paříž 19. Ženeva. Moskva Petrohrad Praha Bratislava Lublaň Sofia Bukurešť Budapešť Tallinn Amsterdam. 2007 International Retailers Survey.

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Expanze retailerů

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  1. Expanze retailerů 10. Kyjev 12. Berlín 12. Varšava 14. Záhřeb 14. Kodaň 14. Riga 14. Vilnius 18. Stockholm 19. Split 19. Paříž 19. Ženeva • Moskva • Petrohrad • Praha • Bratislava • Lublaň • Sofia • Bukurešť • Budapešť • Tallinn • Amsterdam 2007 International Retailers Survey

  2. Expanze retailerů 1. Rusko 1. Spojené arabské emiráty 3. Slovensko 4. Bulharsko 4. Slovinsko 4. Maďarsko 2007 International Retailers Survey

  3. Expanze retailerů 73 % hlavní ulici 46 % SC ve středu měst 35 % shopping centra kombinace „kamenných“ obchodů prodeje přes internet - zásilkový prodej

  4. Expanze Carrefour X Čína Pálení dánských vlajek Místní mentalita

  5. Shopping centra Rusko (6 milionu m2) Itálie a Polsko Turecko – 170 nových SC 80 Istanbul (12,5 / 70 obyv.) Rumunsko (Trnava – Peugeot) Bukurešť – černý trh Západní Evropa remodeluje Balkán, Kosovo

  6. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE Presented at: Conference “Not just about retail” Prague 22nd of May 2008 Presented by: Peter Fraunhoffer CB Richard Ellis, CEE Retail Coordinator

  7. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE • I will cover in my presentation mainly Slovakia, Hungary, Slovenija, Croatia, Romania and Bulgaria • CBRE does research, consultancy, tenant and landlord representation, valuation and (retail) investment • My impressions result out of my daily work and probably are - in several aspects - subjective

  8. THE FACTS

  9. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE • Development of shopping centres in CEE started in Poland more than 10 years ago • Today the focus is on Romania and Bulgaria, but Poland still one of the fastest growing markets • Spending power in CEE is still significantly below „western“ level: • Rank 1: Switzerland € 27.500 p.a. • Last rank: Moldavia € 700 p.a.

  10. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE • The lowest spending power in „western“ Europe: • Portugal: rank 19 • The biggest spending power in CEE: • Slovenija: rank 20 • The difference is less than € 1.000 per year Source: GFK

  11. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE The statistical „European Champion“ in the ratio shopping centre per capita is today • LJUBLJANA, Slovenija: • 270.000 inhabitants • 380.000 sqm GLA retail centre space

  12. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE The future „champion“ could be • ZAGREB, Croatia: • 780.000 inhabitants • 200.000 sqm of existing retail space • 600.000 sqm of retail space in the pipeline • The situation in cities like Osijek, Croatia or Ostrava, Czech Republic is comparable

  13. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE

  14. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE The countries with the highest projected shopping centre space in the next two years are: • Russia – between 2 and 4 mln sqm • Poland – between 1.5 and 1.8 mln sqm • Turkey – between 1.0 and 1,6 mln sqm • Romania – between 0.75 and 0.85 mln sqm • Hungary – around 0.35 mln sqm depending on various sources

  15. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE The countries with the highest relative growth of shopping centre space in the next two years are: • Bulgaria + 350 % • Serbia + 150 % • Romania + 150 %

  16. TRENDS

  17. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE • We face a certain saturation of the market combined with a shortage of prime locations • Brownfield sites are still available throughout CEE in central locations and they will become even more important in the future • Mixed use developments are attractive in CEE and there is a lot more to come like: • Eurovea, BA,SK • South City – BA, SK • Emonika City Centre – LJ, SLO • Europa – Sofia, BG • Topark, BP, HU

  18. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE • The pace of globalisation in retail will escalate in the years to come (see CBRE study „How global is retail?“) • The growth of retail space is significantly higher than the growth of purchasing power • Retailers will demand more flexible leasing agreements to be able to react to changes in the market

  19. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE • Many retailers will expand (at least as a first step) into new markets mainly on the basis of franchise agreements • In all capitals High Street retail will gain additional relevance (at least for luxury brands) • As a consequence of the „Subprime Crisis“ investments with higher risks will have a lesser chance to be executed

  20. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE • In near future the competition between the projects to come will increase • Rents will decrease in those markets where today a „premium“ can be achieved • The leasing of retail space will get more challenging • The projects with the better location, the better design and the better concept will be the winners

  21. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE • It is complex • It is fast (growing) • It is thrilling • It is tricky • It needs a lot of Know-How from all participants to make the right decisions

  22. How is the Shopping Centre Market in CEE? Facts and Trends of retail business in CEE Thank you very much for your attention!

  23. § Poslední přednáška Diskuze Slovo právníka manažerů expanze nájemců Party Betramka

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