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Fredrik Linde Head of the Forecast and Warning Service SMHI – Swedish Meteorology and Hydrological Institue. SMHI – Emergency Alerting Policy WS. Warning scenario. Early warning conference (2,3). Met / hyd / oc information. Official warning.
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Fredrik Linde Headof the Forecast and Warning Service SMHI – Swedish Meteorology and HydrologicalInstitue SMHI – Emergency Alerting Policy WS
Warning scenario Earlywarningconference(2,3) Met/hyd/ocinformation Officialwarning Interestingweather- and/or waterrelated situation > 3days ? 24-96h D 2012 D-10 days D-5 days D+5 days 2013
Warning Service (Information included) Meteorology • For land excl. mountains • Windgusts (1,2,3) • Precipitation – rain (1,2) • Precipitation – snow (1,2,3) • Precipitation –freezingrain (1,2) • Lightning (1,2) • Fire – grass/forest (1) • For the mountains • - Averagewindspeed (1,2) • Wind/coolingeffect (1,2) • Wind/Precipitation (1) • For the coastline/sea/big lakes • Averagewindspeed (1,2,3) • Precipitation/wind (1) • High/lowsealevel (1,2) • Icing at sea (1) -Discharge (1,2,3) Hydrology Oceanography
Different levelsofwarning Level 3: Very extreme weatherhavebeenforecasted, whichmayleadto major interruptions in the criticalinfrastructure. The public arerecommendedtosearch for more information through the internet, radio or TV. Level 2: Unusualweatherdevelopmenthavebeenforecasted, whichmayleadtointerruptions in the criticalinfrastructure. The public arerecommendedtosearch for more information through the internet, radio or TV. Level 1: Weatherdevelopmenthavebeenforecastedwhichmeanssome risk for interruptions in the criticalinfrastructure. No warning: No particularawarenessof the weather is required.
Warning process • CAP-basedsince 2010 • One event code per warning • Levelsofwarningequalsseverity • Likely for warnings and Possible for Information (Certainty) • All disciplins (met, hyd and oc) under categorymet. • Warnings and Information produced for pre-defined areas or free-based
Warning process • Published on • www.smhi.sewww.meteoalarm.euwww.krisinformation.se • SMHI-appSocial Media • Distributed via fax, email, sms, ftp • Radio, (TV) • Importantmessageto the public • Twolevelsbased on severity
CAP and relatedtopics • Used at SMHI, but no technical implementation is doneelsewhere. • Severalactorswithin the crisis management system has indicated the useof CAP in coming development. • The task of the MSB (The Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency)is to enhance and support capacities for preparedness for and prevention of emergencies and crises. • Several ongoing projects within areas of: • Terminology • Information • Situation Awareness System
Issues • Highimpactweather • The effect • How do the user interpret the information/warning? • ”Overalert”? • Change in order tobecome an updatedwarning? • Warningsbased on return period? • Warning information is free • Cost for distribution throughcertainchannels, for example sms? • Severalactorsissuingwarnings in the future?