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Renewable energy and sustainable energy balances

Renewable energy and sustainable energy balances. The growth of renewable energy …. What may renewable energy contribute in 2030? How to integrate renewable energy in electricity systems? How to incentivize renewable energy?. What may renewable energy contribute in 2030?.

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Renewable energy and sustainable energy balances

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  1. Renewable energy and sustainable energy balances Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok @kornelisblok

  2. The growth of renewable energy …. • What may renewable energy contribute in 2030? • How to integrate renewable energy in electricity systems? • How to incentivize renewable energy? Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  3. What may renewable energy contribute in 2030? Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  4. Renewable energy: 40% in 2030 Ecofys, 2012: Renewable Energy – A 2030 Scenario for the EU Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  5. Renewable energy by sector Buildings Transport Manufacturing industry Ecofys, 2012: Renewable Energy – A 2030 Scenario for the EU Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  6. Investments and return-on-investment(energy efficiency + renewable energy) Ecofys, 2012: Renewable Energy – A 2030 Scenario for the EU Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  7. How to integrate renewable energy in electricity systems? Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  8. Germany, business-as-used-to-be Kees van der Leun

  9. Germany, the new world (June 2013!) Kees van der Leun

  10. Germany, prices-as-used-to-be Kees van der Leun

  11. Germany, prices in the new world (June 2013!) Kees van der Leun

  12. Flexibility options for power systems

  13. The impact of grid constraints Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  14. Grid constraints and total system costs Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  15. How to incentivize renewable energy? Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  16. Still diversity of support schemes in Europe but with some converging trends Source: Ecofys based on Ragwitz et al. (2012). RE-Shaping Ecofys et al. (2012). RE progress and biofuels sustainability. Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse

  17. The MS are currently on track with their 2011/2012 trajectory but projections do not look good for 2020 Source: Ecofys based on Ecofys et al. (2012). RE progress and biofuels sustainability. Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse

  18. Lessons from MS experience tell us how to design effective and efficient RES-E support schemes Lessons learnt Best practice design criteria • Policy changes transparent and predictable (e.g. automatic degression, clear formula for quota setting, pre-set revision agenda) • No retroactive changes • Long term political commitment • Guarantee support level for long term • Consultation with stakeholders Provide reliable framework: frequent and unexpected policy changes undermine investor confidence Reflect and limit investment risks: risk-conscious (triple-A) policies increase growth and reduce support costs by up to 50% Adjust level of support to technology and market conditions • Tailor support scheme to RE market deployment status and electricity market readiness • No abrupt or retroactive policy changes • Avoid rigid budget or capacity caps • Simple, transparent permitting process • Priority grid access and dispatch • Quota: long term horizon and serious penalties • Government facilitates access to capital (e.g. participation, financial guarantees, loans) • Apply technology specific support levels • Calculate level of support based on LCOE, so support neither too low nor too high • Planned and transparent adjustments based on technology and market changes Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse

  19. Thank you! Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok Director of Science Ecofys Kanaalweg 15-G 3526 KL Utrecht Phone: 030-6623399 E-mail: k.blok@ecofys.com Twitter: @kornelisblok www.ecofys.com Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  20. sustainable energy for everyone Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  21. Back-up slides Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  22. Life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions IPCC 2011, Special Report Renewable Energy and Climate Change Mitigation Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  23. IPCC 2011, Special Report Renewable Energy and Climate Change Mitigation Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

  24. CO2 emissions from fossil and renewable sources Ecofys, 2012: Renewable Energy – A 2030 Scenario for the EU Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok

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