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High schools students’ summer jobs and their ensuing labour market achievement. Institute for Labour Market Policy Evaluation, Sweden, 2006 Iris J Y Wang, Kenneth Carling, Ola Nääs http://www.ifau.se/upload/pdf/se/2006/wp06-14.pdf. Irina Trunova and Valeriya Lopina
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High schools students’ summer jobs and their ensuing labour market achievement Institute for Labour Market Policy Evaluation, Sweden, 2006 Iris J Y Wang, Kenneth Carling, Ola Nääs http://www.ifau.se/upload/pdf/se/2006/wp06-14.pdf Irina Trunova and Valeriya Lopina Central European University May 27, 2010
Summer jobs are beneficial - they complement in-class education - they offer hints what to study and motivate - financial help - establishing a social network • Negative consequences of summer jobs • They may make students exhausted for the new semester • Too easy money, no interest to study
Quasi-experimental data • Mid-size town of Falun, Sweden, 1995 – 2002 annually (except 1996) • Lottery: providing summer jobs to high school applicants • Average participation over the years • 2,700 students enrolled in high schools in Falun • 800 students apply for municipal jobs • 200 summer jobs are offered on a lottery basis
Number of students enrolled in high schools in Falun 3-week summer jobs in the municipality • Care of elderly people • Cleaning jobs • In 2002 teaching positions at the upper elementary schools(but just a few) Payment • 42 and 52 SEK (€ 4-5) per hour depending on age • 60 SEK (€ 6) per hour for tutors
Age distribution of applicants • Uniform until 1998, then shift to the left in the centre of distribution The age distribution of applicants
Summer job ratios • Almost 100% of offers are accepted by the applicants • 60% denied applicants managed to find a summer job • The proportion of summer jobs if higher for older students Young students (16-17 years) Old students (18-19 years)
The median annual earnings for summer jobbers in SEK and deflated by CPI • Non-applicants earn more than applicants • They may have stronger abilities • They may be better informed
Median annual earnings • Difference between applicant and non-applicant is small • Advantage of municipal jobs relative to private ones in 2001 • Difference between applicant and non-applicant is high (heterogeneity in skills) Young students (16-17 years) Old students (18-19 years)
Data set • 4,810 applications in total • 3,197 applicants (after excluding students who applied several times) Was the lottery fair? • 6-month difference in age betweentreatment and control groups • No significant difference in grades • Puzzling gender difference Belief that the lottery was fair
A comparison of background variables for the applicants with and without an offer of asummer job • The proportion of males • The student’s lower secondary grade, as a percentile rank
Intention-to-treat analysis (ITT) “Analyze as randomized!” (Dallal, 2004) • Treatment group: who were offered the jobs • Control group: not offered by municipality • On-treatment analysis (OT) • Treatment group: who were offered the jobs and who were not but found them • Control group: who rejected the job offers and who were not offered and failed to find jobs
The effect of summer jobs • ITT = α1 – α2 • OT = β1 – β2 • Median of labour market earnings of the applicants • who were offered the job at the municipality (α1) • who were not offered the job (α2) • with a summer job (β1) • without a summer job (β2) Corresponding numbers of students are Nα1,Nα2, Nβ1, Nβ2
Results (1) • The effect of summer jobs on median earnings for high school students after graduation at the age of 19 years.
Results (2) • The effect of offer: Wit – the earnings of the ith student t years after graduation Oi equals one if the student was offered a summer job and zero otherwise χ includes all the significant background variables (gender, age, log of family earnings) α1t and α2t – the parameters of interest which show the effect of the offer on the log earnings
Result (3) • The effect of a summer job: SJi equals one if student i have had a summer job Other parameters are similar to those in model of job offer
Results (4) • The effect of an offer and a summer job on the log-earnings for high school students after graduation.
Results (5) • Positive summer job effect • The effect vanishes quickly • From OT analysis no effect for all students (might be due to selection bias)
Concluding discussion • Short-term advantage via early labour market contacts • No effect on student’s productivity • Other pattern in the US
Do we believe the results? • Yes because of randomization • But we cannot extend these findings • to other kinds of jobs which require other skills • all students • countries with different labour market structure