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S hao- Lun Lu Ying Jiang Hui Li. Tenneco Inc. (TEN). Agenda. Company Overview Relevant Macroeconomic Trends Industry Structure Analysis Financial Analysis Projections/Assumptions Valuation Recommendation. Company Overview. Info: Incorporated in Delaware in 1929
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Shao-Lun Lu Ying Jiang Hui Li Tenneco Inc. (TEN)
Agenda • Company Overview • Relevant Macroeconomic Trends • Industry Structure Analysis • Financial Analysis • Projections/Assumptions • Valuation • Recommendation
Company Overview • Info: • Incorporated in Delaware in 1929 • About 25,000 employees • Market Cap : 3.66 billion • Business: • Producing Ride performance & Clean air products systems to original equipment and aftermarket customers • operate 62 clean air and 27 ride performance manufacturing facilities worldwide • Segment • Clean Air – 68% • Ride Performance – 32% • Clients • Original Equipment Manufacturer – 84% • Aftermarket – 16% Source: TEN 10-K report & FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR 2013 report
Revenue Analysis Source: TEN 10-K report & Bloomberg
Tenneco’s Brand Source: TEN Website
Product Map Source :Tenneco fourth quarter and full year 2013 report
Technology & Regulation map Technology Roadmap Source :Tenneco official website & TransportPolicy.net
Relevant Macroeconomic Trends Global automotive manufacturing industry volume forecast: thousand units, 2012–17 • In 2017, the global automotive manufacturing industry is forecast to have a volume of 188,398 thousand units, an increase of 37.2% since 2012. • The compound annual growth rate of the industry in the period 2012-17 is predicted to be 6.5% • In 2017, the North American automotive manufacturing industry is forecast to have a volume of 21,666.2 thousand units, an increase of 32.1% since 2012. • The compound annual growth rate of the industry in the period 2012-17 is predicted to be 5.7%. North America automotive manufacturing industry value forecast: $ billion, 2012–17 Source: MARKETLINE
Automotive Manufacturing Industry Volume Forecast: thousand units, 2012–2017 Asia-Pacific India Europe South America Source: MARKETLINE
Stock Performance Source: Yahoo Finance
Financial Analysis Source: Tenneco Inc. 2013 10-K, Tenneco Inc. 2010 10-K, Bloomberg
Comparable Companies Source: Capital IQ, Bloomberg
Comparable Companies Source: Capital IQ, Bloomberg
Technical Analysis Source: StockCharts.com
Forecast Assumptions Source: Tenneco Inc. 2013 10-K, Tenneco Inc. 2010 10-K
Cost of Capital Source: Tenneco Inc. 2013 10-K, Bloomberg
Valuation-DCF Source: Tenneco Inc. 2013 10-K, Tenneco Inc. 2010 10-K
Implied Share Price Current Stock Price: $59.72
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