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Explore the changing wealth of nations from 1995 to 2005, focusing on total and per capita wealth growth, shifts in asset types, savings for the future, and the importance of intangible wealth and CO2 emissions. Discover policy messages for sustainable development.
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The Changing Wealth of NationsMeasuring Sustainable Developmentin the New Millennium Kirk Hamilton Development Research Group The World Bank
Outline • The wealth of nations in 2005 • What changed? 1995-2005 • Saving for the future • Special topics: Intangible wealth and CO2 • Policy messages
Where is the wealth of Ghana? Shares of total wealth, 2005 Total wealth / capita: $9,500 Shares of natural wealth, 2005
Where is the wealth of Scandinavia? Shares of total wealth, 2005 Total wealth / capita: $717,000 (average of Denmark, Norway and Sweden) Shares of natural wealth, 2005
Composition of total wealth Shares of comprehensive wealth, by income class, 2005 • Natural capital is most important in low income countries—more than twice as large as produced capital • In middle income countries natural capital and produced capital are roughly equal • Intangible wealth dominates in all countries, especially in high income countries
Composition of natural wealth Percentage shares of natural wealth, by developing region, 2005
How did wealth change from 1995 to 2005? Growth in total and per capita wealth by region Globally, wealth grew 34% in total and 17% per capita
Development & changing composition of wealth Lower-middle income countries: shares of total wealth 1995-2005
Change in total wealth by type of asset $ billion, 1995-2005
How rich would countries be in 2005 if they had invested rents from resource extraction?
Above 2% population growth, net saving per capita was largely negative in 2005
Special topics: Intangible wealth and CO2
Intangible capital consists of more than human capital Elasticities of output with respect to production factors n/s – not statistically significant
CO2 efficiency is low in developing countries – scope for green growth? Value of net historical stock of CO2 as %of GNI, 2005
“How we measure development will drive how we do development”
Policy implications • Strengthen natural resource management • Invest resource rents in other assets • Lower carbon footprints – ‘green growth’ • Invest in people • Build institutions
Thank you! http://data.worldbank.org