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Review the chapter on the population changes in the West Midlands from 1981 to 2006. Explore key messages and focus on locally repeated work. Understand the population of Birmingham and access better data on smaller units. Work on local solutions to understand local variations and strengthen ties between public health and council demographers and planners.
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A generation of change:the population of the West Midlands from 1981 to 2006 Richard Wilson Senior Public Health Information Specialist South Birmingham PCT
A generation of change • Review the chapter • Key messages • Focusing on pieces of work you repeat locally
How many people live in Birmingham? • Is it: • 977,826 • 1,001,200 • 1,107,897 • None of the above • I haven’t got the foggiest
How many people live in Birmingham? • Answers • 977,826 2001 Census • 1,001,200 / ONS mid-year estimates 2005 • 1,107,897 / GP registrations 1 July 2007 • None of the above • I haven’t got the foggiest
WM Population is growing! ONS Mid-year estimates
Within the Region ONS Mid-year estimates
Ageing population 5-19 25-29 ONS Mid-year estimates
We are living longer NCHOD
Mobile population GP registrations
International inward migration National Insurance Number Registrations
European inward migration National Insurance Registrations
Understanding local populations • Talk a lot about local authority level data • Most of us work with smaller units • Where do we get better data on these areas: • Council Tax, school lists, electoral roll • Restricted access, limited information • GP registrations (country of birth, date of registration, dob, sex, households)
Education Geography Deaths Births Adult and Social Care Housing GP registrations Hospitals Council Tax Electoral Roll Population data
Conclusions • Measuring the population is an inexact science • Live with inaccuracies • Need to work on local solutions to understand local variations • Closer ties between public health and council demographers and planners