Welcome! Looking to the Future

1. Welcome!Looking to the Future The Academy for Advanced Leadership and Development www.chairacademy.com

2. Looking to the future - vision • From the Balcony • Tracking Trends • Culture • Community • Education • Technology • Workforce • Making Sense in the Fog — Crafting a Vision • Road Ahead

3. Gaining perspective • Certainty - Past • Probability - Present • Possibility - Future “If we open a quarrel between past and present, we shall find that we have lost the future.” Winston Churchill

4. Shift happens

5. Megatrends What is a Megatrend? Megatrends are global, sustained, and macro economic forces of development that impact business, the economy, society, cultures, and personal lives thereby defining our future world and its increasing pace of change.

6. MegaTrends Key Sources: Megatrends, John Naisbett, 1982 Megatrends 2010, Patricia Aburdene, 2005

7. Global population • Global +275% • EUR/RUS -36% • Africa +122% • Lat Am/CAR +166% • Mid East +500% • US/North Am 0% Major shifts in population from developed to developing regions of the world. As the world grows together, several things are happening that warrant attention.

8. Gaining perspective

9. Name that trend - past!

10. 2014 trends

11. Table game – i.D. the trend • Take 15 and list one or two trends • List Your Trend • Indicate Impact on Education • Think Smaller than Global Warming and/or Peak Oil. • What trends can you identify regionally that might come to pass in the next 20-30 years? • Trends may be economic, policy oriented, market related, facility, demographic, etc. • Make good use of a facilitator, time keeper, and recorder/reporter. • Report Results.

12. Warning signs or not?

13. education

14. Crafting a vision • Key questions: • How do we make use of trends we identify? • How do we manage the delta between extreme points of view? • How do we balance negative and positive views of the future? • Whose job is it to actually develop a vision?

15. Vision crafting • Choose the Scope • Vision fits YOUR role • Fits in your sphere of influence. • Find the Right Balance • Boldness and Exploration • Risk and Reward • Known and Unknown • Trust the Process • Multiple Perspectives • Not Linear • Recognize Milestones The Work of Leaders “The first ingredient of leadership is a guiding vision . . . .Unless you know where you’re going, and why, you cannot possibly get there.” Warren Bennis

16. Case study Case studies require us to analyze problem situations and reach our own conclusions concerning the outcome. • Name the issue. • Review the facts. • WHO is the ultimate decider? • List the key stakeholders. • Determine what matters. • Assess why it matters and to whom. • Assess your relationship with key stakeholders. • Make a recommendation.

17. assignment • Take 75 Minutes • Form into teams. • Review materials. • Designate roles. • Facilitator • Time Keeper • Reporter/Recorder • Outline review process. • Record key observations. • Prepare summary report. • Report recommendation.

18. Report on results • What are the important issues at stake? • What is your initial impression on how the master list should be reprioritized? • What suggestions do you have for moving the process forward? • What concerns or special requests do you have?

19. summary Leader’s are Expected to: • Climb up on the Balcony • Look Beyond the Nearby Horizon • Identify the Adaptive Challenges • Equip Self and Others for What is to Come • Create a Sustainable Vision • Take Measurable Risks • Appreciate Yesterday, Enjoy Today, Plan for Tomorrow! “Tomorrow, you promise yourself, things will be different, yet, tomorrow is too often a repetition of today. And you disappoint yourself again and again.” ― James T. McCay

20. Questions? Comments? Questions comments Reflection thank you!

21. Reflection Record two or three ideas or issues that came out of the discussion that were most meaningful to you.