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Land-use plan & Product-mixed (How to Maximize Landvalue?). Contribution to Studio Development Dr.-Ing. Jo Santoso September 2005 (actualized on March 3, 2006). Landuse-plan, Landvalue-plan & Product-mixed. Land-use plan divided the site in saleable and non saleable are.
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Land-use plan & Product-mixed(How to Maximize Landvalue?) Contribution to Studio Development Dr.-Ing. Jo Santoso September 2005 (actualized on March 3, 2006)
Landuse-plan, Landvalue-plan & Product-mixed • Land-use plan divided the site in saleable and non saleable are. • Saleable area is divided in high-value, middle-value and low-value area. • Non-saleable area is divided in Infrastructure, Social Facilities, Green and other restricted Zone.
Landuse-plan, Landvalue-plan & Product-mixed • Land-use plan is composed to maximize land value. • The landvalue-plan is the basic to allocate the proposed product-mixed. • Land-use plan is the basic to establish development plan
Key Factors Determining Development Concept • External Determinants (uncontrollable): Government Policy & Regulation, Economic Condition, Natural Condition, Externalities, Demand, etc. • Internal Determinants (controllable): Financial Condition, Human Resources, Corporate Culture, Design, Technical System, etc.
External and Internal Key-factors • “External factors”: uncontrollable but some can be modified, some others change it self by the time. • Developer should try to increase positive impacts and to reduce negative impacts of external factors. • Identification of “most possible external condition” as point of departure • Land-use plan in particular or design in general is the most important internal key factor to maximize added value. • Land-value plan is the base to design land-use plan.
Where is the added value coming from? • How to mixed the products? • How to put which product on the right place/site? • Which product is to sell first, which is second, etc. • Which facilities should be built, where and when? • Which level of services should be provided to support the development?
How to mixed the products? • How to estimate the quantity and the composition of the products? • How to select the right locations for the products? • Method: Elaborate different possibilities through alternative Land-use plans.
Development Scenario (1) • Qualitative Survey is needed to identify “most possible external condition” • Strategy to face “worst condition” or to utilize “best condition” of externalities. • Increasing of land-price is projected base on most possible external condition.
Development Scenario (2) • The land-use plan is designed with “most possible external condition” as “point of departure”. • The flexibility of landuse-plan is an important factor to anticipate changing of externalities.
Development Scenario (3) • The best development scenario is base on balance between profit and risk. • Profit can be increase by maximizing internal, controllable key factors and optimizing of external uncontrollable condition.
Strategy to Anticipate Changing of External (uncontrollable) Condition: • Anticipate the changing of Government Policy & Regulation. • Anticipating strategy to face changing of economic condition. • Technical Risk Assessment to anticipate the changing of natural condition. • Observation the changing of all important external factors. • Provide Flexibility in technical and corporate planning
Optimizing Controllable (internal) Condition to maximize profit • Solid Financial Condition • Good quality of Human Resources; innovative, creative • Strong Corporate Culture • Reliable Technical System, etc. • Flexible Design
Relation of Saleable and Non- saleable Area • There is a strong relationship between saleable area (areas/lots to sell or to rent) and non-saleable area (areas to built infrastructure, utilities and facilities) indicated with the increasing of landprice. • How to estimate the right proportion between saleable and non saleable • How to select the appropriate facilities • How to chose the right time to built the facilities? Which should be there in the beginning of the development, which should follow?
The Right Proportion Is needed between: • Lots and ROW • Commercial and social facilities • Greens and built up area • High, Middle and Low value
Development Phase 2nd phase 1st phase 3rd phase Laboratorium for Urban Planning of Tarumanagara University
Prediction of Land Price Laboratorium for Urban Planning of Tarumanagara University
Land-price Assumption Land price/ sqm preparation growth mature assumption of land price increase, based on optimistic and pessimistic case Laboratorium for Urban Planning of Tarumanagara University
Study, Physical Planning &Design (a)Landuse-plan >distribution of development area in different functions/effective &non-effective area. (b) Land value-plan >division the area in high-middle-low and no values of land/saleable &non-saleable area. (c)Development phases/stages > determines the timing of construction and of the product delivery > determines the development stages (d) Other studies (marketstudy, environmental study,etc.)
The Process (Housing Project) Owner’s Input from Market Analysis (Product Mixed/ Land-valueplan) Owner’s Input (Development Framework) Owner’s Input from Investment Analysis (Pre-FS) Discussion Study on existing conditions of Location (technical, social-cultural,etc) Land-use Plan & Development Scenario ALTERNATIVE ZONING PLAN DRAFT FINAL Of Development Concept Final Development Concept Consultation Government’s Requirements and Regulation Comments from Authority Inputs from Engineering Study STAGE 1 STAGE 2 STAGE 3 STAGE 4 Laboratorium for Urban Planning of Tarumanagara University
Development Phase 2nd phase 1st phase 3rd phase Laboratorium for Urban Planning of Tarumanagara University