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Re-Positioning Nutrition. HDNHE Nov 2005. Malnutrition Poverty. Leads to a >10% potential reduction in lifetime earnings for each malnourished individual GDP losses 2-3% Malnutrition (stunting) in early years linked to a 4.6 cm loss of height in adolescence
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Re-Positioning Nutrition HDNHE Nov 2005
Malnutrition Poverty • Leads to a >10% potential reduction in lifetime earnings for each malnourished individual • GDP losses 2-3% • Malnutrition (stunting) in early years linked to a • 4.6 cm loss of height in adolescence • 0.7 grades loss of schooling • 7 month delay in starting school (Improved nutrition can be a driver of growth) Source: Alderman et al (2003)
MDG will be met in 2059 2034 2020 India: Income alone is insufficient to reach the nutrition MDG Data Source: World Bank (2005)
Nutrition and poverty… Source: Gwatkin et al. 2003
MDG 1- “Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger” • Targets: Halve between 1990 and 2015 • Proportion of people income is <1$/day (income poverty) • Proportion of people who suffer from hunger (non-income poverty) • Indicators for “hunger” (non-income poverty) target: • Prevalence of under-weight children (<5 yrs) • Proportion of population below minimum level of dietary energy consumption • Most reviews to-date have focused on income-poverty target – and the diagnosis is: “poverty goal on track”!!!
The Copenhagen Consensus ranks the provision of micronutrients as a top investment… Above trade liberalization, malaria, water/sanitation… …And the benefit:cost ratios for investing in direct nutrition interventions are very high. Source: Bhagwati et al. (2004)
Global trends in underweight (Children 0-4 Years) 1980-2005 Data Source: de Onis et al (2004)
Global trends in underweight (Children 0-4 Years) 1980-2005 Data Source: de Onis et al (2004)
Maternal Overweight Rates Malnutrition affects both poor and rich countries…and Underweight children and overweight adults are often found in the same poor countries/households Data Source: Measure DHS com; Author’s calculations
The “Window of Opportunity” for Improving Nutrition is very small…pre-pregnancy until 18-24 months of age Source: Shrimpton et al (2001)
CARE FOOD HEALTH
Malnutrition and Child Mortality Malnutrition is implicated in >55% under-5 deaths – a proportion unmatched by any disease other than the “Black death”.
Short and Long Routes to Improving Nutrition • Long routes… income growth, women’s education, agriculture and food production interventions, gender interventions • Short routes:Exclusive breast-feeding, appropriate complementary feeding, ante-natal care for mothers,… (Knowledge, behavior change/demand side interventions); micronutrient supplementation/fortification • Many success stories via a balance between long and short routes: Mexico, Bangladesh, Madagascar, Thailand, Honduras, Chile, Cuba…
Why Invest in nutrition? • Malnutrition reduces intelligence & productivity; slows economic growth; constrains poverty reduction • Benefit-cost ratios are high • The Bank now has sufficient experience and evidence (though learning thru strong M&E must continue) The greatest challenge to scaling up is sustained country (and donor) commitment and capacity
The Bank is the largest investor in nutrition globally But, current commitments to nutrition* are modest (April 2005) This is 3.8% of HD theme, 0.7% of Bank-wide lending; *Includes food security
Nutrition • Not just a welfare issue • Nor is it primarily a food or a consumption issue • It is one of the drivers of economic growth
Summary recommendations... One size does not fit all! • Focus on poor to address non-income poverty • Focus investments on “window of opportunity” (pre-pregnancy to 2 years) • Balance between supply and demand-side, long and short route interventions • Invest in micronutrients (where appropriate) • Maximize potential to improve nutrition thru policies/progs in: • Health, ARD, gender, water/sanitation, education, CDD • Systematic PSIAs for Macroeconomic and sectoral policies
Next steps: Re-position nutrition A Bank-led re-positioning of nutrition timely Operational level (regions): • Scale up undernutrition and micronutrient investments • Reorient existing large-scale investments as needed • Invest in strengthening commitment and capacity • Support learning by doing: • Overweight/obesity/NCDs; Nutrition in HIV • Mainstream nutrition in to PRSPs/PRSCs/SWAps